Football · Argentina Championship Women · 05/09, 16:00
Prediction: San Luis FC (W) vs CA Independiente Women
Team pages: San Luis FC (W) · CA Independiente Women
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.75Total
San Luis FC (W)1.67
CA Independiente Women1.08
1X2
San Luis FC (W)
Draw
CA Independiente Women
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
San Luis FC (W)
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
CA Independiente Women
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
San Luis FC (W)
3–1–1
CA Independiente Women
(5 last)
- CA Independiente Women1-0San Luis FC (W)
- San Luis FC (W)5-0CA Independiente Women
- San Luis FC (W)1-0CA Independiente Women
- CA Independiente Women1-1San Luis FC (W)
- San Luis FC (W)3-0CA Independiente Women
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · San Luis FC (W) 1506 · CA Independiente Women 1440
| San Luis FC (W) | Draw | CA Independiente Women | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 27% | 23% |
| Market | 50% | 27% | 23% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.75 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours San Luis FC (W) (rating 1506 vs 1440).
- H2H favours San Luis FC (W): 3-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| San Luis FC (W) | CA Independiente Women | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.5 | 0.8 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 0.1 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/33/33% | 11/22/67% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 2.6 | 2.4 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0.1 | 4.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · San Luis FC (W) 3–1–1 CA Independiente Women
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/05/26 Argentina Championship Women | CA Independiente Women | 1-0 HT 1-0 | San Luis FC (W) |
| 17/09/25 Argentina Championship Women | San Luis FC (W) | 5-0 HT 1-0 | CA Independiente Women |
| 08/02/25 Argentina Championship Women | San Luis FC (W) | 1-0 | CA Independiente Women |
| 31/10/24 Argentina Championship Women | CA Independiente Women | 1-1 | San Luis FC (W) |
| 15/06/24 Argentina Championship Women | San Luis FC (W) | 3-0 HT 1-0 | CA Independiente Women |
Standings · Argentina Championship Women · Primera Division A, Women 2026, Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Banfield (W) | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 13 |
| 2 | San Luis FC (W) | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 12 |
| 3 | San Lorenzo (W) | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 11 |
| 4 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 11 |
| 5 | Social Atletico Television (W) | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 11 |
| 6 | Belgrano (W) | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 4 | 10 |
| 7 | Boca Juniors (W) | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| 8 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 10 |
| 9 | River Plate (W) | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 9 |
| 10 | Union Santa Fe (W) | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 8 |
| 11 | Huracan (W) | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 7 |
| 12 | Lanus (W) | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
| 13 | CA Independiente Women | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 6 |
| 14 | Racing Club (W) | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
| 15 | Gimnasia LP (W) | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 | Newell's Old Boys (W) | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 15 | 0 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | San Luis FC (W) | CA Independiente Women |
|---|---|---|
| Huracan (W) | 2-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Belgrano (W) | 1-0 W | 0-6 L |
| River Plate (W) | 1-5 L | 0-1 L |
| Banfield (W) | 1-3 L | 0-3 L |
| Gimnasia LP (W) | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Newell's Old Boys (W) | 4-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Racing Club (W) | 0-2 L | 1-3 L |
| San Lorenzo (W) | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 4 L | 2 W 0 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: San Luis FC (W) (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
San Luis FC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Huracan (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 22/08 | Belgrano (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 16/08 | River Plate (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-2 | 1-5 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 09/08 | Banfield (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 02/08 | Gimnasia LP (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 27/07 | Newell's Old Boys (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 22/07 | Racing Club (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 13/07 | San Lorenzo (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 08/07 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) Argentina Championship Women |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 04/07 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
CA Independiente Women
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Union Santa Fe (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 24/08 | Social Atletico Television (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 17/08 | Huracan (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 10/08 | Belgrano (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-6 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 03/08 | River Plate (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 11 | 6 | L |
| 25/07 | Banfield (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 17/07 | Gimnasia LP (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 12/07 | Newell's Old Boys (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 09/07 | Racing Club (W) Argentina Championship Women |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 04/07 | San Lorenzo (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 9 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in San Luis FC (W) vs CA Independiente Women?
According to our model, the most likely result is a San Luis FC (W) win (50%). Probabilities: San Luis FC (W) 50%, draw 27%, CA Independiente Women 23%.
How many goals are expected in San Luis FC (W) vs CA Independiente Women?
The model expects 2.75 goals (San Luis FC (W) 1.67 · CA Independiente Women 1.08), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in San Luis FC (W) vs CA Independiente Women?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.