Prediction: AC Oulu vs KuPS Kuopio
Team pages: AC Oulu · KuPS Kuopio
- KuPS Kuopio0-1AC Oulu
- AC Oulu2-0KuPS Kuopio
- KuPS Kuopio3-2AC Oulu
- AC Oulu5-0KuPS Kuopio
- AC Oulu2-2KuPS Kuopio
- KuPS Kuopio1-0AC Oulu
| AC Oulu | Draw | KuPS Kuopio | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 23% | 25% | 52% |
| Market | 22% | 26% | 52% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AC Oulu (rating 1518 vs 1451).
- H2H favours AC Oulu: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| AC Oulu | KuPS Kuopio | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.2 | 1 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.3 | 2.8 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.1 | 4.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · AC Oulu 3–1–2 KuPS Kuopio
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10/26 Finland Veikkausliiga | KuPS Kuopio | 0-1 HT 0-1 | AC Oulu |
| 02/05/26 Finland Veikkausliiga | AC Oulu | 2-0 HT 1-0 | KuPS Kuopio |
| 22/04/26 Finland Veikkausliiga | KuPS Kuopio | 3-2 HT 1-1 | AC Oulu |
| 28/02/26 Finland Liigacup | AC Oulu | 5-0 HT 2-0 | KuPS Kuopio |
| 04/07/25 Finland Veikkausliiga | AC Oulu | 2-2 HT 1-0 | KuPS Kuopio |
| 12/04/25 Finland Veikkausliiga | KuPS Kuopio | 1-0 HT 1-0 | AC Oulu |
Standings · Finland Veikkausliiga · Veikkausliiga 2026, Championship Round
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HJK Helsinki | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 59 | 36 | 55 |
| 2 | FC Inter | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 37 | 24 | 55 |
| 3 | KuPS Kuopio | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 46 | 29 | 53 |
| 4 | AC Oulu | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 36 | 37 | 44 |
| 5 | IF Gnistan | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 44 | 42 | 43 |
| 6 | VPS Vaasa | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 31 | 34 | 40 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | AC Oulu | KuPS Kuopio |
|---|---|---|
| VPS Vaasa | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| IF Gnistan | 4-3 W | 1-1 D |
| FC Inter | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| HJK Helsinki | 3-4 L | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 2 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
AC Oulu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | VPS Vaasa Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 24/10 | IF Gnistan Finland Veikkausliiga |
3-1 | 4-3 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 17/10 | FC Inter Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 12/10 | HJK Helsinki Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 08/10 | KuPS Kuopio Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 18/09 | FC Inter Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 12/09 | IF Gnistan Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 08/09 | VPS Vaasa Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 31/08 | SJK Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 22/08 | FF Jaro Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
KuPS Kuopio
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | IF Gnistan Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 4 | D |
| 25/10 | HJK Helsinki Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 18/10 | VPS Vaasa Finland Veikkausliiga |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 11/10 | FC Inter Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 08/10 | AC Oulu Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 19/09 | VPS Vaasa Finland Veikkausliiga |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 13/09 | HJK Helsinki Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 08/09 | IF Gnistan Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 31/08 | FC Inter Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 23/08 | IFK Mariehamn Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-3 | 2-4 | 10 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in AC Oulu vs KuPS Kuopio?
According to our model, the most likely result is an KuPS Kuopio win (52%). Probabilities: AC Oulu 22%, draw 26%, KuPS Kuopio 52%.
How many goals are expected in AC Oulu vs KuPS Kuopio?
The model expects 2.96 goals (AC Oulu 1.14 · KuPS Kuopio 1.82), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in AC Oulu vs KuPS Kuopio?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.