Football · Colombia Liga Femenina · 04/09, 23:00
Prediction: Atletico Nacional (W) vs Internacional de Bogota (W)
Team pages: Atletico Nacional (W) · Internacional de Bogota (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.9Total
Atletico Nacional (W)2
Internacional de Bogota (W)0.9
1X2
Atletico Nacional (W)
Draw
Internacional de Bogota (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
2-0 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Atletico Nacional (W)
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Internacional de Bogota (W)
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Atletico Nacional (W)
2–0
Internacional de Bogota (W)
(2 last)
- Internacional de Bogota (W)1-3Atletico Nacional (W)
- Atletico Nacional (W)2-0Internacional de Bogota (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Atletico Nacional (W) 1559 · Internacional de Bogota (W) 1529
| Atletico Nacional (W) | Draw | Internacional de Bogota (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 23% | 15% |
| Market | 62% | 23% | 15% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.9 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Atletico Nacional (W): 2-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Atletico Nacional (W) | Internacional de Bogota (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1 | 1.4 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.3 | 2.4 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.4 | 4.1 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Atletico Nacional (W) 2–0–0 Internacional de Bogota (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08/26 Colombia Liga Femenina | Internacional de Bogota (W) | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Atletico Nacional (W) |
| 29/05/26 Colombia Liga Femenina | Atletico Nacional (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Internacional de Bogota (W) |
Standings · Colombia Liga Femenina · Liga Femenina 2026, Main Round, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Millonarios (W) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | Internacional de Bogota (W) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| 3 | Atletico Nacional (W) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
| 4 | Internacional FC de Palmira (W) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 3 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Atletico Nacional (W) | Internacional de Bogota (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Millonarios (W) | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| Internacional FC de Palmira (W) | 2-3 L | 3-0 W |
| Llaneros (W) | 5-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Deportivo Pasto (W) | 3-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 2 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Atletico Nacional (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Internacional de Bogota (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 27/08 | Millonarios (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 24/08 | Internacional FC de Palmira (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 08/08 | Llaneros (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
3-0 | 5-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 01/08 | Deportivo Cali (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 24/07 | Independiente Medellin (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 29/05 | Internacional de Bogota (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 24/05 | Deportivo Pasto (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Once Caldas (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 11/05 | Internacional FC de Palmira (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
Internacional de Bogota (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Atletico Nacional (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 28/08 | Internacional FC de Palmira (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 25/08 | Millonarios (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 09/08 | CD Real Santander (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 02/08 | Deportivo Pasto (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 27/07 | Fortaleza CEIF (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 29/05 | Atletico Nacional (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 23/05 | America de Cali (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 17/05 | Orsomarso (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 10 | W |
| 08/05 | Llaneros (W) Colombia Liga Femenina |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Atletico Nacional (W) vs Internacional de Bogota (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Atletico Nacional (W) win (62%). Probabilities: Atletico Nacional (W) 62%, draw 23%, Internacional de Bogota (W) 15%.
How many goals are expected in Atletico Nacional (W) vs Internacional de Bogota (W)?
The model expects 2.9 goals (Atletico Nacional (W) 2 · Internacional de Bogota (W) 0.9), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Atletico Nacional (W) vs Internacional de Bogota (W)?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.