Football · Hungary NB II · 30/08, 17:30

Prediction: Szentlorinc SE vs FC Ajka

Team pages: Szentlorinc SE · FC Ajka

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.64Total

Szentlorinc SE1.38

FC Ajka1.26

1X2

39% 28% 33%

Szentlorinc SE Draw FC Ajka

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Szentlorinc SE 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

LDWWWWDWWL

FC Ajka 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LDDLLLWDDW

Head-to-head

Szentlorinc SE 4–2 FC Ajka (6 last)

FC Ajka2-1Szentlorinc SE
Szentlorinc SE1-0FC Ajka
Szentlorinc SE2-0FC Ajka
FC Ajka0-1Szentlorinc SE
FC Ajka0-2Szentlorinc SE
Szentlorinc SE2-3FC Ajka

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Szentlorinc SE 1521 · FC Ajka 1478

	Szentlorinc SE	Draw	FC Ajka
Our model	39%	29%	33%
Market	39%	28%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 2.64 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Szentlorinc SE (rating 1521 vs 1478).
H2H favours Szentlorinc SE: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Szentlorinc SE	FC Ajka
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.1	1.2 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.5	0.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4.7	2.3 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0	4.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.30

X3.20

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.75

2 (0)2.05

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.90

Under 2.251.90

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
14:57 +7’	2.30	3.20	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Szentlorinc SE 4–0–2 FC Ajka

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/03/26 Hungary NB II	FC Ajka	2-1 HT 2-1	Szentlorinc SE
24/08/25 Hungary NB II	Szentlorinc SE	1-0 HT 1-0	FC Ajka
09/02/25 Hungary NB II	Szentlorinc SE	2-0 HT 1-0	FC Ajka
28/07/24 Hungary NB II	FC Ajka	0-1 HT 0-1	Szentlorinc SE
07/05/23 Hungary NB II	FC Ajka	0-2 HT 0-1	Szentlorinc SE
13/11/22 Hungary NB II	Szentlorinc SE	2-3 HT 1-1	FC Ajka

Standings · Hungary NB II

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Soroksar	5	4	1	0	11	4	13
2	Kazincbarcikai BSC	5	3	2	0	9	4	11
3	Kecskemeti TE	5	3	1	1	9	6	10
4	Gyirmot SE	5	3	1	1	9	8	10
5	Tiszakecske FC	5	2	3	0	10	6	9
6	FC Ajka	4	2	2	0	7	3	8
7	Szentlorinc SE	4	2	1	1	6	5	7
8	Karcagi SE	5	1	4	0	10	7	7
9	Fehervar FC	5	2	0	3	8	7	6
10	Mezokovesd Zsory	4	2	0	2	3	3	6
11	Szeged-Csanad Grosics	4	1	1	2	3	4	4
12	Diosgyori VTK	4	1	1	2	5	11	4
13	Csakvari TK	5	1	0	4	6	10	3
14	FC Nagykanizsa	5	1	0	4	4	8	3
15	BVSC Zuglo	4	0	1	3	1	6	1
16	Kozarmisleny SE	5	0	0	5	3	12	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Szentlorinc SE	FC Ajka
Soroksar	2-3 L	1-3 L
FC Nagykanizsa	1-0 W	2-0 W
Karcagi SE	0-0 D	1-1 D
Tiszakecske FC	2-1 W	1-4 L
Vasas SC	0-4 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Szentlorinc SE

LDWWWWDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	Soroksar Hungary NB II	2-2	2-3	3	7	L
16/08	Csakvari TK Hungary NB II	3-1	3-2	9	7	W
09/08	FC Nagykanizsa Hungary NB II	0-0	1-0	6	6	W
26/07	Karcagi SE Hungary NB II	0-0	0-0	4	1	D
17/05	Tiszakecske FC Hungary NB II	2-0	2-1	1	4	W
10/05	Fehervar FC Hungary NB II	0-1	2-1	5	5	W
03/05	Karcagi SE Hungary NB II	0-0	1-0	4	4	W
26/04	BVSC Zuglo Hungary NB II	1-0	2-0	5	3	W
19/04	Bekescsabai Elore SE Hungary NB II	0-0	0-0	6	2	D
11/04	Vasas SC Hungary NB II	0-1	0-4	4	1	L

FC Ajka

LDDLLLWDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	FC Nagykanizsa Hungary NB II	1-0	2-0	7	8	W
15/08	Diosgyori VTK Hungary NB II	1-0	1-1	7	3	D
08/08	Karcagi SE Hungary NB II	0-0	1-1	5	4	D
25/07	Kecskemeti TE Hungary NB II	1-0	3-1	4	2	W
17/05	Vasas SC Hungary NB II	0-1	1-2	1	3	L
10/05	Szeged-Csanad Grosics Hungary NB II	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
03/05	Soroksar Hungary NB II	0-3	1-3	2	4	L
26/04	Mezokovesd Zsory Hungary NB II	1-1	1-1	2	6	D
19/04	Kozarmisleny SE Hungary NB II	1-1	1-1	5	7	D
11/04	Tiszakecske FC Hungary NB II	0-1	1-4	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Szentlorinc SE vs FC Ajka?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Szentlorinc SE win (39%). Probabilities: Szentlorinc SE 39%, draw 28%, FC Ajka 33%.

How many goals are expected in Szentlorinc SE vs FC Ajka?

The model expects 2.64 goals (Szentlorinc SE 1.38 · FC Ajka 1.26), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Szentlorinc SE vs FC Ajka?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.