Football · Israel Liga Alef South · 04/09, 13:20

Prediction: Hapoel Holon Yaniv vs Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.85Total

Hapoel Holon Yaniv1.53

Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon1.32

1X2

41% 27% 31%

Hapoel Holon Yaniv Draw Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Hapoel Holon Yaniv 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

WDLLLLLWDD

Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WDWWDLDLDL

Head-to-head

Hapoel Holon Yaniv 1–1 Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon (2 last)

Hapoel Holon Yaniv1-0Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon
Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon2-0Hapoel Holon Yaniv

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hapoel Holon Yaniv 1472 · Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon 1481

	Hapoel Holon Yaniv	Draw	Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon
Our model	41%	27%	32%
Market	41%	28%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.85 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hapoel Holon Yaniv	Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.6	1.7 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.5	0.4 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.8	1.5 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.4	4.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.25

22.88

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.95

2 (+0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.88

Under 2.51.93

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:37

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
07:35 +2’	2.20	3.25	2.88

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Hapoel Holon Yaniv 1–0–1 Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/12/25 Israel Liga Alef South	Hapoel Holon Yaniv	1-0 HT 0-0	Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon
12/12/22 Israel Cup	Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon	2-0 HT 0-0	Hapoel Holon Yaniv

Standings · Israel Liga Alef South · Liga Alef 26/27, South

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	AS Nordia Jerusalem	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sport Club Dimona	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	MS Jerusalem	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Tzeirey Tira	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hapoel Azor	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hapoel Hadera	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hapoel Herzliya	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hapoel Mahane Yehuda	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hapoel Marmorek	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hapoel Holon Yaniv	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Ironi Beit Shemesh	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Maccabi Ironi Sderot	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Maccabi Yavne	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Kfar Saba 1928	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Shimshon Tel Aviv	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hapoel Holon Yaniv	Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon
Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi	0-0 D	2-0 W
FC Beitar Yavne	1-0 W	2-1 W
Shimshon Tel Aviv	0-2 L	2-4 L
Hapoel Marmorek	1-2 L	1-1 D
Maccabi Kiryat Gat	2-3 L	1-1 D
Hapoel Azor	0-2 L	3-2 W
Sport Club Dimona	1-2 L	1-2 L
AS Nordia Jerusalem	2-1 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 5 L	3 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hapoel Holon Yaniv

WDLLLLLWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/02	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
20/02	Maccabi Yavne Israel Liga Alef South	1-0	1-1	4	2	D
13/02	FC Beitar Yavne Israel Liga Alef South	1-0	1-0	6	5	W
05/02	Shimshon Tel Aviv Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	0-2	6	6	L
30/01	Hapoel Marmorek Israel Liga Alef South	1-0	1-2	6	7	L
22/01	Maccabi Kiryat Gat Israel Liga Alef South	0-1	2-3	2	8	L
16/01	Hapoel Azor Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	0-2	4	2	L
11/01	Sport Club Dimona Israel Liga Alef South	0-1	1-2	5	6	L
06/01	MS Jerusalem Israel Liga Alef South	2-3	3-3	6	4	D
31/12	AS Nordia Jerusalem Israel Liga Alef South	2-0	2-1	6	5	W

Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon

WDWWDLDLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/02	Shimshon Tel Aviv Israel Liga Alef South	0-1	2-4	4	2	L
20/02	Maccabi Kiryat Gat Israel Liga Alef South	0-1	1-1	4	6	D
13/02	Sport Club Dimona Israel Liga Alef South	0-1	1-2	8	6	L
06/02	AS Nordia Jerusalem Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	2-2	3	6	D
30/01	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod Israel Liga Alef South	2-3	2-3	9	4	L
23/01	Hapoel Herzliya Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	1-1	4	8	D
16/01	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	2-0	1	4	W
09/01	FC Beitar Yavne Israel Liga Alef South	0-1	2-1	0	7	W
06/01	Hapoel Marmorek Israel Liga Alef South	0-1	1-1	1	5	D
02/01	Hapoel Azor Israel Liga Alef South	2-0	3-2	1	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hapoel Holon Yaniv vs Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Hapoel Holon Yaniv win (41%). Probabilities: Hapoel Holon Yaniv 41%, draw 27%, Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon 31%.

How many goals are expected in Hapoel Holon Yaniv vs Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon?

The model expects 2.85 goals (Hapoel Holon Yaniv 1.53 · Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon 1.32), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Hapoel Holon Yaniv vs Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.