Football · Venezuela Segunda Division · 26/09, 21:30

Prediction: Zamora II vs Atletico Barinas

Team pages: Zamora II · Atletico Barinas

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.26Total

Zamora II2.02

Atletico Barinas1.24

1X2

54% 24% 22%

Zamora II Draw Atletico Barinas

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Zamora II 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LDWLLLWWLW

Atletico Barinas 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLLLDLWLDW

Head-to-head

Zamora II 1–2–0 Atletico Barinas (3 last)

Atletico Barinas2-3Zamora II
Zamora II2-2Atletico Barinas
Atletico Barinas2-2Zamora II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Zamora II 1486 · Atletico Barinas 1496

	Zamora II	Draw	Atletico Barinas
Our model	55%	23%	22%
Market	54%	25%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 3.26 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Zamora II	Atletico Barinas
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.4	1.6 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.6	0.8 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5.5	1.7 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.7	4.2 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.67

X3.60

24.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.90

2 (+0.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.752.00

Under 2.751.80

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:41

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.67	Bet365 1.67
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
18:40 +1’	1.67	3.60	4.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Zamora II 1–2–0 Atletico Barinas

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
09/08/26 Venezuela Segunda Division	Atletico Barinas	2-3 HT 1-3	Zamora II
09/05/26 Venezuela Segunda Division	Zamora II	2-2 HT 1-2	Atletico Barinas
15/03/26 Venezuela Segunda Division	Atletico Barinas	2-2 HT 1-2	Zamora II

Standings · Venezuela Segunda Division · Segunda Division 2026, Central-West

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CD Lara	27	18	6	3	46	20	60
2	Barquisimeto	26	13	8	5	45	27	47
3	Urena SC	27	12	9	6	41	31	45
4	Zamora II	26	10	7	9	40	35	37
5	Yaracuyanos	26	10	7	9	31	27	37
6	Atletico El Vigia	27	9	6	12	31	44	33
7	Atletico Barinas	27	9	4	14	48	57	31
8	Academia Puerto Cabello II	27	8	6	13	35	39	30
9	Real Frontera	27	3	3	21	22	59	12

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Zamora II	Atletico Barinas
Urena SC	3-0 W	1-1 D
Barquisimeto	0-2 L	1-5 L
Academia Puerto Cabello II	3-0 W	3-2 W
Real Frontera	2-0 W	1-1 D
CD Lara	0-2 L	0-1 L
Yaracuyanos	1-2 L	1-0 W
Atletico El Vigia	0-2 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 4 L	2 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Zamora II (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Zamora II

LDWLLLWWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Urena SC Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	3-0	5	6	W
16/09	Barquisimeto Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	0-2	3	4	L
06/09	Academia Puerto Cabello II Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	3-0	8	2	W
02/09	Real Frontera Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	2-0	6	5	W
29/08	CD Lara Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-2	6	6	L
22/08	Yaracuyanos Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	1-2	5	4	L
15/08	Atletico El Vigia Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	0-2	5	7	L
09/08	Atletico Barinas Venezuela Segunda Division	3-1	3-2	4	4	W
03/08	Urena SC Venezuela Segunda Division	2-1	2-2	9	9	D
29/07	Barquisimeto Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	1-2	4	9	L

Atletico Barinas

WLLLDLWLDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Academia Puerto Cabello II Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	3-2	4	7	W
17/09	Real Frontera Venezuela Segunda Division	0-1	1-1	5	6	D
13/09	CD Lara Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	0-1	0	6	L
06/09	Yaracuyanos Venezuela Segunda Division	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
02/09	Atletico El Vigia Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	1-2	1	4	L
23/08	Urena SC Venezuela Segunda Division	1-0	1-1	9	3	D
15/08	Barquisimeto Venezuela Segunda Division	0-2	1-5	3	3	L
09/08	Zamora II Venezuela Segunda Division	1-3	2-3	6	4	L
02/08	Academia Puerto Cabello II Venezuela Segunda Division	2-3	3-5	4	6	L
29/07	Real Frontera Venezuela Segunda Division	2-0	3-1	5	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Zamora II vs Atletico Barinas?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Zamora II win (54%). Probabilities: Zamora II 54%, draw 24%, Atletico Barinas 22%.

How many goals are expected in Zamora II vs Atletico Barinas?

The model expects 3.26 goals (Zamora II 2.02 · Atletico Barinas 1.24), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Zamora II vs Atletico Barinas?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.