Football · Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2 · 19/09, 20:00

Prediction: Veranopolis vs CE Bento Goncalves

Team pages: Veranopolis · CE Bento Goncalves

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.94Total

Veranopolis1.06

CE Bento Goncalves0.88

1X2

39% 32% 29%

Veranopolis Draw CE Bento Goncalves

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 59% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

0-0 16%

Recent form · 10 last

Veranopolis 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DWWWLLWWDD

CE Bento Goncalves 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WDWWDLDDWL

Head-to-head

Veranopolis 2–2–1 CE Bento Goncalves (5 last)

CE Bento Goncalves0-1Veranopolis
CE Bento Goncalves1-1Veranopolis
Veranopolis1-0CE Bento Goncalves
CE Bento Goncalves2-2Veranopolis
Veranopolis1-2CE Bento Goncalves

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Veranopolis 1534 · CE Bento Goncalves 1521

	Veranopolis	Draw	CE Bento Goncalves
Our model	38%	34%	28%
Market	40%	31%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 1.94 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Veranopolis: 2-2-1.
High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Veranopolis	CE Bento Goncalves
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 0.5	1.3 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.1	0.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/70/0%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.4	2.6 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.6 / 0	3.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.25

X2.90

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 21.90

Under 21.90

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 1.85

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 09:44

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.25▲	Pinn 2.49 ★
X	3.00 → 2.90▼	Bet365 2.90
2	3.40 → 3.00▼	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.3% Pinnacle margin 12.4%

Time*	1	X	2
14:23 +6’	2.05	3.00	3.40
09:09 +35’	2.25▲	2.90▼	3.00▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
08:53 +51’	2.49	2.60	2.96

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Veranopolis 2–2–1 CE Bento Goncalves

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/07/25 Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	CE Bento Goncalves	0-1 HT 0-0	Veranopolis
04/07/24 Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	CE Bento Goncalves	1-1 HT 1-0	Veranopolis
25/04/24 Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	Veranopolis	1-0 HT 0-0	CE Bento Goncalves
02/06/22 Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	CE Bento Goncalves	2-2 HT 1-0	Veranopolis
24/04/22 Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	Veranopolis	1-2 HT 1-1	CE Bento Goncalves

Standings · Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Passo Fundo RS	12	6	5	1	16	7	23
2	Veranopolis	12	6	4	2	11	5	22
3	Uniao Frederiquense	12	5	5	2	13	8	20
4	Santa Cruz RS	12	5	5	2	11	7	20
5	APAFUT	12	5	4	3	15	10	19
6	CE Bento Goncalves	12	4	6	2	14	10	18
7	Brasil de Farroupilha	11	4	6	1	11	7	18
8	Brasil de Pelotas	11	4	5	2	10	6	17
9	Aimore RS	12	4	5	3	11	11	17
10	Guarani de Venancio Aires	12	3	5	4	13	17	14
11	Sport Clube Gaucho	12	3	3	6	9	10	12
12	EC Pelotas	11	2	5	4	10	14	11
13	GE Bage	12	2	5	5	8	15	11
14	GE Gloria	11	2	4	5	10	13	10
15	Gramadense	12	1	5	6	7	16	8
16	Lajeadense	12	1	2	9	5	18	5

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Veranopolis	CE Bento Goncalves
GE Bage	0-0 D	1-1 D
Brasil de Pelotas	1-0 W	2-1 W
GE Gloria	2-0 W	1-2 L
Uniao Frederiquense	0-1 L	2-0 W
Santa Cruz RS	0-3 L	0-0 D
EC Pelotas	2-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 3 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Veranopolis

DWWWLLWWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/09	GE Bage Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
13/09	Sport Clube Gaucho Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
10/09	Brasil de Pelotas Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
06/09	GE Gloria Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
02/09	Uniao Frederiquense Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	0-1	7	4	L
23/08	Santa Cruz RS Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	0-3	3	9	L
19/08	APAFUT Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-1	2-1	6	5	W
16/08	EC Pelotas Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-0	2-0	3	8	W
13/08	Aimore RS Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-0	3-0	2	6	W
09/08	Guarani de Venancio Aires Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	0-0	6	4	D

CE Bento Goncalves

WDWWDLDDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/09	Passo Fundo RS Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-2	1-2	8	3	L
12/09	Gramadense Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	2-0	3-1	5	2	W
10/09	Brasil de Farroupilha Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	1-1	2	1	D
05/09	EC Pelotas Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-1	1-1	7	1	D
02/09	GE Gloria Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-0	1-2	–	–	L
22/08	GE Bage Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-0	1-1	8	5	D
20/08	Brasil de Pelotas Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-1	2-1	2	8	W
16/08	Uniao Frederiquense Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-0	2-0	9	4	W
14/08	Santa Cruz RS Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	0-0	8	3	D
09/08	Lajeadense Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-0	1-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Veranopolis vs CE Bento Goncalves?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Veranopolis win (39%). Probabilities: Veranopolis 39%, draw 32%, CE Bento Goncalves 29%.

How many goals are expected in Veranopolis vs CE Bento Goncalves?

The model expects 1.94 goals (Veranopolis 1.06 · CE Bento Goncalves 0.88), with a 53% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Veranopolis vs CE Bento Goncalves?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.