Football · Argentina Championship Women · 04/09, 19:30
Prediction: Racing Club (W) vs Newell's Old Boys (W)
Team pages: Racing Club (W) · Newell's Old Boys (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.54Total
Racing Club (W)2.22
Newell's Old Boys (W)0.32
1X2
Racing Club (W)
Draw
Newell's Old Boys (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Not both to score 58%
Most likely score
2-0 19%
Recent form · 10 last
Racing Club (W)
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Newell's Old Boys (W)
1-0-9 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Racing Club (W)
4–1
Newell's Old Boys (W)
(5 last)
- Newell's Old Boys (W)0-1Racing Club (W)
- Racing Club (W)1-0Newell's Old Boys (W)
- Racing Club (W)0-2Newell's Old Boys (W)
- Racing Club (W)1-0Newell's Old Boys (W)
- Newell's Old Boys (W)0-2Racing Club (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Racing Club (W) 1542 · Newell's Old Boys (W) 1386
| Racing Club (W) | Draw | Newell's Old Boys (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 81% | 16% | 4% |
| Market | 82% | 13% | 5% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.54 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Racing Club (W) (rating 1542 vs 1386).
- H2H favours Racing Club (W): 4-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Racing Club (W) | Newell's Old Boys (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 0.9 | 0.4 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.1 | 0 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/67/0% | 0/50/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.4 | 1.1 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0 | 3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Racing Club (W) 4–0–1 Newell's Old Boys (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/05/26 Argentina Championship Women | Newell's Old Boys (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Racing Club (W) |
| 10/11/25 Argentina Championship Women | Racing Club (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Newell's Old Boys (W) |
| 10/03/25 Argentina Championship Women | Racing Club (W) | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Newell's Old Boys (W) |
| 30/08/24 Argentina Championship Women | Racing Club (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Newell's Old Boys (W) |
| 13/04/24 Argentina Championship Women | Newell's Old Boys (W) | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Racing Club (W) |
Standings · Argentina Championship Women · Primera Division A, Women 2026, Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Banfield (W) | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 13 |
| 2 | San Luis FC (W) | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 12 |
| 3 | San Lorenzo (W) | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 11 |
| 4 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 11 |
| 5 | Social Atletico Television (W) | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 11 |
| 6 | Belgrano (W) | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 4 | 10 |
| 7 | Boca Juniors (W) | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| 8 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 10 |
| 9 | River Plate (W) | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 9 |
| 10 | Union Santa Fe (W) | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 8 |
| 11 | Huracan (W) | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 7 |
| 12 | Lanus (W) | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
| 13 | CA Independiente Women | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 6 |
| 14 | Racing Club (W) | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
| 15 | Gimnasia LP (W) | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 | Newell's Old Boys (W) | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 15 | 0 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Racing Club (W) | Newell's Old Boys (W) |
|---|---|---|
| San Lorenzo (W) | 0-1 L | 0-4 L |
| CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Ferro Carril Oeste (W) | 3-2 W | 1-2 L |
| Boca Juniors (W) | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| San Luis FC (W) | 2-0 W | 1-4 L |
| Union Santa Fe (W) | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| CA Independiente Women | 3-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Huracan (W) | 2-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Belgrano (W) | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 2 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 8 L |
Better against common opponents: Racing Club (W) (8 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Racing Club (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Social Atletico Television (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 24/08 | San Lorenzo (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 14/08 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 09/08 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 03/08 | Boca Juniors (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 22/07 | San Luis FC (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 13/07 | Union Santa Fe (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 09/07 | CA Independiente Women Argentina Championship Women |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 04/07 | Huracan (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 26/06 | Belgrano (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
Newell's Old Boys (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | San Lorenzo (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-3 | 0-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 16/08 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | Boca Juniors (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 02/08 | Lanus (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 27/07 | San Luis FC (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 22/07 | Union Santa Fe (W) Argentina Championship Women |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 12/07 | CA Independiente Women Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 08/07 | Huracan (W) Argentina Championship Women |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 04/07 | Belgrano (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Racing Club (W) vs Newell's Old Boys (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Racing Club (W) win (81%). Probabilities: Racing Club (W) 81%, draw 14%, Newell's Old Boys (W) 4%.
How many goals are expected in Racing Club (W) vs Newell's Old Boys (W)?
The model expects 2.54 goals (Racing Club (W) 2.22 · Newell's Old Boys (W) 0.32), with a 59% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Racing Club (W) vs Newell's Old Boys (W)?
The model gives a 58% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.