Football · Hungary NB II · 05/09, 19:00

Prediction: Tiszakecske FC vs Szentlorinc SE

Team pages: Tiszakecske FC · Szentlorinc SE

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.69Total

Tiszakecske FC1.61

Szentlorinc SE1.07

1X2

49% 27% 24%

Tiszakecske FC Draw Szentlorinc SE

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Tiszakecske FC 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

LWWLDDWDWW

Szentlorinc SE 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

DWWWWDWWLL

Head-to-head

Tiszakecske FC 2–1–3 Szentlorinc SE (6 last)

Tiszakecske FC1-2Szentlorinc SE
Szentlorinc SE1-1Tiszakecske FC
Szentlorinc SE3-2Tiszakecske FC
Tiszakecske FC2-1Szentlorinc SE
Szentlorinc SE1-2Tiszakecske FC
Tiszakecske FC1-2Szentlorinc SE

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tiszakecske FC 1517 · Szentlorinc SE 1521

	Tiszakecske FC	Draw	Szentlorinc SE
Our model	49%	27%	24%
Market	49%	26%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 2.69 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Szentlorinc SE: 3-1-2.
High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Tiszakecske FC	Szentlorinc SE
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.4	1.3 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.9	0.8 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 7	2.1 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.3	4.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.83

X3.40

23.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.88

2 (+0.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.93

Under 2.51.88

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
19:10 +3’	1.83	3.40	3.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Tiszakecske FC 2–1–3 Szentlorinc SE

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/05/26 Hungary NB II	Tiszakecske FC	1-2 HT 0-2	Szentlorinc SE
30/11/25 Hungary NB II	Szentlorinc SE	1-1 HT 1-0	Tiszakecske FC
30/04/23 Hungary NB II	Szentlorinc SE	3-2 HT 1-1	Tiszakecske FC
09/11/22 Hungary NB II	Tiszakecske FC	2-1 HT 2-0	Szentlorinc SE
13/03/22 Hungary NB II	Szentlorinc SE	1-2 HT 0-1	Tiszakecske FC
26/09/21 Hungary NB II	Tiszakecske FC	1-2 HT 1-0	Szentlorinc SE

Standings · Hungary NB II

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Soroksar	6	5	1	0	17	4	16
2	Kecskemeti TE	6	4	1	1	12	6	13
3	Tiszakecske FC	6	3	3	0	12	7	12
4	Kazincbarcikai BSC	6	3	3	0	10	5	12
5	FC Ajka	5	3	2	0	8	3	11
6	Gyirmot SE	6	3	1	2	11	12	10
7	Karcagi SE	6	2	4	0	12	8	10
8	Mezokovesd Zsory	5	3	0	2	7	5	9
9	Szentlorinc SE	5	2	1	2	6	6	7
10	Fehervar FC	6	2	0	4	9	9	6
11	Szeged-Csanad Grosics	5	1	2	2	4	5	5
12	BVSC Zuglo	5	1	1	3	3	6	4
13	Diosgyori VTK	5	1	1	3	5	13	4
14	FC Nagykanizsa	6	1	0	5	5	10	3
15	Csakvari TK	6	1	0	5	6	16	3
16	Kozarmisleny SE	6	0	0	6	3	15	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tiszakecske FC	Szentlorinc SE
FC Nagykanizsa	2-1 W	1-0 W
Karcagi SE	3-3 D	0-0 D
Bekescsabai Elore SE	2-0 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 0 L	1 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Tiszakecske FC (1 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tiszakecske FC

LWWLDDWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	FC Nagykanizsa Hungary NB II	1-1	2-1	8	6	W
22/08	Diosgyori VTK Hungary NB II	2-1	4-1	13	2	W
16/08	Karcagi SE Hungary NB II	0-1	3-3	4	7	D
08/08	Mezokovesd Zsory Hungary NB II	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
01/08	Kecskemeti TE Hungary NB II	1-1	1-1	6	8	D
25/07	Szeged-Csanad Grosics Hungary NB II	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
17/05	Szentlorinc SE Hungary NB II	0-2	1-2	10	4	L
10/05	Karcagi SE Hungary NB II	0-0	1-0	6	3	W
03/05	Bekescsabai Elore SE Hungary NB II	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
26/04	Kecskemeti TE Hungary NB II	1-3	1-5	2	1	L

Szentlorinc SE

DWWWWDWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	FC Ajka Hungary NB II	0-1	0-1	8	6	L
23/08	Soroksar Hungary NB II	2-2	2-3	3	7	L
16/08	Csakvari TK Hungary NB II	3-1	3-2	9	7	W
09/08	FC Nagykanizsa Hungary NB II	0-0	1-0	6	6	W
26/07	Karcagi SE Hungary NB II	0-0	0-0	4	1	D
17/05	Tiszakecske FC Hungary NB II	2-0	2-1	1	4	W
10/05	Fehervar FC Hungary NB II	0-1	2-1	5	5	W
03/05	Karcagi SE Hungary NB II	0-0	1-0	4	4	W
26/04	BVSC Zuglo Hungary NB II	1-0	2-0	5	3	W
19/04	Bekescsabai Elore SE Hungary NB II	0-0	0-0	6	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tiszakecske FC vs Szentlorinc SE?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Tiszakecske FC win (49%). Probabilities: Tiszakecske FC 49%, draw 27%, Szentlorinc SE 24%.

How many goals are expected in Tiszakecske FC vs Szentlorinc SE?

The model expects 2.69 goals (Tiszakecske FC 1.61 · Szentlorinc SE 1.07), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Tiszakecske FC vs Szentlorinc SE?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.