Football · Colombia Liga Femenina · 10/09, 01:00
Prediction: Millonarios (W) vs Atletico Nacional (W)
Team pages: Millonarios (W) · Atletico Nacional (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.48Total
Millonarios (W)1.32
Atletico Nacional (W)1.16
1X2
Millonarios (W)
Draw
Atletico Nacional (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Millonarios (W)
6-4-0 (W-D-L)
Atletico Nacional (W)
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Millonarios (W)
1–5
Atletico Nacional (W)
(6 last)
- Atletico Nacional (W)0-1Millonarios (W)
- Atletico Nacional (W)2-1Millonarios (W)
- Atletico Nacional (W)1-0Millonarios (W)
- Millonarios (W)1-2Atletico Nacional (W)
- Millonarios (W)1-3Atletico Nacional (W)
- Atletico Nacional (W)4-0Millonarios (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Millonarios (W) 1574 · Atletico Nacional (W) 1559
| Millonarios (W) | Draw | Atletico Nacional (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 30% | 31% |
| Market | 39% | 30% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.48 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Atletico Nacional (W): 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Millonarios (W) | Atletico Nacional (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 0.6 | 2.1 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.4 | 2 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0 | 4 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Millonarios (W) 1–0–5 Atletico Nacional (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08/26 Colombia Liga Femenina | Atletico Nacional (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Millonarios (W) |
| 10/03/26 Colombia Liga Femenina | Atletico Nacional (W) | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Millonarios (W) |
| 22/08/25 Colombia Liga Femenina | Atletico Nacional (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Millonarios (W) |
| 14/08/25 Colombia Liga Femenina | Millonarios (W) | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Atletico Nacional (W) |
| 19/05/25 Colombia Liga Femenina | Millonarios (W) | 1-3 HT 1-2 | Atletico Nacional (W) |
| 27/04/24 Colombia Liga Femenina | Atletico Nacional (W) | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Millonarios (W) |
Standings · Colombia Liga Femenina · Liga Femenina 2026, Main Round, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Millonarios (W) | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 8 |
| 2 | Atletico Nacional (W) | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| 3 | Internacional de Bogota (W) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 4 |
| 4 | Internacional FC de Palmira (W) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 4 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Millonarios (W) | Atletico Nacional (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Internacional FC de Palmira (W) | 2-2 D | 2-3 L |
| Internacional de Bogota (W) | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| Deportivo Cali (W) | 3-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Independiente Medellin (W) | 3-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 0 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Millonarios (W) (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Millonarios (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Internacional FC de Palmira (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 30/08 | Internacional FC de Palmira (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 27/08 | Atletico Nacional (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 25/08 | Internacional de Bogota (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 09/08 | Deportivo Cali (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
2-1 | 3-1 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 05/08 | Independiente Santa Fe (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 25/07 | Junior (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 04/06 | Independiente Medellin (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 24/05 | CD Real Santander (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 15/05 | Fortaleza CEIF (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
Atletico Nacional (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Internacional de Bogota (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 31/08 | Internacional de Bogota (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 27/08 | Millonarios (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 24/08 | Internacional FC de Palmira (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 08/08 | Llaneros (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
3-0 | 5-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 01/08 | Deportivo Cali (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 24/07 | Independiente Medellin (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 29/05 | Internacional de Bogota (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 24/05 | Deportivo Pasto (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Once Caldas (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Millonarios (W) vs Atletico Nacional (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Millonarios (W) win (39%). Probabilities: Millonarios (W) 39%, draw 30%, Atletico Nacional (W) 31%.
How many goals are expected in Millonarios (W) vs Atletico Nacional (W)?
The model expects 2.48 goals (Millonarios (W) 1.32 · Atletico Nacional (W) 1.16), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Millonarios (W) vs Atletico Nacional (W)?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.