Football · Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga · 02/09, 20:30
Prediction: Borac Banja Luka vs Zeljeznicar
Team pages: Borac Banja Luka · Zeljeznicar
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.61Total
Borac Banja Luka1.81
Zeljeznicar0.8
1X2
Borac Banja Luka
Draw
Zeljeznicar
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Borac Banja Luka
7-3-0 (W-D-L)
Zeljeznicar
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Borac Banja Luka
3–1–2
Zeljeznicar
(6 last)
- Borac Banja Luka1-0Zeljeznicar
- Zeljeznicar0-1Borac Banja Luka
- Borac Banja Luka2-1Zeljeznicar
- Zeljeznicar3-2Borac Banja Luka
- Zeljeznicar2-1Borac Banja Luka
- Zeljeznicar1-1Borac Banja Luka
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Borac Banja Luka 1591 · Zeljeznicar 1454
| Borac Banja Luka | Draw | Zeljeznicar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 25% | 15% |
| Market | 62% | 21% | 17% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.61 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Borac Banja Luka (rating 1591 vs 1454).
- H2H favours Borac Banja Luka: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Borac Banja Luka | Zeljeznicar | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 0.5 | 0.9 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.1 | 0.2 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.4 | 1.2 / 3.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.3 | 2.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Borac Banja Luka 3–1–2 Zeljeznicar
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/26 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | Borac Banja Luka | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Zeljeznicar |
| 14/03/26 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | Zeljeznicar | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Borac Banja Luka |
| 29/11/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | Borac Banja Luka | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Zeljeznicar |
| 15/09/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | Zeljeznicar | 3-2 HT 0-2 | Borac Banja Luka |
| 23/04/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | Zeljeznicar | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Borac Banja Luka |
| 09/03/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | Zeljeznicar | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Borac Banja Luka |
Standings · Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zrinjski Mostar | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
| 2 | Siroki Brijeg | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| 3 | Borac Banja Luka | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | FK Sarajevo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Zeljeznicar | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 6 | FK Sloga Doboj | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | NK Celik Zenica | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 3 |
| 8 | BSK Banja Luka | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 9 | Velez Mostar | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 3 |
| 10 | Radnik Bijeljina | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 2 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Borac Banja Luka | Zeljeznicar |
|---|---|---|
| Velez Mostar | 3-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Siroki Brijeg | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| FK Sarajevo | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| FK Sloga Doboj | 3-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Zrinjski Mostar | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Borac Banja Luka (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Borac Banja Luka
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Radnik Bijeljina Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 23/08 | NK Celik Zenica Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 09/08 | Velez Mostar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 26/05 | HSK Posusje Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 22/05 | Radnik Bijeljina Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 16/05 | Zeljeznicar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 10/05 | Siroki Brijeg Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 03/05 | FK Sarajevo Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 26/04 | FK Sloga Doboj Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
2-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 22/04 | Zrinjski Mostar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
Zeljeznicar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Siroki Brijeg Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 23/08 | Zrinjski Mostar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 07/08 | BSK Banja Luka Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/05 | FK Sarajevo Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 21/05 | Siroki Brijeg Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
2-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 16/05 | Borac Banja Luka Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 10/05 | FK Sloga Doboj Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 01/05 | Zrinjski Mostar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 25/04 | Velez Mostar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 21/04 | FK Rudar Prijedor Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Borac Banja Luka vs Zeljeznicar?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Borac Banja Luka win (61%). Probabilities: Borac Banja Luka 61%, draw 23%, Zeljeznicar 16%.
How many goals are expected in Borac Banja Luka vs Zeljeznicar?
The model expects 2.61 goals (Borac Banja Luka 1.81 · Zeljeznicar 0.8), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Borac Banja Luka vs Zeljeznicar?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.