Football · Brazil Serie C · 07/09, 23:00

Prediction: Paysandu vs Brusque

Team pages: Paysandu · Brusque

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.64Total
Paysandu1.75
Brusque0.9
1X2
56% 26% 18%
Paysandu Draw Brusque
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Paysandu 4-0-6 (W-D-L)
LWLLWLWLWL
Brusque 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
LWLWLWLWDD
Head-to-head
Paysandu 1–1–2 Brusque (4 last)
  • Paysandu1-1Brusque
  • Paysandu1-0Brusque
  • Brusque1-0Paysandu
  • Paysandu0-2Brusque
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Paysandu 1472 · Brusque 1499
PaysanduDrawBrusque
Our model56%26%18%
Market56%26%18%
Estimated total (ours) 2.64 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Brusque: 2-1-1.
  • High corners: 13.6 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

PaysanduBrusque
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 1.61.3 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.1 / 0.80.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/60/40%20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)3.7 / 7.42.7 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.6 / 0.24.5 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Paysandu 112 Brusque

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DateHomeScoreAway
12/04/26
Brazil Serie C
Paysandu1-1
HT 0-0
Brusque
12/11/24
Brazil Serie B
Paysandu1-0
HT 0-0
Brusque
25/07/24
Brazil Serie B
Brusque1-0
HT 1-0
Paysandu
02/07/23
Brazil Serie C
Paysandu0-2
HT 0-0
Brusque

Standings · Brazil Serie C · Brasileiro Serie C 2026, Main Round, Group C

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Inter de Limeira 000 000
1 Brusque 000 000
1 Ferroviaria SP 000 000
1 Paysandu 000 000

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentPaysanduBrusque
Ituano 1-0 W 1-0 W
Amazonas FC 1-2 L 1-1 D
Guarani 3-2 W 2-2 D
Santa Cruz FC 1-3 L 0-1 L
Maranhao 1-0 W 1-2 L
Inter de Limeira 1-2 L 3-2 W
Record vs common 3 W 0 D 3 L 2 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Brusque (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Paysandu

LWLLWLWLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/08 Maringa FC
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-1 43 L
22/08 Ituano
Brazil Serie C
0-0 1-0 68 W
18/08 Ferroviaria SP
Brazil Serie C
0-2 0-4 411 L
11/08 AD Confianca
Brazil Serie C
0-1 2-1 76 W
27/07 Amazonas FC
Brazil Serie C
1-1 1-2 56 L
12/07 Guarani
Brazil Serie C
0-2 3-2 107 W
05/07 Ypiranga RS
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-1 52 L
27/06 Santa Cruz FC
Brazil Serie C
0-2 1-3 144 L
21/06 Maranhao
Brazil Serie C
0-0 1-0 73 W
14/06 Inter de Limeira
Brazil Serie C
0-0 1-2 128 L

Brusque

LWLWLWLWDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/08 Guarani
Brazil Serie C
0-1 2-2 75 D
23/08 Amazonas FC
Brazil Serie C
1-1 1-1 85 D
16/08 Inter de Limeira
Brazil Serie C
1-1 3-2 34 W
09/08 Maranhao
Brazil Serie C
1-1 1-2 83 L
26/07 Ituano
Brazil Serie C
1-0 1-0 46 W
14/07 Itabaiana
Brazil Serie C
0-1 0-1 53 L
07/07 Figueirense
Brazil Serie C
1-0 3-1 56 W
01/07 Botafogo PB
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-2 94 L
21/06 Floresta EC
Brazil Serie C
1-1 2-1 82 W
14/06 Santa Cruz FC
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-1 57 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Paysandu vs Brusque?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Paysandu win (56%). Probabilities: Paysandu 56%, draw 26%, Brusque 18%.

How many goals are expected in Paysandu vs Brusque?

The model expects 2.64 goals (Paysandu 1.75 · Brusque 0.9), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Paysandu vs Brusque?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.