Football · Paraguay Division Intermedia · 03/09, 21:30
Prediction: Deportivo Capiata vs 3 de Noviembre
Team pages: Deportivo Capiata · 3 de Noviembre
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.64Total
Deportivo Capiata1.47
3 de Noviembre1.17
1X2
Deportivo Capiata
Draw
3 de Noviembre
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Deportivo Capiata
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
3 de Noviembre
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportivo Capiata
2–2–0
3 de Noviembre
(4 last)
- 3 de Noviembre0-0Deportivo Capiata
- 3 de Noviembre2-3Deportivo Capiata
- Deportivo Capiata0-03 de Noviembre
- 3 de Noviembre1-2Deportivo Capiata
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportivo Capiata 1441 · 3 de Noviembre 1477
| Deportivo Capiata | Draw | 3 de Noviembre | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 28% | 29% |
| Market | 43% | 27% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.64 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Deportivo Capiata: 2-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportivo Capiata | 3 de Noviembre | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.6 | 1.4 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.9 | 0.7 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.9 / 4.8 | 2.3 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.3 | 4.3 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Capiata 2–2–0 3 de Noviembre
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/05/26 Paraguay Division Intermedia | 3 de Noviembre | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Capiata |
| 09/10/24 Paraguay Tercera Division | 3 de Noviembre | 2-3 HT 2-0 | Deportivo Capiata |
| 04/07/24 Paraguay Tercera Division | Deportivo Capiata | 0-0 HT 0-0 | 3 de Noviembre |
| 12/06/24 Paraguay Cup | 3 de Noviembre | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Deportivo Capiata |
Standings · Paraguay Division Intermedia
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 19 | 43 |
| 2 | General Caballero JLM | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 43 | 25 | 43 |
| 3 | Deportivo Santaní | 21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 35 | 22 | 39 |
| 4 | Club Dr Benjamin Aceval | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 35 | 23 | 38 |
| 5 | Sol de America | 21 | 7 | 12 | 2 | 26 | 17 | 33 |
| 6 | Club Atlético Tembetary | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 31 | 32 | 29 |
| 7 | Resistencia FC | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 23 | 29 |
| 8 | Carapegua | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 34 | 28 |
| 9 | Independiente FBC | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 30 | 31 | 27 |
| 10 | Guairena FC | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 24 | 24 |
| 11 | Deportivo Capiata | 21 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 25 | 28 | 24 |
| 12 | Fernando de la Mora | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 31 | 24 |
| 13 | Paraguari AC | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 22 | 27 | 23 |
| 14 | Tacuary | 21 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 24 | 33 | 19 |
| 15 | 3 de Noviembre | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 32 | 16 |
| 16 | Encarnacion FC | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 19 | 31 | 15 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportivo Capiata | 3 de Noviembre |
|---|---|---|
| Paraguari AC | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Independiente FBC | 1-1 D | 5-2 W |
| Tacuary | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Club Atlético Tembetary | 1-3 L | 3-0 W |
| Club Dr Benjamin Aceval | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Carapegua | 5-2 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 2 L | 3 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: 3 de Noviembre (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportivo Capiata
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 21/08 | Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 16/08 | Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 08/08 | Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-3 | 1-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 04/08 | Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 29/07 | Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 20/07 | Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 14/07 | Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 07/07 | Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 27/06 | Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia |
2-1 | 5-2 | 5 | 2 | W |
3 de Noviembre
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
3-0 | 5-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 17/08 | Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 09/08 | Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 03/08 | Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 28/07 | 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 19/07 | Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 11/07 | Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-2 | 0-4 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 03/07 | Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 9 | D |
| 28/06 | Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportivo Capiata vs 3 de Noviembre?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Capiata win (43%). Probabilities: Deportivo Capiata 43%, draw 28%, 3 de Noviembre 29%.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo Capiata vs 3 de Noviembre?
The model expects 2.64 goals (Deportivo Capiata 1.47 · 3 de Noviembre 1.17), with a 55% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportivo Capiata vs 3 de Noviembre?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.