Football · Argentina Championship Women · 11/09, 20:30
Prediction: Banfield (W) vs San Lorenzo (W)
Team pages: Banfield (W) · San Lorenzo (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.4Total
Banfield (W)0.89
San Lorenzo (W)1.51
1X2
Banfield (W)
Draw
San Lorenzo (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Banfield (W)
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
San Lorenzo (W)
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Banfield (W)
2–1–3
San Lorenzo (W)
(6 last)
- San Lorenzo (W)3-0Banfield (W)
- Banfield (W)0-2San Lorenzo (W)
- San Lorenzo (W)0-0Banfield (W)
- Banfield (W)1-0San Lorenzo (W)
- Banfield (W)0-1San Lorenzo (W)
- San Lorenzo (W)1-2Banfield (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Banfield (W) 1515 · San Lorenzo (W) 1575
| Banfield (W) | Draw | San Lorenzo (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 21% | 28% | 51% |
| Market | 21% | 28% | 51% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.4 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours San Lorenzo (W) (rating 1515 vs 1575).
- H2H favours San Lorenzo (W): 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Banfield (W) | San Lorenzo (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.2 | 1.5 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.4 | 1.1 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 38/63/0% | 50/50/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 4.5 | 1.9 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.1 | 3.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Banfield (W) 2–1–3 San Lorenzo (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/05/26 Argentina Championship Women | San Lorenzo (W) | 3-0 HT 3-0 | Banfield (W) |
| 28/09/25 Argentina Championship Women | Banfield (W) | 0-2 HT 0-2 | San Lorenzo (W) |
| 17/08/25 Argentina Championship Women | San Lorenzo (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Banfield (W) |
| 19/03/25 Argentina Championship Women | Banfield (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | San Lorenzo (W) |
| 23/11/24 Argentina Championship Women | Banfield (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | San Lorenzo (W) |
| 05/07/24 Argentina Championship Women | San Lorenzo (W) | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Banfield (W) |
Standings · Argentina Championship Women · Primera Division A, Women 2026, Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Luis FC (W) | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 15 |
| 2 | San Lorenzo (W) | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 14 |
| 3 | Banfield (W) | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 14 |
| 4 | Social Atletico Television (W) | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 14 |
| 5 | Belgrano (W) | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 4 | 13 |
| 6 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 12 |
| 7 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 10 |
| 8 | Boca Juniors (W) | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 10 |
| 9 | River Plate (W) | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 9 |
| 10 | Lanus (W) | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 9 |
| 11 | Union Santa Fe (W) | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 8 |
| 12 | Racing Club (W) | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 7 |
| 13 | Huracan (W) | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 7 |
| 14 | CA Independiente Women | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 6 |
| 15 | Gimnasia LP (W) | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 | Newell's Old Boys (W) | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 19 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Banfield (W) | San Lorenzo (W) |
|---|---|---|
| CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Ferro Carril Oeste (W) | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Boca Juniors (W) | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Lanus (W) | 3-2 W | 0-1 L |
| San Luis FC (W) | 3-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Union Santa Fe (W) | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 1 L | 3 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Banfield (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Banfield (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 01/09 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 22/08 | Boca Juniors (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 16/08 | Lanus (W) Argentina Championship Women |
3-2 | 3-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 09/08 | San Luis FC (W) Argentina Championship Women |
2-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 02/08 | Union Santa Fe (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 25/07 | CA Independiente Women Argentina Championship Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 22/07 | Huracan (W) Argentina Championship Women |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 13/07 | Belgrano (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 08/07 | River Plate (W) Argentina Championship Women |
– | 1-4 | – | – | L |
San Lorenzo (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Gimnasia LP (W) Argentina Championship Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 30/08 | Newell's Old Boys (W) Argentina Championship Women |
3-0 | 4-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 24/08 | Racing Club (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 17/08 | Social Atletico Television (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 10/08 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 03/08 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 27/07 | Boca Juniors (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 22/07 | Lanus (W) Argentina Championship Women |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 13/07 | San Luis FC (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 08/07 | Union Santa Fe (W) Argentina Championship Women |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Banfield (W) vs San Lorenzo (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an San Lorenzo (W) win (51%). Probabilities: Banfield (W) 21%, draw 28%, San Lorenzo (W) 51%.
How many goals are expected in Banfield (W) vs San Lorenzo (W)?
The model expects 2.4 goals (Banfield (W) 0.89 · San Lorenzo (W) 1.51), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Banfield (W) vs San Lorenzo (W)?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.