Football · Brazil Serie C · 13/09, 00:30

Prediction: Maringa FC vs Santa Cruz FC

Team pages: Maringa FC · Santa Cruz FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.22Total
Maringa FC1.46
Santa Cruz FC0.77
1X2
53% 29% 19%
Maringa FC Draw Santa Cruz FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 62% Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Maringa FC 5-4-1 (W-D-L)
DDWWDLDWWW
Santa Cruz FC 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
LWWWLDLWDW
Head-to-head
Maringa FC 0–1–0 Santa Cruz FC (1 last)
  • Maringa FC1-1Santa Cruz FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Maringa FC 1550 · Santa Cruz FC 1523
Maringa FCDrawSanta Cruz FC
Our model52%29%18%
Market53%28%19%
Estimated total (ours) 2.22 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Maringa FCSanta Cruz FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 0.91.2 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.30.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/70/20%50/10/40%
Corners (HT / FT)3.3 / 5.92.7 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.1 / 0.25.2 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Maringa FC 010 Santa Cruz FC

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
24/05/26
Brazil Serie C
Maringa FC1-1
HT 1-1
Santa Cruz FC

Standings · Brazil Serie C · Brasileiro Serie C 2026, Main Round, Group B

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Santa Cruz FC 220 206
2 Floresta EC 211 113
2 Maringa FC 211 113
4 Botafogo PB 202 020

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentMaringa FCSanta Cruz FC
Paysandu 1-0 W 3-1 W
Barra FC 2-1 W 2-1 W
Anapolis FC 1-0 W 1-1 D
Caxias RS 1-1 D 2-0 W
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 0 L 3 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Santa Cruz FC (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Maringa FC

DDWWDLDWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/09 Floresta EC
Brazil Serie C
0-0 1-0 61 W
29/08 Paysandu
Brazil Serie C
0-0 1-0 43 W
23/08 Barra FC
Brazil Serie C
0-0 2-1 65 W
16/08 AD Confianca
Brazil Serie C
0-0 1-1 76 D
09/08 Amazonas FC
Brazil Serie C
0-2 0-3 156 L
28/07 Floresta EC
Brazil Serie C
0-0 1-1 60 D
12/07 Anapolis FC
Brazil Serie C
0-0 1-0 65 W
05/07 Volta Redonda
Brazil Serie C
3-0 4-0 42 W
27/06 Inter de Limeira
Brazil Serie C
0-0 2-2 16 D
21/06 Caxias RS
Brazil Serie C
0-1 1-1 49 D

Santa Cruz FC

LWWWLDLWDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/09 Botafogo PB
Brazil Serie C
1-0 1-0 54 W
29/08 Anapolis FC
Brazil Serie C
1-0 1-1 44 D
23/08 Caxias RS
Brazil Serie C
1-0 2-0 34 W
16/08 Maranhao
Brazil Serie C
0-1 0-1 67 L
08/08 Botafogo PB
Brazil Serie C
0-1 2-2 23 D
25/07 Figueirense
Brazil Serie C
0-1 0-1 109 L
12/07 Barra FC
Brazil Serie C
2-0 2-1 25 W
05/07 Ituano
Brazil Serie C
0-0 1-0 16 W
27/06 Paysandu
Brazil Serie C
2-0 3-1 24 W
21/06 Ypiranga RS
Brazil Serie C
0-1 0-1 108 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Maringa FC vs Santa Cruz FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Maringa FC win (53%). Probabilities: Maringa FC 53%, draw 29%, Santa Cruz FC 19%.

How many goals are expected in Maringa FC vs Santa Cruz FC?

The model expects 2.22 goals (Maringa FC 1.46 · Santa Cruz FC 0.77), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Maringa FC vs Santa Cruz FC?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.