Football · Finland Veikkausliiga · 29/10, 18:00
Prediction: KuPS Kuopio vs IF Gnistan
Team pages: KuPS Kuopio · IF Gnistan
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.53Total
KuPS Kuopio1.56
IF Gnistan0.97
1X2
KuPS Kuopio
Draw
IF Gnistan
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
KuPS Kuopio
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
IF Gnistan
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
KuPS Kuopio
4–2–0
IF Gnistan
(6 last)
- IF Gnistan1-1KuPS Kuopio
- IF Gnistan0-1KuPS Kuopio
- KuPS Kuopio1-0IF Gnistan
- KuPS Kuopio1-1IF Gnistan
- IF Gnistan0-4KuPS Kuopio
- KuPS Kuopio6-2IF Gnistan
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours KuPS Kuopio: 4-2-0.
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| KuPS Kuopio | IF Gnistan | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1 | 1.4 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 0/60/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.6 | 2.7 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.1 | 3.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · KuPS Kuopio 4–2–0 IF Gnistan
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09/26 Finland Veikkausliiga | IF Gnistan | 1-1 HT 0-1 | KuPS Kuopio |
| 01/08/26 Finland Veikkausliiga | IF Gnistan | 0-1 HT 0-1 | KuPS Kuopio |
| 11/04/26 Finland Veikkausliiga | KuPS Kuopio | 1-0 HT 0-0 | IF Gnistan |
| 30/10/25 Finland Veikkausliiga | KuPS Kuopio | 1-1 HT 1-0 | IF Gnistan |
| 27/09/25 Finland Veikkausliiga | IF Gnistan | 0-4 HT 0-2 | KuPS Kuopio |
| 01/07/25 Finland Veikkausliiga | KuPS Kuopio | 6-2 HT 3-1 | IF Gnistan |
Standings · Finland Veikkausliiga · Veikkausliiga 2026, Championship Round
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Inter | 29 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 35 | 20 | 55 |
| 2 | HJK Helsinki | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 53 | 32 | 51 |
| 3 | KuPS Kuopio | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 43 | 26 | 51 |
| 4 | AC Oulu | 29 | 13 | 4 | 12 | 36 | 37 | 43 |
| 5 | IF Gnistan | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 41 | 42 |
| 6 | VPS Vaasa | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 31 | 34 | 39 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | KuPS Kuopio | IF Gnistan |
|---|---|---|
| VPS Vaasa | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| FC Inter | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| AC Oulu | 0-1 L | 3-4 L |
| HJK Helsinki | 0-0 D | 0-4 L |
| TPS | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 2 L | 0 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: KuPS Kuopio (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
KuPS Kuopio
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | VPS Vaasa Finland Veikkausliiga |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 11/10 | FC Inter Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 08/10 | AC Oulu Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 19/09 | VPS Vaasa Finland Veikkausliiga |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 13/09 | HJK Helsinki Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 08/09 | IF Gnistan Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 31/08 | FC Inter Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 23/08 | IFK Mariehamn Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-3 | 2-4 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 16/08 | FC Lahti Finland Veikkausliiga |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 09/08 | TPS Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
IF Gnistan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | AC Oulu Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 17/10 | HJK Helsinki Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 0-4 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 12/10 | VPS Vaasa Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 07/10 | FC Inter Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 18/09 | HJK Helsinki Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 12/09 | AC Oulu Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 08/09 | KuPS Kuopio Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 31/08 | TPS Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 3 | D |
| 23/08 | HJK Helsinki Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-2 | 3-2 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 17/08 | FC Ilves Finland Veikkausliiga |
2-2 | 3-2 | 8 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in KuPS Kuopio vs IF Gnistan?
According to our model, the most likely result is a KuPS Kuopio win (50%). Probabilities: KuPS Kuopio 50%, draw 28%, IF Gnistan 22%.
How many goals are expected in KuPS Kuopio vs IF Gnistan?
The model expects 2.53 goals (KuPS Kuopio 1.56 · IF Gnistan 0.97), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in KuPS Kuopio vs IF Gnistan?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.