Football · Colombia Liga Femenina · 13/09, 02:00
Prediction: Atletico Nacional (W) vs Internacional FC de Palmira (W)
Team pages: Atletico Nacional (W) · Internacional FC de Palmira (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.06Total
Atletico Nacional (W)2.25
Internacional FC de Palmira (W)0.81
1X2
Atletico Nacional (W)
Draw
Internacional FC de Palmira (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
2-0 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Atletico Nacional (W)
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Internacional FC de Palmira (W)
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Atletico Nacional (W)
3–2–1
Internacional FC de Palmira (W)
(6 last)
- Internacional FC de Palmira (W)3-2Atletico Nacional (W)
- Internacional FC de Palmira (W)0-1Atletico Nacional (W)
- Internacional FC de Palmira (W)0-0Atletico Nacional (W)
- Atletico Nacional (W)1-0Internacional FC de Palmira (W)
- Internacional FC de Palmira (W)0-0Atletico Nacional (W)
- Atletico Nacional (W)3-1Internacional FC de Palmira (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Atletico Nacional (W) 1546 · Internacional FC de Palmira (W) 1475
| Atletico Nacional (W) | Draw | Internacional FC de Palmira (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 69% | 20% | 11% |
| Market | 69% | 20% | 11% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.06 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Atletico Nacional (W) (rating 1546 vs 1475).
- H2H favours Atletico Nacional (W): 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Atletico Nacional (W) | Internacional FC de Palmira (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1.2 | 0.9 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.7 | 1.8 / 2.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.5 | 4.5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Atletico Nacional (W) 3–2–1 Internacional FC de Palmira (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08/26 Colombia Liga Femenina | Internacional FC de Palmira (W) | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Atletico Nacional (W) |
| 11/05/26 Colombia Liga Femenina | Internacional FC de Palmira (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Atletico Nacional (W) |
| 09/04/25 Colombia Liga Femenina | Internacional FC de Palmira (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Atletico Nacional (W) |
| 09/03/24 Colombia Liga Femenina | Atletico Nacional (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Internacional FC de Palmira (W) |
| 19/04/23 Colombia Liga Femenina | Internacional FC de Palmira (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Atletico Nacional (W) |
| 27/02/22 Colombia Liga Femenina | Atletico Nacional (W) | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Internacional FC de Palmira (W) |
Standings · Colombia Liga Femenina · Liga Femenina 2026, Main Round, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Millonarios (W) | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 11 |
| 2 | Internacional FC de Palmira (W) | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 7 |
| 3 | Atletico Nacional (W) | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 6 |
| 4 | Internacional de Bogota (W) | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 4 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Atletico Nacional (W) | Internacional FC de Palmira (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Millonarios (W) | 1-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Internacional de Bogota (W) | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Internacional FC de Palmira (W) (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Atletico Nacional (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Millonarios (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 04/09 | Internacional de Bogota (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 31/08 | Internacional de Bogota (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 27/08 | Millonarios (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 24/08 | Internacional FC de Palmira (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 08/08 | Llaneros (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
3-0 | 5-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 01/08 | Deportivo Cali (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 24/07 | Independiente Medellin (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 29/05 | Internacional de Bogota (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 24/05 | Deportivo Pasto (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
Internacional FC de Palmira (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Internacional de Bogota (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 03/09 | Millonarios (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
2-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 30/08 | Millonarios (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 28/08 | Internacional de Bogota (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 24/08 | Atletico Nacional (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-1 | 3-2 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 09/08 | Junior (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 02/08 | Once Caldas (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 25/07 | Orsomarso (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 29/05 | America de Cali (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-3 | 0-5 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 23/05 | Independiente Santa Fe (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Atletico Nacional (W) vs Internacional FC de Palmira (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Atletico Nacional (W) win (69%). Probabilities: Atletico Nacional (W) 69%, draw 20%, Internacional FC de Palmira (W) 11%.
How many goals are expected in Atletico Nacional (W) vs Internacional FC de Palmira (W)?
The model expects 3.06 goals (Atletico Nacional (W) 2.25 · Internacional FC de Palmira (W) 0.81), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Atletico Nacional (W) vs Internacional FC de Palmira (W)?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.