Football · Hungary NB II · 05/09, 17:00

Prediction: FC Ajka vs Soroksar

Team pages: FC Ajka · Soroksar

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.52Total

FC Ajka1.28

Soroksar1.23

1X2

37% 29% 35%

FC Ajka Draw Soroksar

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Ajka 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DDLLLWDDWW

Soroksar 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

DWLWWDWWWW

Head-to-head

FC Ajka 2–2–2 Soroksar (6 last)

Soroksar3-1FC Ajka
FC Ajka2-1Soroksar
FC Ajka0-0Soroksar
Soroksar3-1FC Ajka
Soroksar1-3FC Ajka
FC Ajka1-1Soroksar

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Ajka 1505 · Soroksar 1545

	FC Ajka	Draw	Soroksar
Our model	36%	29%	34%
Market	37%	28%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 2.52 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Soroksar (rating 1505 vs 1545).
Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Ajka	Soroksar
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.3	2.3 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.7	1.2 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4	1.4 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.1	4.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.40

X3.20

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.82

2 (0)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.77

Under 2.252.02

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.1%

Time*	1	X	2
18:39 +27’	2.40	3.20	2.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Ajka 2–2–2 Soroksar

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/05/26 Hungary NB II	Soroksar	3-1 HT 3-0	FC Ajka
09/11/25 Hungary NB II	FC Ajka	2-1 HT 1-0	Soroksar
27/04/25 Hungary NB II	FC Ajka	0-0 HT 0-0	Soroksar
27/10/24 Hungary NB II	Soroksar	3-1 HT 2-0	FC Ajka
14/02/24 Hungary NB II	Soroksar	1-3 HT 0-1	FC Ajka
30/07/23 Hungary NB II	FC Ajka	1-1 HT 1-0	Soroksar

Standings · Hungary NB II

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Soroksar	6	5	1	0	17	4	16
2	Kecskemeti TE	6	4	1	1	12	6	13
3	Tiszakecske FC	6	3	3	0	12	7	12
4	Kazincbarcikai BSC	6	3	3	0	10	5	12
5	FC Ajka	5	3	2	0	8	3	11
6	Gyirmot SE	6	3	1	2	11	12	10
7	Karcagi SE	6	2	4	0	12	8	10
8	Mezokovesd Zsory	5	3	0	2	7	5	9
9	Szentlorinc SE	5	2	1	2	6	6	7
10	Fehervar FC	6	2	0	4	9	9	6
11	Szeged-Csanad Grosics	5	1	2	2	4	5	5
12	BVSC Zuglo	5	1	1	3	3	6	4
13	Diosgyori VTK	5	1	1	3	5	13	4
14	FC Nagykanizsa	6	1	0	5	5	10	3
15	Csakvari TK	6	1	0	5	6	16	3
16	Kozarmisleny SE	6	0	0	6	3	15	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Ajka	Soroksar
Szentlorinc SE	1-0 W	3-2 W
FC Nagykanizsa	2-0 W	1-0 W
Diosgyori VTK	1-1 D	4-0 W
Karcagi SE	1-1 D	2-2 D
Kecskemeti TE	3-1 W	3-0 W
Mezokovesd Zsory	1-1 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 0 L	5 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Soroksar (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Ajka

DDLLLWDDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Szentlorinc SE Hungary NB II	1-0	1-0	3	6	W
22/08	FC Nagykanizsa Hungary NB II	1-0	2-0	7	8	W
15/08	Diosgyori VTK Hungary NB II	1-0	1-1	7	3	D
08/08	Karcagi SE Hungary NB II	0-0	1-1	5	4	D
25/07	Kecskemeti TE Hungary NB II	1-0	3-1	4	2	W
17/05	Vasas SC Hungary NB II	0-1	1-2	1	3	L
10/05	Szeged-Csanad Grosics Hungary NB II	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
03/05	Soroksar Hungary NB II	0-3	1-3	2	4	L
26/04	Mezokovesd Zsory Hungary NB II	1-1	1-1	2	6	D
19/04	Kozarmisleny SE Hungary NB II	1-1	1-1	5	7	D

Soroksar

DWLWWDWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Csakvari TK Hungary NB II	3-0	6-0	4	2	W
23/08	Szentlorinc SE Hungary NB II	2-2	3-2	2	7	W
15/08	FC Nagykanizsa Hungary NB II	1-0	1-0	2	8	W
09/08	Diosgyori VTK Hungary NB II	0-0	4-0	5	5	W
02/08	Karcagi SE Hungary NB II	2-2	2-2	4	5	D
26/07	Mezokovesd Zsory Hungary NB II	0-0	1-0	2	3	W
17/05	Kecskemeti TE Hungary NB II	1-0	3-0	3	4	W
10/05	Csakvari TK Hungary NB II	0-1	0-1	8	4	L
03/05	FC Ajka Hungary NB II	3-0	3-1	5	4	W
27/04	Kispest Honved Hungary NB II	0-0	0-0	1	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Ajka vs Soroksar?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Ajka win (37%). Probabilities: FC Ajka 37%, draw 29%, Soroksar 35%.

How many goals are expected in FC Ajka vs Soroksar?

The model expects 2.52 goals (FC Ajka 1.28 · Soroksar 1.23), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Ajka vs Soroksar?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.