Prediction: VPS Vaasa vs HJK Helsinki
Team pages: VPS Vaasa · HJK Helsinki
- HJK Helsinki6-0VPS Vaasa
- HJK Helsinki2-1VPS Vaasa
- VPS Vaasa2-1HJK Helsinki
- VPS Vaasa0-2HJK Helsinki
- HJK Helsinki3-1VPS Vaasa
- VPS Vaasa1-1HJK Helsinki
| VPS Vaasa | Draw | HJK Helsinki | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 15% | 23% | 62% |
| Market | 15% | 23% | 62% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours HJK Helsinki (rating 1456 vs 1563).
- H2H favours HJK Helsinki: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| VPS Vaasa | HJK Helsinki | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.3 / 1.3 | 2.7 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.8 | 1 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.5 | 2.2 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.1 | 3.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · VPS Vaasa 1–1–4 HJK Helsinki
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10/26 Finland Veikkausliiga | HJK Helsinki | 6-0 HT 3-0 | VPS Vaasa |
| 18/07/26 Finland Veikkausliiga | HJK Helsinki | 2-1 HT 1-0 | VPS Vaasa |
| 22/05/26 Finland Veikkausliiga | VPS Vaasa | 2-1 HT 0-1 | HJK Helsinki |
| 05/07/25 Finland Veikkausliiga | VPS Vaasa | 0-2 HT 0-0 | HJK Helsinki |
| 26/04/25 Finland Veikkausliiga | HJK Helsinki | 3-1 HT 2-0 | VPS Vaasa |
| 20/09/24 Finland Veikkausliiga | VPS Vaasa | 1-1 HT 0-1 | HJK Helsinki |
Standings · Finland Veikkausliiga · Veikkausliiga 2026, Championship Round
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HJK Helsinki | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 59 | 36 | 55 |
| 2 | FC Inter | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 37 | 24 | 55 |
| 3 | KuPS Kuopio | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 46 | 29 | 53 |
| 4 | AC Oulu | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 36 | 37 | 44 |
| 5 | IF Gnistan | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 44 | 42 | 43 |
| 6 | VPS Vaasa | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 31 | 34 | 40 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | VPS Vaasa | HJK Helsinki |
|---|---|---|
| AC Oulu | 0-0 D | 4-3 W |
| FC Inter | 0-1 L | 4-2 W |
| KuPS Kuopio | 0-2 L | 2-2 D |
| IF Gnistan | 1-0 W | 4-0 W |
| FC Ilves | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 2 L | 4 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: HJK Helsinki (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
VPS Vaasa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | AC Oulu Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 24/10 | FC Inter Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 18/10 | KuPS Kuopio Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 12/10 | IF Gnistan Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 08/10 | HJK Helsinki Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-3 | 0-6 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 19/09 | KuPS Kuopio Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-2 | 0-2 | 10 | 6 | L |
| 14/09 | FC Inter Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 08/09 | AC Oulu Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 31/08 | FC Lahti Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 22/08 | FC Ilves Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
HJK Helsinki
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | FC Inter Finland Veikkausliiga |
2-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 25/10 | KuPS Kuopio Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 17/10 | IF Gnistan Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 12/10 | AC Oulu Finland Veikkausliiga |
2-0 | 4-3 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 08/10 | VPS Vaasa Finland Veikkausliiga |
3-0 | 6-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 18/09 | IF Gnistan Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 13/09 | KuPS Kuopio Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 09/09 | FC Inter Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 31/08 | FC Ilves Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 23/08 | IF Gnistan Finland Veikkausliiga |
2-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in VPS Vaasa vs HJK Helsinki?
According to our model, the most likely result is an HJK Helsinki win (62%). Probabilities: VPS Vaasa 15%, draw 23%, HJK Helsinki 62%.
How many goals are expected in VPS Vaasa vs HJK Helsinki?
The model expects 2.96 goals (VPS Vaasa 0.93 · HJK Helsinki 2.03), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in VPS Vaasa vs HJK Helsinki?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.