Football · Uruguay Segunda · 04/09, 21:00

Prediction: La Luz vs Huracan DPA

Team pages: La Luz · Huracan DPA

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.21Total
La Luz1.31
Huracan DPA0.9
1X2
45% 30% 25%
La Luz Draw Huracan DPA
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
La Luz 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
WDLWWLDLLD
Huracan DPA 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
WLLLLLLWDW
Head-to-head
La Luz 0–2–1 Huracan DPA (3 last)
  • Huracan DPA1-1La Luz
  • La Luz2-2Huracan DPA
  • Huracan DPA1-0La Luz
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · La Luz 1479 · Huracan DPA 1464
La LuzDrawHuracan DPA
Our model45%31%24%
Market46%29%25%
Estimated total (ours) 2.21 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 12.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

La LuzHuracan DPA
Goals for / against (FT)0.8 / 10.8 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.50.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/40/30%30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)2.9 / 6.11.7 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)6.7 / 0.65.6 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · La Luz 021 Huracan DPA

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
31/05/26
Uruguay Segunda
Huracan DPA1-1
HT 0-0
La Luz
28/03/26
Uruguay Segunda
La Luz2-2
HT 2-1
Huracan DPA
14/10/18
Uruguay Segunda B Nacional
Huracan DPA1-0
HT 0-0
La Luz

Standings · Uruguay Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Group A

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Atletico Fenix Montevideo 6321 13711
2 Huracan DPA 6240 9610
3 Uruguay Montevideo 6231 759
4 Cerrito 6231 889
5 La Luz 6141 567
6 CA Atenas 6114 5114
7 Tacuarembo 6033 593

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentLa LuzHuracan DPA
Uruguay Montevideo 0-0 D 1-3 L
Club Oriental 0-2 L 0-1 L
Colon FC 1-2 L 0-2 L
Atletico Fenix Montevideo 0-0 D 0-2 L
Rentistas 2-5 L 1-2 L
Miramar Misiones 1-0 W 1-0 W
CA River Plate 0-0 D 0-2 L
Cerrito 2-0 W 2-1 W
Record vs common 2 W 3 D 3 L 2 W 0 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: La Luz (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

La Luz

WDLWWLDLLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/08 Uruguay Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-0 87 D
23/08 Club Oriental
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 0-2 96 L
17/08 Colon FC
Uruguay Segunda
0-2 1-2 102 L
08/08 Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-0 57 D
01/08 Rentistas
Uruguay Segunda
1-2 2-5 912 L
27/07 Miramar Misiones
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 1-0 59 W
13/07 Tacuarembo
Uruguay Segunda
2-0 2-0 36 W
04/07 Plaza Colonia
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-1 910 L
28/06 CA River Plate
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-0 23 D
21/06 Cerrito
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 2-0 111 W

Huracan DPA

WLLLLLLWDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/08 Cerrito
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 2-1 512 W
23/08 CA Atenas
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-0 15 D
15/08 Paysandu FC
Uruguay Segunda
2-1 3-2 57 W
09/08 CA River Plate
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 0-2 46 L
01/08 Uruguay Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
1-2 1-3 84 L
19/07 Club Oriental
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-1 57 L
11/07 Colon FC
Uruguay Segunda
0-2 0-2 77 L
05/07 Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 0-2 31 L
27/06 Rentistas
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 1-2 106 L
19/06 Miramar Misiones
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 1-0 25 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in La Luz vs Huracan DPA?

According to our model, the most likely result is a La Luz win (45%). Probabilities: La Luz 45%, draw 30%, Huracan DPA 25%.

How many goals are expected in La Luz vs Huracan DPA?

The model expects 2.21 goals (La Luz 1.31 · Huracan DPA 0.9), with a 52% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in La Luz vs Huracan DPA?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.