Football · Colombia Liga Femenina · 12/09, 22:30
Prediction: Orsomarso (W) vs Independiente Santa Fe (W)
Team pages: Orsomarso (W) · Independiente Santa Fe (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.37Total
Orsomarso (W)0.61
Independiente Santa Fe (W)1.76
1X2
Orsomarso (W)
Draw
Independiente Santa Fe (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Orsomarso (W)
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Independiente Santa Fe (W)
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Orsomarso (W)
1–1–4
Independiente Santa Fe (W)
(6 last)
- Independiente Santa Fe (W)3-0Orsomarso (W)
- Orsomarso (W)1-0Independiente Santa Fe (W)
- Orsomarso (W)0-0Independiente Santa Fe (W)
- Independiente Santa Fe (W)1-0Orsomarso (W)
- Independiente Santa Fe (W)1-0Orsomarso (W)
- Orsomarso (W)0-1Independiente Santa Fe (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Orsomarso (W) 1485 · Independiente Santa Fe (W) 1519
| Orsomarso (W) | Draw | Independiente Santa Fe (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 11% | 24% | 64% |
| Market | 12% | 23% | 65% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.37 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Independiente Santa Fe (W): 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Orsomarso (W) | Independiente Santa Fe (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.3 | 1.5 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 2.7 | 1.5 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.2 | 4.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Orsomarso (W) 1–1–4 Independiente Santa Fe (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08/26 Colombia Liga Femenina | Independiente Santa Fe (W) | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Orsomarso (W) |
| 15/03/26 Colombia Liga Femenina | Orsomarso (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Independiente Santa Fe (W) |
| 06/09/25 Colombia Liga Femenina | Orsomarso (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Independiente Santa Fe (W) |
| 01/09/25 Colombia Liga Femenina | Independiente Santa Fe (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Orsomarso (W) |
| 14/04/25 Colombia Liga Femenina | Independiente Santa Fe (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Orsomarso (W) |
| 09/05/22 Colombia Liga Femenina | Orsomarso (W) | 0-1 | Independiente Santa Fe (W) |
Standings · Colombia Liga Femenina · Liga Femenina 2026, Main Round, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Cali (W) | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 11 |
| 2 | Independiente Santa Fe (W) | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 8 |
| 3 | America de Cali (W) | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 7 |
| 4 | Orsomarso (W) | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 1 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Orsomarso (W) | Independiente Santa Fe (W) |
|---|---|---|
| America de Cali (W) | 1-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Deportivo Cali (W) | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| CD Real Santander (W) | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Internacional FC de Palmira (W) | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Independiente Santa Fe (W) (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Orsomarso (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | America de Cali (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 04/09 | Deportivo Cali (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 01/09 | Deportivo Cali (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 29/08 | America de Cali (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 26/08 | Independiente Santa Fe (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 20/08 | Deportivo Pasto (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 01/08 | CD Real Santander (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 25/07 | Internacional FC de Palmira (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 29/05 | Junior (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
2-0 | 5-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 24/05 | Independiente Medellin (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 8 | L |
Independiente Santa Fe (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Deportivo Cali (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 05/09 | America de Cali (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 03/09 | America de Cali (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 30/08 | Deportivo Cali (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 26/08 | Orsomarso (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 20/08 | Fortaleza CEIF (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
2-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 05/08 | Millonarios (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 7 | L |
| 26/07 | CD Real Santander (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 28/05 | Llaneros (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
2-1 | 4-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Internacional FC de Palmira (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Orsomarso (W) vs Independiente Santa Fe (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Independiente Santa Fe (W) win (65%). Probabilities: Orsomarso (W) 12%, draw 24%, Independiente Santa Fe (W) 65%.
How many goals are expected in Orsomarso (W) vs Independiente Santa Fe (W)?
The model expects 2.37 goals (Orsomarso (W) 0.61 · Independiente Santa Fe (W) 1.76), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Orsomarso (W) vs Independiente Santa Fe (W)?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.