Football · Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga · 06/09, 17:30
Prediction: FK Sarajevo vs Borac Banja Luka
Team pages: FK Sarajevo · Borac Banja Luka
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.09Total
FK Sarajevo1.01
Borac Banja Luka1.09
1X2
FK Sarajevo
Draw
Borac Banja Luka
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 65%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
FK Sarajevo
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Borac Banja Luka
8-2-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FK Sarajevo
1–5
Borac Banja Luka
(6 last)
- FK Sarajevo0-1Borac Banja Luka
- Borac Banja Luka2-0FK Sarajevo
- FK Sarajevo1-0Borac Banja Luka
- Borac Banja Luka2-1FK Sarajevo
- Borac Banja Luka5-1FK Sarajevo
- Borac Banja Luka2-0FK Sarajevo
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FK Sarajevo 1527 · Borac Banja Luka 1620
| FK Sarajevo | Draw | Borac Banja Luka | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 33% | 36% |
| Market | 33% | 30% | 37% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.09 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Borac Banja Luka (rating 1527 vs 1620).
- H2H favours Borac Banja Luka: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Sarajevo | Borac Banja Luka | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 0.9 | 1.7 / 0.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.4 | 0.8 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.4 | 2.3 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.1 | 3.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Sarajevo 1–0–5 Borac Banja Luka
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | FK Sarajevo | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Borac Banja Luka |
| 28/02/26 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | Borac Banja Luka | 2-0 HT 0-0 | FK Sarajevo |
| 08/11/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | FK Sarajevo | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Borac Banja Luka |
| 19/09/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | Borac Banja Luka | 2-1 HT 0-1 | FK Sarajevo |
| 24/08/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | Borac Banja Luka | 5-1 HT 2-1 | FK Sarajevo |
| 19/04/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | Borac Banja Luka | 2-0 HT 2-0 | FK Sarajevo |
Standings · Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zrinjski Mostar | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 15 |
| 2 | Borac Banja Luka | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | Siroki Brijeg | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 8 |
| 4 | FK Sarajevo | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | FK Sloga Doboj | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 |
| 6 | NK Celik Zenica | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| 7 | Zeljeznicar | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| 8 | Velez Mostar | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 4 |
| 9 | BSK Banja Luka | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
| 10 | Radnik Bijeljina | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 3 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FK Sarajevo | Borac Banja Luka |
|---|---|---|
| Siroki Brijeg | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Radnik Bijeljina | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| Zeljeznicar | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Velez Mostar | 3-2 W | 3-1 W |
| HSK Posusje | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 0 L | 4 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Borac Banja Luka (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK Sarajevo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Siroki Brijeg Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 29/08 | Zrinjski Mostar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 21/08 | BSK Banja Luka Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Radnik Bijeljina Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 25/05 | Zeljeznicar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 21/05 | Velez Mostar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 16/05 | Siroki Brijeg Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 09/05 | FK Rudar Prijedor Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 03/05 | Borac Banja Luka Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 26/04 | HSK Posusje Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
Borac Banja Luka
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Zeljeznicar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 30/08 | Radnik Bijeljina Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 23/08 | NK Celik Zenica Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 09/08 | Velez Mostar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 26/05 | HSK Posusje Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 22/05 | Radnik Bijeljina Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 16/05 | Zeljeznicar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 10/05 | Siroki Brijeg Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 03/05 | FK Sarajevo Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 26/04 | FK Sloga Doboj Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
2-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FK Sarajevo vs Borac Banja Luka?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Borac Banja Luka win (37%). Probabilities: FK Sarajevo 32%, draw 31%, Borac Banja Luka 37%.
How many goals are expected in FK Sarajevo vs Borac Banja Luka?
The model expects 2.09 goals (FK Sarajevo 1.01 · Borac Banja Luka 1.09), with a 56% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FK Sarajevo vs Borac Banja Luka?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.