Football · Argentina Championship Women · 13/09, 15:00
Prediction: Social Atletico Television (W) vs Newell's Old Boys (W)
Team pages: Social Atletico Television (W) · Newell's Old Boys (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.34Total
Social Atletico Television (W)1.73
Newell's Old Boys (W)0.6
1X2
Social Atletico Television (W)
Draw
Newell's Old Boys (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
1-0 16%
Recent form · 10 last
Social Atletico Television (W)
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Newell's Old Boys (W)
1-0-9 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Social Atletico Television (W)
1–1–3
Newell's Old Boys (W)
(5 last)
- Newell's Old Boys (W)0-0Social Atletico Television (W)
- Newell's Old Boys (W)4-1Social Atletico Television (W)
- Newell's Old Boys (W)1-0Social Atletico Television (W)
- Newell's Old Boys (W)2-0Social Atletico Television (W)
- Social Atletico Television (W)5-1Newell's Old Boys (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Social Atletico Television (W) 1536 · Newell's Old Boys (W) 1402
| Social Atletico Television (W) | Draw | Newell's Old Boys (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 25% | 11% |
| Market | 67% | 18% | 15% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.34 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Social Atletico Television (W) (rating 1536 vs 1402).
- H2H favours Newell's Old Boys (W): 3-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Social Atletico Television (W) | Newell's Old Boys (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 0.8 | 0.5 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 0.1 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 13/63/25% | 0/38/63% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.1 | 1.3 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.1 / 0 | 2.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Social Atletico Television (W) 1–1–3 Newell's Old Boys (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/26 Argentina Championship Women | Newell's Old Boys (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Social Atletico Television (W) |
| 25/08/25 Argentina Championship Women | Newell's Old Boys (W) | 4-1 HT 0-1 | Social Atletico Television (W) |
| 19/04/25 Argentina Championship Women | Newell's Old Boys (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Social Atletico Television (W) |
| 26/08/24 Argentina Championship Women | Newell's Old Boys (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Social Atletico Television (W) |
| 30/03/24 Argentina Championship Women | Social Atletico Television (W) | 5-1 HT 0-0 | Newell's Old Boys (W) |
Standings · Argentina Championship Women · Primera Division A, Women 2026, Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Belgrano (W) | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 5 | 16 |
| 2 | San Lorenzo (W) | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 15 |
| 3 | Banfield (W) | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 15 |
| 4 | San Luis FC (W) | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 15 |
| 5 | Social Atletico Television (W) | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 14 |
| 6 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 12 |
| 7 | Lanus (W) | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 12 |
| 8 | Boca Juniors (W) | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 10 |
| 9 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 10 |
| 10 | River Plate (W) | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 9 |
| 11 | Union Santa Fe (W) | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 8 |
| 12 | Racing Club (W) | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 7 |
| 13 | Huracan (W) | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 7 |
| 14 | CA Independiente Women | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 6 |
| 15 | Gimnasia LP (W) | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 | Newell's Old Boys (W) | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 19 | 0 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Social Atletico Television (W) | Newell's Old Boys (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Union Santa Fe (W) | 3-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Racing Club (W) | 1-0 W | 1-4 L |
| CA Independiente Women | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| San Lorenzo (W) | 0-0 D | 0-4 L |
| Huracan (W) | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) | 2-2 D | 0-2 L |
| Ferro Carril Oeste (W) | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Boca Juniors (W) | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 7 L |
Better against common opponents: Social Atletico Television (W) (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Social Atletico Television (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Union Santa Fe (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 31/08 | Racing Club (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 24/08 | CA Independiente Women Argentina Championship Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 17/08 | San Lorenzo (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 11/08 | Huracan (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 02/08 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 26/07 | Belgrano (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 22/07 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) Argentina Championship Women |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 13/07 | River Plate (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 08/07 | Boca Juniors (W) Argentina Championship Women |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
Newell's Old Boys (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Racing Club (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-2 | 1-4 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 30/08 | San Lorenzo (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-3 | 0-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 16/08 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | Boca Juniors (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 02/08 | Lanus (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 27/07 | San Luis FC (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 22/07 | Union Santa Fe (W) Argentina Championship Women |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 12/07 | CA Independiente Women Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 08/07 | Huracan (W) Argentina Championship Women |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Social Atletico Television (W) vs Newell's Old Boys (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Social Atletico Television (W) win (66%). Probabilities: Social Atletico Television (W) 66%, draw 21%, Newell's Old Boys (W) 13%.
How many goals are expected in Social Atletico Television (W) vs Newell's Old Boys (W)?
The model expects 2.34 goals (Social Atletico Television (W) 1.73 · Newell's Old Boys (W) 0.6), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Social Atletico Television (W) vs Newell's Old Boys (W)?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.