Prediction: Ferroviaria SP vs Paysandu
Team pages: Ferroviaria SP · Paysandu
- Ferroviaria SP4-0Paysandu
- Ferroviaria SP2-2Paysandu
- Paysandu2-1Ferroviaria SP
| Ferroviaria SP | Draw | Paysandu | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 26% | 21% |
| Market | 53% | 26% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ferroviaria SP (rating 1517 vs 1469).
- High corners: 13 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 11.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ferroviaria SP | Paysandu | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.9 | 1 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.1 | 0.2 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/70/0% | 0/50/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 6 | 3.7 / 7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.5 / 0.3 | 5.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ferroviaria SP 1–1–1 Paysandu
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08/26 Brazil Serie C | Ferroviaria SP | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Paysandu |
| 21/10/25 Brazil Serie B | Ferroviaria SP | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Paysandu |
| 01/07/25 Brazil Serie B | Paysandu | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Ferroviaria SP |
Standings · Brazil Serie C · Brasileiro Serie C 2026, Main Round, Group C
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brusque | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Inter de Limeira | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| 2 | Ferroviaria SP | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| 4 | Paysandu | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ferroviaria SP | Paysandu |
|---|---|---|
| AD Confianca | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Ypiranga RS | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Maranhao | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Ituano | 3-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 3 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ferroviaria SP
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Inter de Limeira Brazil Serie C |
1-1 | 3-3 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 29/08 | AD Confianca Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 23/08 | Ypiranga RS Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 18/08 | Paysandu Brazil Serie C |
2-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 11 | W |
| 08/08 | Figueirense Brazil Serie C |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 25/07 | Maranhao Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 8 | D |
| 12/07 | Ituano Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 05/07 | Caxias RS Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 28/06 | Itabaiana Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 21/06 | Inter de Limeira Brazil Serie C |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
Paysandu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Brusque Brazil Serie C |
1-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 9 | L |
| 29/08 | Maringa FC Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Ituano Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 18/08 | Ferroviaria SP Brazil Serie C |
0-2 | 0-4 | 4 | 11 | L |
| 11/08 | AD Confianca Brazil Serie C |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 27/07 | Amazonas FC Brazil Serie C |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 12/07 | Guarani Brazil Serie C |
0-2 | 3-2 | 10 | 7 | W |
| 05/07 | Ypiranga RS Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 27/06 | Santa Cruz FC Brazil Serie C |
0-2 | 1-3 | 14 | 4 | L |
| 21/06 | Maranhao Brazil Serie C |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ferroviaria SP vs Paysandu?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Ferroviaria SP win (53%). Probabilities: Ferroviaria SP 53%, draw 26%, Paysandu 21%.
How many goals are expected in Ferroviaria SP vs Paysandu?
The model expects 2.81 goals (Ferroviaria SP 1.77 · Paysandu 1.03), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Ferroviaria SP vs Paysandu?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.