Football · Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga · 02/09, 18:00
Prediction: Velez Mostar vs Radnik Bijeljina
Team pages: Velez Mostar · Radnik Bijeljina
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.92Total
Velez Mostar1.26
Radnik Bijeljina0.66
1X2
Velez Mostar
Draw
Radnik Bijeljina
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 59%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
1-0 17%
Recent form · 10 last
Velez Mostar
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Radnik Bijeljina
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Velez Mostar
4–2
Radnik Bijeljina
(6 last)
- Velez Mostar1-0Radnik Bijeljina
- Radnik Bijeljina1-0Velez Mostar
- Velez Mostar1-0Radnik Bijeljina
- Radnik Bijeljina3-0Velez Mostar
- Velez Mostar3-2Radnik Bijeljina
- Velez Mostar2-1Radnik Bijeljina
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Velez Mostar 1458 · Radnik Bijeljina 1431
| Velez Mostar | Draw | Radnik Bijeljina | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 32% | 18% |
| Market | 52% | 28% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.92 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Velez Mostar: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Velez Mostar | Radnik Bijeljina | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.7 | 0.5 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/10/50% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3 | 2.4 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.4 | 4.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Velez Mostar 4–0–2 Radnik Bijeljina
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/05/26 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | Velez Mostar | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Radnik Bijeljina |
| 28/02/26 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | Radnik Bijeljina | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Velez Mostar |
| 09/11/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | Velez Mostar | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Radnik Bijeljina |
| 23/08/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | Radnik Bijeljina | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Velez Mostar |
| 13/04/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | Velez Mostar | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Radnik Bijeljina |
| 08/02/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina Cup | Velez Mostar | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Radnik Bijeljina |
Standings · Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zrinjski Mostar | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
| 2 | Siroki Brijeg | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| 3 | Borac Banja Luka | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | FK Sarajevo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Zeljeznicar | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 6 | FK Sloga Doboj | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | NK Celik Zenica | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 3 |
| 8 | BSK Banja Luka | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 9 | Velez Mostar | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 3 |
| 10 | Radnik Bijeljina | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 2 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Velez Mostar | Radnik Bijeljina |
|---|---|---|
| FK Sloga Doboj | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Borac Banja Luka | 1-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Zrinjski Mostar | 0-3 L | 1-5 L |
| FK Sarajevo | 2-3 L | 0-0 D |
| FK Rudar Prijedor | 4-2 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 3 L | 1 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Velez Mostar (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Velez Mostar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | NK Celik Zenica Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 22/08 | FK Sloga Doboj Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 16/08 | BSK Banja Luka Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 09/08 | Borac Banja Luka Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 26/05 | Zrinjski Mostar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 21/05 | FK Sarajevo Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
1-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | FK Rudar Prijedor Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
3-2 | 4-2 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 09/05 | HSK Posusje Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 01/05 | Radnik Bijeljina Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 25/04 | Zeljeznicar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | D |
Radnik Bijeljina
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Borac Banja Luka Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
1-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 22/08 | Siroki Brijeg Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 16/08 | Zrinjski Mostar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
1-2 | 1-5 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 08/08 | FK Sarajevo Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 25/05 | Siroki Brijeg Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-2 | 0-4 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 22/05 | Borac Banja Luka Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 16/05 | FK Sloga Doboj Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 09/05 | Zrinjski Mostar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 01/05 | Velez Mostar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | FK Rudar Prijedor Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Velez Mostar vs Radnik Bijeljina?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Velez Mostar win (51%). Probabilities: Velez Mostar 51%, draw 30%, Radnik Bijeljina 20%.
How many goals are expected in Velez Mostar vs Radnik Bijeljina?
The model expects 1.92 goals (Velez Mostar 1.26 · Radnik Bijeljina 0.66), with a 58% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Velez Mostar vs Radnik Bijeljina?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.