Football · Argentina Championship Women · 12/09, 20:00
Prediction: Union Santa Fe (W) vs San Luis FC (W)
Team pages: Union Santa Fe (W) · San Luis FC (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.85Total
Union Santa Fe (W)1.13
San Luis FC (W)1.72
1X2
Union Santa Fe (W)
Draw
San Luis FC (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Union Santa Fe (W)
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
San Luis FC (W)
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Union Santa Fe (W)
0–1
San Luis FC (W)
(1 last)
- San Luis FC (W)3-0Union Santa Fe (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Union Santa Fe (W) 1435 · San Luis FC (W) 1514
| Union Santa Fe (W) | Draw | San Luis FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 24% | 26% | 50% |
| Market | 24% | 26% | 50% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.85 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours San Luis FC (W) (rating 1435 vs 1514).
- Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Union Santa Fe (W) | San Luis FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.8 | 1.5 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 25/38/38% | 38/25/38% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.6 / 1.5 | 1.4 / 2.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.1 | 2.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Union Santa Fe (W) 0–0–1 San Luis FC (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/26 Argentina Championship Women | San Luis FC (W) | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Union Santa Fe (W) |
Standings · Argentina Championship Women · Primera Division A, Women 2026, Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Luis FC (W) | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 15 |
| 2 | San Lorenzo (W) | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 14 |
| 3 | Banfield (W) | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 14 |
| 4 | Social Atletico Television (W) | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 14 |
| 5 | Belgrano (W) | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 4 | 13 |
| 6 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 12 |
| 7 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 10 |
| 8 | Boca Juniors (W) | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 10 |
| 9 | River Plate (W) | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 9 |
| 10 | Lanus (W) | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 9 |
| 11 | Union Santa Fe (W) | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 8 |
| 12 | Racing Club (W) | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 7 |
| 13 | Huracan (W) | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 7 |
| 14 | CA Independiente Women | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 6 |
| 15 | Gimnasia LP (W) | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 | Newell's Old Boys (W) | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 19 | 0 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Union Santa Fe (W) | San Luis FC (W) |
|---|---|---|
| CA Independiente Women | 1-3 L | 3-1 W |
| Huracan (W) | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Belgrano (W) | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| River Plate (W) | 1-3 L | 1-5 L |
| Banfield (W) | 2-1 W | 1-3 L |
| Gimnasia LP (W) | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Newell's Old Boys (W) | 0-2 L | 4-1 W |
| Racing Club (W) | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| San Lorenzo (W) | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 5 L | 5 W 0 D 4 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Union Santa Fe (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Social Atletico Television (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 31/08 | CA Independiente Women Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 1-3 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 22/08 | Huracan (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 16/08 | Belgrano (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 09/08 | River Plate (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 02/08 | Banfield (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 27/07 | Gimnasia LP (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 22/07 | Newell's Old Boys (W) Argentina Championship Women |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 13/07 | Racing Club (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 08/07 | San Lorenzo (W) Argentina Championship Women |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
San Luis FC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | CA Independiente Women Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 29/08 | Huracan (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 22/08 | Belgrano (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 16/08 | River Plate (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-2 | 1-5 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 09/08 | Banfield (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 02/08 | Gimnasia LP (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 27/07 | Newell's Old Boys (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 22/07 | Racing Club (W) Argentina Championship Women |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 13/07 | San Lorenzo (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 08/07 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) Argentina Championship Women |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Union Santa Fe (W) vs San Luis FC (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an San Luis FC (W) win (50%). Probabilities: Union Santa Fe (W) 24%, draw 26%, San Luis FC (W) 50%.
How many goals are expected in Union Santa Fe (W) vs San Luis FC (W)?
The model expects 2.85 goals (Union Santa Fe (W) 1.13 · San Luis FC (W) 1.72), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Union Santa Fe (W) vs San Luis FC (W)?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.