Football · Colombia Liga Femenina · 09/09, 22:00
Prediction: America de Cali (W) vs Orsomarso (W)
Team pages: America de Cali (W) · Orsomarso (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.44Total
America de Cali (W)1.84
Orsomarso (W)0.6
1X2
America de Cali (W)
Draw
Orsomarso (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
1-0 15%
Recent form · 10 last
America de Cali (W)
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Orsomarso (W)
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
America de Cali (W)
4–2–0
Orsomarso (W)
(6 last)
- Orsomarso (W)0-2America de Cali (W)
- America de Cali (W)1-0Orsomarso (W)
- Orsomarso (W)1-1America de Cali (W)
- America de Cali (W)2-0Orsomarso (W)
- Orsomarso (W)1-2America de Cali (W)
- America de Cali (W)0-0Orsomarso (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · America de Cali (W) 1539 · Orsomarso (W) 1475
| America de Cali (W) | Draw | Orsomarso (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 23% | 10% |
| Market | 67% | 22% | 11% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.44 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours America de Cali (W) (rating 1539 vs 1475).
- H2H favours America de Cali (W): 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| America de Cali (W) | Orsomarso (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 0.7 | 1.1 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.3 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/60/0% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 4.2 | 1.2 / 2.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0 | 3.4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · America de Cali (W) 4–2–0 Orsomarso (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08/26 Colombia Liga Femenina | Orsomarso (W) | 0-2 HT 0-1 | America de Cali (W) |
| 10/03/26 Colombia Liga Femenina | America de Cali (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Orsomarso (W) |
| 30/03/25 Colombia Liga Femenina | Orsomarso (W) | 1-1 HT 1-0 | America de Cali (W) |
| 19/03/22 Colombia Liga Femenina | America de Cali (W) | 2-0 | Orsomarso (W) |
| 10/03/18 Colombia Liga Femenina | Orsomarso (W) | 1-2 HT 1-1 | America de Cali (W) |
| 01/04/17 Colombia Liga Femenina | America de Cali (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Orsomarso (W) |
Standings · Colombia Liga Femenina · Liga Femenina 2026, Main Round, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Cali (W) | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 10 |
| 2 | Independiente Santa Fe (W) | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | America de Cali (W) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 4 | Orsomarso (W) | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 1 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | America de Cali (W) | Orsomarso (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Independiente Santa Fe (W) | 0-1 L | 0-3 L |
| Deportivo Cali (W) | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Independiente Medellin (W) | 3-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Internacional FC de Palmira (W) | 5-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Internacional de Bogota (W) | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Deportivo Pasto (W) | 2-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: America de Cali (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
America de Cali (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Independiente Santa Fe (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 03/09 | Independiente Santa Fe (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 29/08 | Orsomarso (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 0 | W |
| 26/08 | Deportivo Cali (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 20/08 | Independiente Medellin (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 03/08 | Llaneros (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
3-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 24/07 | Deportivo Cali (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 29/05 | Internacional FC de Palmira (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
3-0 | 5-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 23/05 | Internacional de Bogota (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 18/05 | Deportivo Pasto (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
Orsomarso (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Deportivo Cali (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 01/09 | Deportivo Cali (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 29/08 | America de Cali (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 26/08 | Independiente Santa Fe (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 20/08 | Deportivo Pasto (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 01/08 | CD Real Santander (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 25/07 | Internacional FC de Palmira (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 29/05 | Junior (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
2-0 | 5-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 24/05 | Independiente Medellin (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 17/05 | Internacional de Bogota (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 10 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in America de Cali (W) vs Orsomarso (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a America de Cali (W) win (67%). Probabilities: America de Cali (W) 67%, draw 22%, Orsomarso (W) 11%.
How many goals are expected in America de Cali (W) vs Orsomarso (W)?
The model expects 2.44 goals (America de Cali (W) 1.84 · Orsomarso (W) 0.6), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in America de Cali (W) vs Orsomarso (W)?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.