Football · Hungary NB II · 30/08, 17:30

Prediction: Karcagi SE vs Fehervar FC

Team pages: Karcagi SE · Fehervar FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.44Total

Karcagi SE1.11

Fehervar FC1.33

1X2

30% 29% 41%

Karcagi SE Draw Fehervar FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Karcagi SE 1-5-4 (W-D-L)

LDLLLDDDDW

Fehervar FC 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

WLLLLWLWLL

Head-to-head

Karcagi SE 1–1 Fehervar FC (2 last)

Fehervar FC2-0Karcagi SE
Karcagi SE1-0Fehervar FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Karcagi SE 1473 · Fehervar FC 1458

	Karcagi SE	Draw	Fehervar FC
Our model	30%	30%	40%
Market	31%	28%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 2.44 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Karcagi SE	Fehervar FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.3	1.3 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.5	0.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/70/10%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.3	3.1 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.4	5 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

12.90

X3.20

22.15

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.85

2 (-0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.88

Under 2.251.93

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 04:40

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.90▲	Bet365 2.90
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.35 → 2.15▼	Bet365 2.15

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.2%

Time*	1	X	2
14:57 +7’	2.70	3.20	2.35
04:35 +5’	2.90▲	3.20	2.15▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Karcagi SE 1–0–1 Fehervar FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/03/26 Hungary NB II	Fehervar FC	2-0 HT 1-0	Karcagi SE
31/08/25 Hungary NB II	Karcagi SE	1-0 HT 0-0	Fehervar FC

Standings · Hungary NB II

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Soroksar	5	4	1	0	11	4	13
2	Kazincbarcikai BSC	5	3	2	0	9	4	11
3	Kecskemeti TE	5	3	1	1	9	6	10
4	Gyirmot SE	5	3	1	1	9	8	10
5	Tiszakecske FC	5	2	3	0	10	6	9
6	FC Ajka	4	2	2	0	7	3	8
7	Szentlorinc SE	4	2	1	1	6	5	7
8	Karcagi SE	5	1	4	0	10	7	7
9	Fehervar FC	5	2	0	3	8	7	6
10	Mezokovesd Zsory	4	2	0	2	3	3	6
11	Szeged-Csanad Grosics	4	1	1	2	3	4	4
12	Diosgyori VTK	4	1	1	2	5	11	4
13	Csakvari TK	5	1	0	4	6	10	3
14	FC Nagykanizsa	5	1	0	4	4	8	3
15	BVSC Zuglo	4	0	1	3	1	6	1
16	Kozarmisleny SE	5	0	0	5	3	12	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Karcagi SE	Fehervar FC
BVSC Zuglo	4-1 W	0-1 L
Szentlorinc SE	0-0 D	1-2 L
Kozarmisleny SE	1-2 L	4-0 W
Kecskemeti TE	1-2 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Karcagi SE (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Karcagi SE

LDLLLDDDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	BVSC Zuglo Hungary NB II	1-1	4-1	1	4	W
16/08	Tiszakecske FC Hungary NB II	1-0	3-3	6	7	D
08/08	FC Ajka Hungary NB II	0-0	1-1	1	4	D
02/08	Soroksar Hungary NB II	2-2	2-2	2	5	D
26/07	Szentlorinc SE Hungary NB II	0-0	0-0	2	1	D
17/05	Kozarmisleny SE Hungary NB II	1-0	1-2	5	7	L
10/05	Tiszakecske FC Hungary NB II	0-0	0-1	4	3	L
03/05	Szentlorinc SE Hungary NB II	0-0	0-1	10	4	L
26/04	Bekescsabai Elore SE Hungary NB II	0-0	0-0	5	9	D
19/04	Kecskemeti TE Hungary NB II	0-2	1-2	7	6	L

Fehervar FC

WLLLLWLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Mezokovesd Zsory Hungary NB II	1-1	1-2	7	7	L
15/08	Kecskemeti TE Hungary NB II	0-0	1-2	1	5	L
08/08	Szeged-Csanad Grosics Hungary NB II	0-0	1-0	0	15	W
01/08	Kazincbarcikai BSC Hungary NB II	1-1	1-3	7	1	L
25/07	Kozarmisleny SE Hungary NB II	1-0	4-0	8	5	W
17/05	Budafoki MTE Hungary NB II	1-1	1-3	8	2	L
10/05	Szentlorinc SE Hungary NB II	1-0	1-2	5	5	L
03/05	BVSC Zuglo Hungary NB II	0-1	0-1	4	5	L
26/04	Vasas SC Hungary NB II	0-0	0-2	8	8	L
19/04	Szeged-Csanad Grosics Hungary NB II	2-0	3-0	2	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Karcagi SE vs Fehervar FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Fehervar FC win (41%). Probabilities: Karcagi SE 30%, draw 29%, Fehervar FC 41%.

How many goals are expected in Karcagi SE vs Fehervar FC?

The model expects 2.44 goals (Karcagi SE 1.11 · Fehervar FC 1.33), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Karcagi SE vs Fehervar FC?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.