Football · Venezuela Segunda Division · 20/09, 21:00
Prediction: Bolivar SC vs Aragua
Team pages: Bolivar SC · Aragua
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.31Total
Bolivar SC1.1
Aragua1.2
1X2
Bolivar SC
Draw
Aragua
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Bolivar SC
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Aragua
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Bolivar SC
2–2–2
Aragua
(6 last)
- Aragua1-0Bolivar SC
- Bolivar SC0-0Aragua
- Aragua2-1Bolivar SC
- Bolivar SC1-0Aragua
- Aragua0-1Bolivar SC
- Bolivar SC1-1Aragua
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aragua (rating 1465 vs 1535).
- Cards-heavy: 10.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bolivar SC | Aragua | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.3 | 1.4 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.7 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.7 | 3 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0.3 | 5.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bolivar SC 2–2–2 Aragua
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08/26 Venezuela Segunda Division | Aragua | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Bolivar SC |
| 03/05/26 Venezuela Segunda Division | Bolivar SC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Aragua |
| 07/03/26 Venezuela Segunda Division | Aragua | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Bolivar SC |
| 14/09/25 Venezuela Segunda Division | Bolivar SC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Aragua |
| 03/08/25 Venezuela Segunda Division | Aragua | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Bolivar SC |
| 08/06/25 Venezuela Segunda Division | Bolivar SC | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Aragua |
Standings · Venezuela Segunda Division · Segunda Division 2026, Central-East
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monagas II | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 23 | 39 |
| 2 | Deportivo Miranda FC | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 18 | 35 |
| 3 | Bolivar SC | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 25 | 33 |
| 4 | Aragua | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 16 | 32 |
| 5 | Dynamo Puerto FC | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
| 6 | CS Maritimo de La Guaira | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 20 |
| 7 | Mineros | 21 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 22 | 29 | 17 |
| 8 | Atletico Avila | 20 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 13 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Bolivar SC | Aragua |
|---|---|---|
| Mineros | 1-4 L | 1-1 D |
| Deportivo Miranda FC | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Atletico Avila | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Monagas II | 3-2 W | 2-2 D |
| Dynamo Puerto FC | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 3 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bolivar SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Mineros Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-3 | 1-4 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 06/09 | Deportivo Miranda FC Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 30/08 | Atletico Avila Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 16/08 | Monagas II Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 09/08 | Dynamo Puerto FC Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 01/08 | Aragua Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 26/07 | Mineros Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 06/06 | Deportivo Miranda FC Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 31/05 | Atletico Avila Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 23/05 | CS Maritimo de La Guaira Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
Aragua
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Deportivo Miranda FC Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | Monagas II Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 29/08 | Dynamo Puerto FC Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 2-0 | 13 | 5 | W |
| 23/08 | Mineros Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 9 | D |
| 09/08 | Atletico Avila Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | D |
| 01/08 | Bolivar SC Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 26/07 | Deportivo Miranda FC Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 06/06 | Monagas II Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 31/05 | Dynamo Puerto FC Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 23/05 | Mineros Venezuela Segunda Division |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bolivar SC vs Aragua?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Aragua win (37%). Probabilities: Bolivar SC 32%, draw 31%, Aragua 37%.
How many goals are expected in Bolivar SC vs Aragua?
The model expects 2.31 goals (Bolivar SC 1.1 · Aragua 1.2), with a 54% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Bolivar SC vs Aragua?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.