Football · Colombia Liga Femenina · 04/09, 23:00
Prediction: Deportivo Cali (W) vs Orsomarso (W)
Team pages: Deportivo Cali (W) · Orsomarso (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.74Total
Deportivo Cali (W)2.08
Orsomarso (W)0.66
1X2
Deportivo Cali (W)
Draw
Orsomarso (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
2-0 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Deportivo Cali (W)
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Orsomarso (W)
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportivo Cali (W)
2–3–1
Orsomarso (W)
(6 last)
- Orsomarso (W)0-0Deportivo Cali (W)
- Orsomarso (W)1-1Deportivo Cali (W)
- Deportivo Cali (W)0-1Orsomarso (W)
- Orsomarso (W)1-1Deportivo Cali (W)
- Orsomarso (W)0-1Deportivo Cali (W)
- Deportivo Cali (W)4-0Orsomarso (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportivo Cali (W) 1591 · Orsomarso (W) 1486
| Deportivo Cali (W) | Draw | Orsomarso (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 70% | 21% | 10% |
| Market | 70% | 19% | 11% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.74 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Cali (W) (rating 1591 vs 1486).
- H2H favours Deportivo Cali (W): 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportivo Cali (W) | Orsomarso (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 0.6 | 1.2 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.4 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 6.8 | 1.3 / 2.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.3 | 3.4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Cali (W) 2–3–1 Orsomarso (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09/26 Colombia Liga Femenina | Orsomarso (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Cali (W) |
| 01/03/26 Colombia Liga Femenina | Orsomarso (W) | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Cali (W) |
| 28/08/25 Colombia Liga Femenina | Deportivo Cali (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Orsomarso (W) |
| 05/08/25 Colombia Liga Femenina | Orsomarso (W) | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Deportivo Cali (W) |
| 01/06/25 Colombia Liga Femenina | Orsomarso (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Deportivo Cali (W) |
| 06/05/22 Colombia Liga Femenina | Deportivo Cali (W) | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Orsomarso (W) |
Standings · Colombia Liga Femenina · Liga Femenina 2026, Main Round, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Cali (W) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 2 | America de Cali (W) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | Independiente Santa Fe (W) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 4 | Orsomarso (W) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportivo Cali (W) | Orsomarso (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Independiente Santa Fe (W) | 3-0 W | 0-3 L |
| America de Cali (W) | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Deportivo Pasto (W) | 2-0 W | 3-0 W |
| CD Real Santander (W) | 4-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 0 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportivo Cali (W) (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportivo Cali (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Orsomarso (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | D |
| 30/08 | Independiente Santa Fe (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 26/08 | America de Cali (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 09/08 | Millonarios (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-2 | 1-3 | 10 | 6 | L |
| 01/08 | Atletico Nacional (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
2-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 24/07 | America de Cali (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 29/05 | Deportivo Pasto (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
2-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 20/05 | Atletico Bucaramanga (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-1 | 4-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 15/05 | Llaneros (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
2-0 | 5-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | CD Real Santander (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
3-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
Orsomarso (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Deportivo Cali (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 29/08 | America de Cali (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 26/08 | Independiente Santa Fe (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 20/08 | Deportivo Pasto (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 01/08 | CD Real Santander (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 25/07 | Internacional FC de Palmira (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 29/05 | Junior (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
2-0 | 5-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 24/05 | Independiente Medellin (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 17/05 | Internacional de Bogota (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 10 | L |
| 11/05 | Once Caldas (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportivo Cali (W) vs Orsomarso (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Cali (W) win (70%). Probabilities: Deportivo Cali (W) 70%, draw 20%, Orsomarso (W) 10%.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo Cali (W) vs Orsomarso (W)?
The model expects 2.74 goals (Deportivo Cali (W) 2.08 · Orsomarso (W) 0.66), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportivo Cali (W) vs Orsomarso (W)?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.