Football · Argentina Championship Women · 07/09, 20:00
Prediction: Union Santa Fe (W) vs Social Atletico Television (W)
Team pages: Union Santa Fe (W) · Social Atletico Television (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.3Total
Union Santa Fe (W)0.89
Social Atletico Television (W)1.41
1X2
Union Santa Fe (W)
Draw
Social Atletico Television (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Union Santa Fe (W)
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Social Atletico Television (W)
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Union Santa Fe (W)
0–1
Social Atletico Television (W)
(1 last)
- Social Atletico Television (W)5-0Union Santa Fe (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Union Santa Fe (W) 1451 · Social Atletico Television (W) 1539
| Union Santa Fe (W) | Draw | Social Atletico Television (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 22% | 30% | 48% |
| Market | 23% | 29% | 48% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.3 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Social Atletico Television (W) (rating 1451 vs 1539).
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Union Santa Fe (W) | Social Atletico Television (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.5 | 0.9 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 25/38/38% | 25/50/25% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.9 / 1.6 | 2 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.1 | 2.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Union Santa Fe (W) 0–0–1 Social Atletico Television (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/26 Argentina Championship Women | Social Atletico Television (W) | 5-0 HT 2-0 | Union Santa Fe (W) |
Standings · Argentina Championship Women · Primera Division A, Women 2026, Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Luis FC (W) | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 15 |
| 2 | San Lorenzo (W) | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 14 |
| 3 | Banfield (W) | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 14 |
| 4 | Belgrano (W) | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 4 | 13 |
| 5 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 12 |
| 6 | Social Atletico Television (W) | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 11 |
| 7 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 10 |
| 8 | Boca Juniors (W) | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 10 |
| 9 | River Plate (W) | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 9 |
| 10 | Lanus (W) | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 9 |
| 11 | Union Santa Fe (W) | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 8 |
| 12 | Racing Club (W) | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 7 |
| 13 | Huracan (W) | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 7 |
| 14 | CA Independiente Women | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 6 |
| 15 | Gimnasia LP (W) | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 | Newell's Old Boys (W) | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 19 | 0 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Union Santa Fe (W) | Social Atletico Television (W) |
|---|---|---|
| CA Independiente Women | 1-3 L | 2-0 W |
| Huracan (W) | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Belgrano (W) | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| River Plate (W) | 1-3 L | 0-3 L |
| Banfield (W) | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Racing Club (W) | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| San Lorenzo (W) | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 4 L | 4 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Social Atletico Television (W) (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Union Santa Fe (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | CA Independiente Women Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 1-3 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 22/08 | Huracan (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 16/08 | Belgrano (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 09/08 | River Plate (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 02/08 | Banfield (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 27/07 | Gimnasia LP (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 22/07 | Newell's Old Boys (W) Argentina Championship Women |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 13/07 | Racing Club (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 08/07 | San Lorenzo (W) Argentina Championship Women |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 04/07 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
Social Atletico Television (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Racing Club (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 24/08 | CA Independiente Women Argentina Championship Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 17/08 | San Lorenzo (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 11/08 | Huracan (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 02/08 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 26/07 | Belgrano (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 22/07 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) Argentina Championship Women |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 13/07 | River Plate (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 08/07 | Boca Juniors (W) Argentina Championship Women |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 05/07 | Banfield (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Union Santa Fe (W) vs Social Atletico Television (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Social Atletico Television (W) win (48%). Probabilities: Union Santa Fe (W) 23%, draw 29%, Social Atletico Television (W) 48%.
How many goals are expected in Union Santa Fe (W) vs Social Atletico Television (W)?
The model expects 2.3 goals (Union Santa Fe (W) 0.89 · Social Atletico Television (W) 1.41), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Union Santa Fe (W) vs Social Atletico Television (W)?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.