Football · Hungary NB II · 05/09, 19:00

Prediction: Kozarmisleny SE vs Mezokovesd Zsory

Team pages: Kozarmisleny SE · Mezokovesd Zsory

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.38Total

Kozarmisleny SE0.96

Mezokovesd Zsory1.42

1X2

25% 28% 47%

Kozarmisleny SE Draw Mezokovesd Zsory

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Kozarmisleny SE 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WWWWLLLLLL

Mezokovesd Zsory 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LDWLLLLWWW

Head-to-head

Kozarmisleny SE 2–2 Mezokovesd Zsory (4 last)

Kozarmisleny SE3-0Mezokovesd Zsory
Mezokovesd Zsory2-0Kozarmisleny SE
Kozarmisleny SE0-1Mezokovesd Zsory
Mezokovesd Zsory0-1Kozarmisleny SE

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kozarmisleny SE 1484 · Mezokovesd Zsory 1461

	Kozarmisleny SE	Draw	Mezokovesd Zsory
Our model	24%	29%	46%
Market	26%	26%	48%

Estimated total (ours) 2.38 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kozarmisleny SE	Mezokovesd Zsory
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.8	1.1 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.5	0.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3	2.8 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.9 / 0.6	4.8 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.40

X3.40

21.85

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.85

2 (-0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.95

Under 2.51.85

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	1.85 → 1.85	Bet365 1.85

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.9%

Time*	1	X	2
18:39 +36’	3.40	3.40	1.85

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Kozarmisleny SE 2–0–2 Mezokovesd Zsory

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/02/26 Hungary NB II	Kozarmisleny SE	3-0 HT 2-0	Mezokovesd Zsory
10/08/25 Hungary NB II	Mezokovesd Zsory	2-0 HT 2-0	Kozarmisleny SE
27/04/25 Hungary NB II	Kozarmisleny SE	0-1 HT 0-0	Mezokovesd Zsory
26/10/24 Hungary NB II	Mezokovesd Zsory	0-1 HT 0-1	Kozarmisleny SE

Standings · Hungary NB II

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Soroksar	6	5	1	0	17	4	16
2	Kecskemeti TE	6	4	1	1	12	6	13
3	Tiszakecske FC	6	3	3	0	12	7	12
4	Kazincbarcikai BSC	6	3	3	0	10	5	12
5	FC Ajka	5	3	2	0	8	3	11
6	Gyirmot SE	6	3	1	2	11	12	10
7	Karcagi SE	6	2	4	0	12	8	10
8	Mezokovesd Zsory	5	3	0	2	7	5	9
9	Szentlorinc SE	5	2	1	2	6	6	7
10	Fehervar FC	6	2	0	4	9	9	6
11	Szeged-Csanad Grosics	5	1	2	2	4	5	5
12	BVSC Zuglo	5	1	1	3	3	6	4
13	Diosgyori VTK	5	1	1	3	5	13	4
14	FC Nagykanizsa	6	1	0	5	5	10	3
15	Csakvari TK	6	1	0	5	6	16	3
16	Kozarmisleny SE	6	0	0	6	3	15	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kozarmisleny SE	Mezokovesd Zsory
Kecskemeti TE	0-3 L	1-2 L
Csakvari TK	0-2 L	1-0 W
Gyirmot SE	1-2 L	4-2 W
Fehervar FC	0-4 L	2-1 W
Bekescsabai Elore SE	2-1 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 4 L	3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Mezokovesd Zsory (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kozarmisleny SE

WWWWLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Kecskemeti TE Hungary NB II	0-0	0-3	0	3	L
22/08	Szeged-Csanad Grosics Hungary NB II	1-0	1-2	4	4	L
15/08	Kazincbarcikai BSC Hungary NB II	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
09/08	Csakvari TK Hungary NB II	0-1	0-2	5	8	L
01/08	Gyirmot SE Hungary NB II	0-1	1-2	2	13	L
25/07	Fehervar FC Hungary NB II	0-1	0-4	3	5	L
17/05	Karcagi SE Hungary NB II	0-1	2-1	1	7	W
10/05	Bekescsabai Elore SE Hungary NB II	1-0	2-1	3	8	W
03/05	Kecskemeti TE Hungary NB II	1-0	2-1	1	5	W
26/04	Csakvari TK Hungary NB II	0-0	2-0	8	5	W

Mezokovesd Zsory

LDWLLLLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Gyirmot SE Hungary NB II	0-0	4-2	2	3	W
22/08	Fehervar FC Hungary NB II	1-1	2-1	5	7	W
15/08	BVSC Zuglo Hungary NB II	1-0	1-0	8	3	W
08/08	Tiszakecske FC Hungary NB II	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
26/07	Soroksar Hungary NB II	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
17/05	Bekescsabai Elore SE Hungary NB II	0-0	0-1	3	6	L
10/05	Kecskemeti TE Hungary NB II	1-1	1-2	4	4	L
03/05	Csakvari TK Hungary NB II	1-0	1-0	4	7	W
26/04	FC Ajka Hungary NB II	1-1	1-1	3	6	D
18/04	Kispest Honved Hungary NB II	0-0	1-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kozarmisleny SE vs Mezokovesd Zsory?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Mezokovesd Zsory win (47%). Probabilities: Kozarmisleny SE 25%, draw 28%, Mezokovesd Zsory 47%.

How many goals are expected in Kozarmisleny SE vs Mezokovesd Zsory?

The model expects 2.38 goals (Kozarmisleny SE 0.96 · Mezokovesd Zsory 1.42), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Kozarmisleny SE vs Mezokovesd Zsory?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.