Football · Brazil Serie C · 12/09, 22:00

Prediction: Botafogo PB vs Floresta EC

Team pages: Botafogo PB · Floresta EC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.19Total
Botafogo PB1.49
Floresta EC0.7
1X2
55% 28% 17%
Botafogo PB Draw Floresta EC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 63% Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0 16%
Recent form · 10 last
Botafogo PB 7-2-1 (W-D-L)
WWWWWDDWWL
Floresta EC 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
LWDDDLWWWL
Head-to-head
Botafogo PB 1–2–3 Floresta EC (6 last)
  • Botafogo PB1-2Floresta EC
  • Botafogo PB2-3Floresta EC
  • Floresta EC1-2Botafogo PB
  • Botafogo PB1-1Floresta EC
  • Botafogo PB1-1Floresta EC
  • Botafogo PB1-2Floresta EC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Botafogo PB 1565 · Floresta EC 1520
Botafogo PBDrawFloresta EC
Our model55%29%16%
Market56%27%17%
Estimated total (ours) 2.19 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Botafogo PB (rating 1565 vs 1520).
  • H2H favours Floresta EC: 3-2-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Botafogo PBFloresta EC
Goals for / against (FT)1.7 / 0.51 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.30.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/50/30%30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.9 / 4.71.9 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.1 / 0.13 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Botafogo PB 123 Floresta EC

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DateHomeScoreAway
26/04/26
Brazil Serie C
Botafogo PB1-2
HT 1-1
Floresta EC
11/05/25
Brazil Serie C
Botafogo PB2-3
HT 0-1
Floresta EC
22/04/24
Brazil Serie C
Floresta EC1-2
HT 0-0
Botafogo PB
04/06/23
Brazil Serie C
Botafogo PB1-1
HT 1-0
Floresta EC
09/07/22
Brazil Serie C
Botafogo PB1-1
HT 1-1
Floresta EC
21/08/21
Brazil Serie C
Botafogo PB1-2
HT 0-1
Floresta EC

Standings · Brazil Serie C · Brasileiro Serie C 2026, Main Round, Group B

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Maringa FC 110 103
1 Santa Cruz FC 110 103
3 Botafogo PB 101 010
3 Floresta EC 101 010

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentBotafogo PBFloresta EC
Guarani 3-1 W 0-0 D
Caxias RS 2-1 W 0-0 D
Anapolis FC 2-0 W 1-0 W
Brusque 2-0 W 1-2 L
Volta Redonda 2-0 W 2-1 W
Record vs common 5 W 0 D 0 L 2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Botafogo PB (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Botafogo PB

WWWWWDDWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/09 Santa Cruz FC
Brazil Serie C
0-1 0-1 144 L
29/08 Itabaiana
Brazil Serie C
0-0 2-0 26 W
22/08 Guarani
Brazil Serie C
0-1 3-1 36 W
15/08 Amazonas FC
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-0 43 D
08/08 Santa Cruz FC
Brazil Serie C
1-0 2-2 43 D
26/07 Caxias RS
Brazil Serie C
0-1 2-1 45 W
13/07 AD Confianca
Brazil Serie C
0-0 2-0 51 W
06/07 Anapolis FC
Brazil Serie C
0-0 2-0 18 W
01/07 Brusque
Brazil Serie C
0-0 2-0 94 W
20/06 Volta Redonda
Brazil Serie C
2-0 2-0 12 W

Floresta EC

LWDDDLWWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/09 Maringa FC
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-1 01 L
29/08 Ituano
Brazil Serie C
1-0 2-0 55 W
22/08 Volta Redonda
Brazil Serie C
1-1 2-1 21 W
16/08 Anapolis FC
Brazil Serie C
1-0 1-0 76 W
09/08 Ypiranga RS
Brazil Serie C
0-3 1-4 46 L
28/07 Maringa FC
Brazil Serie C
0-0 1-1 40 D
11/07 Caxias RS
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-0 02 D
05/07 Guarani
Brazil Serie C
0-0 0-0 37 D
27/06 Barra FC
Brazil Serie C
1-0 2-1 90 W
21/06 Brusque
Brazil Serie C
1-1 1-2 72 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Botafogo PB vs Floresta EC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Botafogo PB win (55%). Probabilities: Botafogo PB 55%, draw 28%, Floresta EC 17%.

How many goals are expected in Botafogo PB vs Floresta EC?

The model expects 2.19 goals (Botafogo PB 1.49 · Floresta EC 0.7), with a 51% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Botafogo PB vs Floresta EC?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.