Football · Morocco GNF 1 · 26/09, 18:00

Prediction: Union de Touarga vs FUS Rabat

Team pages: Union de Touarga · FUS Rabat

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.85Total

Union de Touarga0.87

FUS Rabat0.98

1X2

31% 33% 36%

Union de Touarga Draw FUS Rabat

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 57% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

0-0 17%

Recent form · 10 last

Union de Touarga 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WDWDWLLDWW

FUS Rabat 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

DDDDWLLWDL

Head-to-head

Union de Touarga 0–4–2 FUS Rabat (6 last)

Union de Touarga0-2FUS Rabat
FUS Rabat1-1Union de Touarga
FUS Rabat2-0Union de Touarga
Union de Touarga2-2FUS Rabat
FUS Rabat1-1Union de Touarga
Union de Touarga0-0FUS Rabat

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Union de Touarga 1538 · FUS Rabat 1475

	Union de Touarga	Draw	FUS Rabat
Our model	30%	35%	35%
Market	31%	32%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 1.85 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Union de Touarga (rating 1538 vs 1475).
H2H favours FUS Rabat: 2-4-0.
Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Union de Touarga	FUS Rabat
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 0.8	0.7 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.2	0.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/60/0%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 3.9	1.9 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.6	5.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.88

X2.80

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.05

2 (0)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 21.93

Under 21.88

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 1.85

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 01:37

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.75 → 2.88▲	Pinn 3.16 ★
X	2.88 → 2.80▼	Bet365 2.80
2	2.50 → 2.45▼	Pinn 2.53

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
14:16 +1’	2.75	2.88	2.50
15:46 +1’	2.63▼	2.88	2.60▲
18:22 +1’	2.70▲	2.88	2.55▼
01:36	2.88▲	2.80▼	2.45▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:38 +9’	3.19	2.63	2.51
18:31 +158’	3.16▼	2.63	2.53▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2

Go premium to see every market's movement

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Union de Touarga 0–4–2 FUS Rabat

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/05/26 Morocco GNF 1	Union de Touarga	0-2 HT 0-1	FUS Rabat
26/09/25 Morocco GNF 1	FUS Rabat	1-1 HT 1-1	Union de Touarga
28/12/24 Morocco GNF 1	FUS Rabat	2-0 HT 1-0	Union de Touarga
30/08/24 Morocco GNF 1	Union de Touarga	2-2 HT 1-1	FUS Rabat
13/04/24 Morocco GNF 1	FUS Rabat	1-1 HT 1-1	Union de Touarga
24/11/23 Morocco GNF 1	Union de Touarga	0-0 HT 0-0	FUS Rabat

Standings · Morocco GNF 1

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ittihad Tanger	1	1	0	3	1	3
2	FAR Rabat	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	CODM Meknes	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Difaa El Jadida	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	FUS Rabat	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	HUSA Agadir	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	KACM Marrakesh	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	MAS Fes	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	MAT Tetouan	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Raja Casablanca	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Renaissance Zemamra	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	RSB Berkane	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Union de Touarga	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	WAC Casablanca	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Widad Temara	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	US Amal Tiznit	1	0	1	1	3	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Union de Touarga	FUS Rabat
WAC Casablanca	2-1 W	2-1 W
FAR Rabat	2-2 D	1-1 D
Difaa El Jadida	1-2 L	0-0 D
HUSA Agadir	0-1 L	0-0 D
Renaissance Zemamra	1-0 W	1-1 D
KACM Marrakesh	0-0 D	0-2 L
US Yacoub El Mansour	2-1 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 2 L	1 W 4 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Union de Touarga (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Union de Touarga

WDWDWLLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/07	WAC Casablanca Morocco GNF 1	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
02/07	Ittihad Tanger Morocco GNF 1	0-0	1-0	7	5	W
28/06	FAR Rabat Morocco GNF 1	2-1	2-2	1	5	D
25/06	Difaa El Jadida Morocco GNF 1	0-0	1-2	0	3	L
21/06	HUSA Agadir Morocco GNF 1	0-0	0-1	6	4	L
17/06	CODM Meknes Morocco GNF 1	0-0	2-0	7	7	W
14/06	Raja Casablanca Morocco GNF 1	0-0	1-1	4	9	D
09/06	Renaissance Zemamra Morocco GNF 1	1-0	1-0	4	5	W
01/06	KACM Marrakesh Morocco GNF 1	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
23/05	US Yacoub El Mansour Morocco GNF 1	2-1	2-1	1	6	W

FUS Rabat

DDDDWLLWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/07	US Yacoub El Mansour Morocco GNF 1	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
02/07	Renaissance Zemamra Morocco GNF 1	1-1	1-1	0	4	D
28/06	RSB Berkane Morocco GNF 1	1-0	2-1	3	6	W
25/06	KACM Marrakesh Morocco GNF 1	0-2	0-2	4	4	L
21/06	Olympique Dcheira Morocco GNF 1	0-1	0-2	13	4	L
18/06	WAC Casablanca Morocco GNF 1	1-0	2-1	6	4	W
12/06	MAS Fes Morocco GNF 1	1-0	1-1	5	11	D
08/06	Difaa El Jadida Morocco GNF 1	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
04/06	HUSA Agadir Morocco GNF 1	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
30/05	FAR Rabat Morocco GNF 1	1-1	1-1	0	8	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Union de Touarga vs FUS Rabat?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FUS Rabat win (36%). Probabilities: Union de Touarga 31%, draw 33%, FUS Rabat 36%.

How many goals are expected in Union de Touarga vs FUS Rabat?

The model expects 1.85 goals (Union de Touarga 0.87 · FUS Rabat 0.98), with a 55% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Union de Touarga vs FUS Rabat?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.