Football · Brazil Serie C · 06/09, 23:30

Prediction: Santa Cruz FC vs Botafogo PB

Team pages: Santa Cruz FC · Botafogo PB

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.2Total
Santa Cruz FC1.22
Botafogo PB0.98
1X2
41% 30% 29%
Santa Cruz FC Draw Botafogo PB
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Santa Cruz FC 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
WLWWWLDLWD
Botafogo PB 7-3-0 (W-D-L)
DWWWWWDDWW
Head-to-head
Santa Cruz FC 2–2–2 Botafogo PB (6 last)
  • Botafogo PB2-2Santa Cruz FC
  • Santa Cruz FC2-1Botafogo PB
  • Santa Cruz FC1-1Botafogo PB
  • Botafogo PB1-0Santa Cruz FC
  • Santa Cruz FC0-1Botafogo PB
  • Santa Cruz FC1-0Botafogo PB
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Santa Cruz FC 1521 · Botafogo PB 1591
Santa Cruz FCDrawBotafogo PB
Our model40%32%28%
Market41%29%30%
Estimated total (ours) 2.2 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Botafogo PB (rating 1521 vs 1591).
  • Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Santa Cruz FCBotafogo PB
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 0.81.8 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.40.3 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/20/40%20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.7 / 4.32 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.6 / 0.14.5 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Santa Cruz FC 222 Botafogo PB

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DateHomeScoreAway
08/08/26
Brazil Serie C
Botafogo PB2-2
HT 1-0
Santa Cruz FC
08/01/23
Brazil Copa Nordeste
Santa Cruz FC2-1
HT 1-1
Botafogo PB
25/09/21
Brazil Serie C
Santa Cruz FC1-1
HT 0-1
Botafogo PB
25/07/21
Brazil Serie C
Botafogo PB1-0
HT 0-0
Santa Cruz FC
10/04/21
Brazil Copa Nordeste
Santa Cruz FC0-1
HT 0-0
Botafogo PB
25/10/20
Brazil Serie C
Santa Cruz FC1-0
HT 1-0
Botafogo PB

Standings · Brazil Serie C · Brasileiro Serie C 2026, Main Round, Group B

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Botafogo PB 000 000
1 Floresta EC 000 000
1 Maringa FC 000 000
1 Santa Cruz FC 000 000

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSanta Cruz FCBotafogo PB
Anapolis FC 1-1 D 2-0 W
Caxias RS 2-0 W 2-1 W
Ypiranga RS 0-1 L 1-1 D
Brusque 1-0 W 2-0 W
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 1 L 3 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Botafogo PB (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Santa Cruz FC

WLWWWLDLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/08 Anapolis FC
Brazil Serie C
1-0 1-1 44 D
23/08 Caxias RS
Brazil Serie C
1-0 2-0 34 W
16/08 Maranhao
Brazil Serie C
0-1 0-1 67 L
08/08 Botafogo PB
Brazil Serie C
0-1 2-2 23 D
25/07 Figueirense
Brazil Serie C
0-1 0-1 109 L
12/07 Barra FC
Brazil Serie C
2-0 2-1 25 W
05/07 Ituano
Brazil Serie C
0-0 1-0 16 W
27/06 Paysandu
Brazil Serie C
2-0 3-1 24 W
21/06 Ypiranga RS
Brazil Serie C
0-1 0-1 108 L
14/06 Brusque
Brazil Serie C
0-0 1-0 37 W

Botafogo PB

DWWWWWDDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/08 Itabaiana
Brazil Serie C
0-0 2-0 26 W
22/08 Guarani
Brazil Serie C
0-1 3-1 36 W
15/08 Amazonas FC
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-0 43 D
08/08 Santa Cruz FC
Brazil Serie C
1-0 2-2 43 D
26/07 Caxias RS
Brazil Serie C
0-1 2-1 45 W
13/07 AD Confianca
Brazil Serie C
0-0 2-0 51 W
06/07 Anapolis FC
Brazil Serie C
0-0 2-0 18 W
01/07 Brusque
Brazil Serie C
0-0 2-0 94 W
20/06 Volta Redonda
Brazil Serie C
2-0 2-0 12 W
16/06 Ypiranga RS
Brazil Serie C
0-1 1-1 07 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Santa Cruz FC vs Botafogo PB?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Santa Cruz FC win (41%). Probabilities: Santa Cruz FC 41%, draw 30%, Botafogo PB 29%.

How many goals are expected in Santa Cruz FC vs Botafogo PB?

The model expects 2.2 goals (Santa Cruz FC 1.22 · Botafogo PB 0.98), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Santa Cruz FC vs Botafogo PB?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.