Football · Israel Liga Alef South · 03/09, 17:45

Prediction: Maccabi Yavne vs Hapoel Azor

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.71Total

Maccabi Yavne1.68

Hapoel Azor1.03

1X2

52% 26% 22%

Maccabi Yavne Draw Hapoel Azor

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Maccabi Yavne 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

DWWWDWLWDW

Hapoel Azor 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LLLDWDLLDW

Head-to-head

Maccabi Yavne 4–2–0 Hapoel Azor (6 last)

Maccabi Yavne1-1Hapoel Azor
Hapoel Azor0-0Maccabi Yavne
Maccabi Yavne4-1Hapoel Azor
Maccabi Yavne3-1Hapoel Azor
Hapoel Azor1-2Maccabi Yavne
Maccabi Yavne3-0Hapoel Azor

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Maccabi Yavne 1564 · Hapoel Azor 1463

	Maccabi Yavne	Draw	Hapoel Azor
Our model	52%	27%	22%
Market	52%	26%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 2.71 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maccabi Yavne (rating 1564 vs 1463).
H2H favours Maccabi Yavne: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Maccabi Yavne	Hapoel Azor
Goals for / against (FT)	2.6 / 1.2	0.8 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.6	0.1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/10/30%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.3	1.7 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.1 / 0.3	4.5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.73

X3.50

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.98

2 (+0.75)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.00

Under 2.51.80

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
06:55 +14’	1.73	3.50	4.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Maccabi Yavne 4–2–0 Hapoel Azor

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
12/12/25 Israel Liga Alef South	Maccabi Yavne	1-1 HT 0-0	Hapoel Azor
06/02/25 Israel Liga Alef South	Hapoel Azor	0-0 HT 0-0	Maccabi Yavne
09/10/24 Israel Liga Alef South	Maccabi Yavne	4-1 HT 1-0	Hapoel Azor
08/04/22 Israel Liga Alef South	Maccabi Yavne	3-1 HT 0-1	Hapoel Azor
24/12/21 Israel Liga Alef South	Hapoel Azor	1-2 HT 1-2	Maccabi Yavne
05/08/21 Europe Friendlies	Maccabi Yavne	3-0 HT 1-0	Hapoel Azor

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Maccabi Yavne	Hapoel Azor
Kfar Saba 1928	4-2 W	0-1 L
Hapoel Holon Yaniv	1-1 D	2-0 W
AS Nordia Jerusalem	1-1 D	2-1 W
Hapoel Herzliya	3-0 W	0-0 D
Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi	3-2 W	0-1 L
FC Beitar Yavne	2-2 D	1-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 0 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Maccabi Yavne (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Maccabi Yavne

DWWWDWLWDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/02	Kfar Saba 1928 Israel Liga Alef South	0-1	4-2	8	6	W
20/02	Hapoel Holon Yaniv Israel Liga Alef South	0-1	1-1	4	2	D
12/02	Shimshon Tel Aviv Israel Liga Alef South	2-0	2-1	4	9	W
06/02	Maccabi Kiryat Gat Israel Liga Alef South	0-1	1-2	7	6	L
30/01	Sport Club Dimona Israel Liga Alef South	3-1	4-1	6	6	W
23/01	AS Nordia Jerusalem Israel Liga Alef South	1-0	1-1	8	5	D
16/01	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod Israel Liga Alef South	2-0	5-0	9	5	W
10/01	Hapoel Herzliya Israel Liga Alef South	1-0	3-0	2	5	W
06/01	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi Israel Liga Alef South	1-1	3-2	3	4	W
02/01	FC Beitar Yavne Israel Liga Alef South	2-1	2-2	2	6	D

Hapoel Azor

LLLDWDLLDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/02	AS Nordia Jerusalem Israel Liga Alef South	1-0	2-1	4	7	W
12/02	Hapoel Herzliya Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	0-0	6	2	D
06/02	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi Israel Liga Alef South	0-1	0-1	2	6	L
29/01	FC Beitar Yavne Israel Liga Alef South	0-2	1-2	5	4	L
23/01	Hapoel Marmorek Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	0-0	6	5	D
16/01	Hapoel Holon Yaniv Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	2-0	5	2	W
09/01	MS Jerusalem Israel Liga Alef South	0-1	1-1	4	4	D
06/01	Tzeirey Tira Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	0-3	1	6	L
02/01	Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon Israel Liga Alef South	0-2	2-3	8	3	L
18/12	Kfar Saba 1928 Israel Liga Alef South	0-1	0-1	2	9	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Maccabi Yavne vs Hapoel Azor?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Maccabi Yavne win (52%). Probabilities: Maccabi Yavne 52%, draw 26%, Hapoel Azor 22%.

How many goals are expected in Maccabi Yavne vs Hapoel Azor?

The model expects 2.71 goals (Maccabi Yavne 1.68 · Hapoel Azor 1.03), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Maccabi Yavne vs Hapoel Azor?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.