Football · Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga · 02/09, 20:30
Prediction: Siroki Brijeg vs FK Sarajevo
Team pages: Siroki Brijeg · FK Sarajevo
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.23Total
Siroki Brijeg0.95
FK Sarajevo1.28
1X2
Siroki Brijeg
Draw
FK Sarajevo
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Siroki Brijeg
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
FK Sarajevo
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Siroki Brijeg
3–3–0
FK Sarajevo
(6 last)
- FK Sarajevo2-2Siroki Brijeg
- Siroki Brijeg1-0FK Sarajevo
- FK Sarajevo0-0Siroki Brijeg
- Siroki Brijeg2-1FK Sarajevo
- Siroki Brijeg1-1FK Sarajevo
- FK Sarajevo0-1Siroki Brijeg
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Siroki Brijeg 1528 · FK Sarajevo 1519
| Siroki Brijeg | Draw | FK Sarajevo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 26% | 31% | 43% |
| Market | 27% | 29% | 44% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.23 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Siroki Brijeg: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Siroki Brijeg | FK Sarajevo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.1 | 1.6 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.3 | 2 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.1 | 4.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Siroki Brijeg 3–3–0 FK Sarajevo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/26 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | FK Sarajevo | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Siroki Brijeg |
| 15/03/26 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | Siroki Brijeg | 1-0 HT 0-0 | FK Sarajevo |
| 29/11/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | FK Sarajevo | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Siroki Brijeg |
| 14/09/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | Siroki Brijeg | 2-1 HT 2-1 | FK Sarajevo |
| 14/05/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina Cup | Siroki Brijeg | 1-1 HT 0-0 | FK Sarajevo |
| 10/05/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | FK Sarajevo | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Siroki Brijeg |
Standings · Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zrinjski Mostar | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
| 2 | Siroki Brijeg | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| 3 | Borac Banja Luka | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | FK Sarajevo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Zeljeznicar | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 6 | FK Sloga Doboj | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | NK Celik Zenica | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 3 |
| 8 | BSK Banja Luka | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 9 | Velez Mostar | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 3 |
| 10 | Radnik Bijeljina | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 2 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Siroki Brijeg | FK Sarajevo |
|---|---|---|
| Zeljeznicar | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Radnik Bijeljina | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| FK Sloga Doboj | 0-0 D | 4-0 W |
| Borac Banja Luka | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Zrinjski Mostar | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Siroki Brijeg
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Zeljeznicar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 22/08 | Radnik Bijeljina Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 14/08 | NK Celik Zenica Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 08/08 | FK Sloga Doboj Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 25/05 | Radnik Bijeljina Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 21/05 | Zeljeznicar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 16/05 | FK Sarajevo Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 10/05 | Borac Banja Luka Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | FK Sloga Doboj Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 26/04 | Zrinjski Mostar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
FK Sarajevo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Zrinjski Mostar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 21/08 | BSK Banja Luka Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Radnik Bijeljina Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 25/05 | Zeljeznicar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 21/05 | Velez Mostar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 16/05 | Siroki Brijeg Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 09/05 | FK Rudar Prijedor Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 03/05 | Borac Banja Luka Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 26/04 | HSK Posusje Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 22/04 | FK Sloga Doboj Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
1-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Siroki Brijeg vs FK Sarajevo?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FK Sarajevo win (43%). Probabilities: Siroki Brijeg 27%, draw 30%, FK Sarajevo 43%.
How many goals are expected in Siroki Brijeg vs FK Sarajevo?
The model expects 2.23 goals (Siroki Brijeg 0.95 · FK Sarajevo 1.28), with a 53% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Siroki Brijeg vs FK Sarajevo?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.