Football · Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga · 06/09, 20:15
Prediction: Zrinjski Mostar vs Siroki Brijeg
Team pages: Zrinjski Mostar · Siroki Brijeg
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.87Total
Zrinjski Mostar2.21
Siroki Brijeg0.66
1X2
Zrinjski Mostar
Draw
Siroki Brijeg
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
2-0 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Zrinjski Mostar
8-2-0 (W-D-L)
Siroki Brijeg
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Zrinjski Mostar
3–2–1
Siroki Brijeg
(6 last)
- Siroki Brijeg0-2Zrinjski Mostar
- Siroki Brijeg2-1Zrinjski Mostar
- Zrinjski Mostar1-1Siroki Brijeg
- Siroki Brijeg1-2Zrinjski Mostar
- Zrinjski Mostar0-0Siroki Brijeg
- Zrinjski Mostar2-1Siroki Brijeg
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Zrinjski Mostar 1616 · Siroki Brijeg 1490
| Zrinjski Mostar | Draw | Siroki Brijeg | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 72% | 19% | 9% |
| Market | 72% | 19% | 9% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.87 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zrinjski Mostar (rating 1616 vs 1490).
- H2H favours Zrinjski Mostar: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Zrinjski Mostar | Siroki Brijeg | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 0.5 | 1.4 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/60/0% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4 / 5.3 | 1.7 / 3.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.1 | 3.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Zrinjski Mostar 3–2–1 Siroki Brijeg
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07/26 Europe Friendlies | Siroki Brijeg | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Zrinjski Mostar |
| 26/04/26 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | Siroki Brijeg | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Zrinjski Mostar |
| 22/02/26 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | Zrinjski Mostar | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Siroki Brijeg |
| 01/11/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | Siroki Brijeg | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Zrinjski Mostar |
| 17/08/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | Zrinjski Mostar | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Siroki Brijeg |
| 27/04/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | Zrinjski Mostar | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Siroki Brijeg |
Standings · Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zrinjski Mostar | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 15 |
| 2 | Borac Banja Luka | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | Siroki Brijeg | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 8 |
| 4 | FK Sloga Doboj | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 |
| 5 | FK Sarajevo | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | BSK Banja Luka | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 6 |
| 7 | NK Celik Zenica | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 4 |
| 8 | Zeljeznicar | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| 9 | Velez Mostar | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 4 |
| 10 | Radnik Bijeljina | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 3 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Zrinjski Mostar | Siroki Brijeg |
|---|---|---|
| FK Sarajevo | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Zeljeznicar | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Radnik Bijeljina | 5-1 W | 2-1 W |
| NK Celik Zenica | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 0 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Zrinjski Mostar (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Zrinjski Mostar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | BSK Banja Luka Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 29/08 | FK Sarajevo Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 23/08 | Zeljeznicar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 16/08 | Radnik Bijeljina Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
2-1 | 5-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 09/08 | NK Celik Zenica Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 26/05 | Velez Mostar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 22/05 | FK Rudar Prijedor Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
2-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 16/05 | HSK Posusje Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 09/05 | Radnik Bijeljina Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 01/05 | Zeljeznicar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
2-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
Siroki Brijeg
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | FK Sarajevo Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 8 | L |
| 29/08 | Zeljeznicar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 22/08 | Radnik Bijeljina Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 14/08 | NK Celik Zenica Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 08/08 | FK Sloga Doboj Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 25/05 | Radnik Bijeljina Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 21/05 | Zeljeznicar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 16/05 | FK Sarajevo Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 10/05 | Borac Banja Luka Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | FK Sloga Doboj Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Zrinjski Mostar vs Siroki Brijeg?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Zrinjski Mostar win (72%). Probabilities: Zrinjski Mostar 72%, draw 19%, Siroki Brijeg 9%.
How many goals are expected in Zrinjski Mostar vs Siroki Brijeg?
The model expects 2.87 goals (Zrinjski Mostar 2.21 · Siroki Brijeg 0.66), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Zrinjski Mostar vs Siroki Brijeg?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.