Prediction: Sabah vs Imisli

Team pages: Sabah · Imisli

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.08Total
Sabah2.38
Imisli0.7
1X2
74% 17% 9%
Sabah Draw Imisli
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
2-0 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Sabah 8-0-2 (W-D-L)
WWWLLWWWWW
Imisli 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
LWDLDDLWLL
Head-to-head
Sabah 2–1–1 Imisli (4 last)
  • Imisli0-5Sabah
  • Imisli1-1Sabah
  • Imisli0-3Sabah
  • Sabah0-1Imisli
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sabah 1606 · Imisli 1440
SabahDrawImisli
Our model74%18%8%
Market75%16%9%
Estimated total (ours) 3.08 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sabah (rating 1606 vs 1440).
  • H2H favours Sabah: 2-1-1.
  • High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

SabahImisli
Goals for / against (FT)2 / 0.40.7 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.10.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/50/0%10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)3.3 / 6.11.8 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.6 / 0.43 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sabah 211 Imisli

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DateHomeScoreAway
14/03/26
Azerbaijan Premier League
Imisli0-5
HT 0-3
Sabah
03/12/25
Azerbaijan Cup
Imisli1-1
HT 0-0
Sabah
29/11/25
Azerbaijan Premier League
Imisli0-3
HT 0-0
Sabah
31/08/25
Azerbaijan Premier League
Sabah0-1
HT 0-0
Imisli

Standings · Azerbaijan Premier League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Sabah 4400 11012
2 Neftchi Baku 5401 15512
3 FK Qarabag 4310 8410
4 Zira IK 5311 7710
5 PFK Turan Tovuz 5221 548
6 FK Kapaz 4202 366
7 Shamakhi FK 5131 656
8 FK Gabala 5113 244
9 Imisli 5113 584
10 Safa Baku 5104 2103
11 Araz FK 5023 4112
12 FK Sumqayit 4013 371

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSabahImisli
Safa Baku 3-0 W 1-0 W
Zira IK 5-0 W 1-3 L
Araz FK 1-0 W 0-0 D
Neftchi Baku 1-2 L 2-3 L
FK Karvan 2-0 W 1-1 D
FK Qarabag 1-0 W 0-3 L
Record vs common 5 W 0 D 1 L 1 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Sabah (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sabah

WWWLLWWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
14/09 Safa Baku
Azerbaijan Premier League
2-0 3-0 60 W
05/09 Zira IK
Azerbaijan Premier League
3-0 5-0 13 W
31/08 Araz FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
0-0 1-0 100 W
15/08 FK Kapaz
Azerbaijan Premier League
0-0 2-0 64 W
22/05 PFK Turan Tovuz
Azerbaijan Premier League
1-0 2-1 53 W
17/05 Neftchi Baku
Azerbaijan Premier League
1-1 1-2 52 L
08/05 FK Kapaz
Azerbaijan Premier League
0-0 0-1 104 L
03/05 Shamakhi FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
1-0 3-0 83 W
27/04 FK Karvan
Azerbaijan Premier League
0-0 2-0 104 W
18/04 FK Qarabag
Azerbaijan Premier League
1-0 1-0 07 W

Imisli

LWDLDDLWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/09 Neftchi Baku
Azerbaijan Premier League
2-2 2-3 21 L
04/09 FK Gabala
Azerbaijan Premier League
1-1 1-2 116 L
29/08 Safa Baku
Azerbaijan Premier League
0-0 1-0 61 W
22/08 Zira IK
Azerbaijan Premier League
0-1 1-3 15 L
15/08 Araz FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
0-0 0-0 94 D
24/05 FK Karvan
Azerbaijan Premier League
0-1 1-1 40 D
16/05 FK Qarabag
Azerbaijan Premier League
0-0 0-3 13 L
08/05 Zira IK
Azerbaijan Premier League
0-0 0-0 33 D
02/05 Araz FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
1-0 1-0 22 W
25/04 FK Sumqayit
Azerbaijan Premier League
0-1 0-2 65 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sabah vs Imisli?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sabah win (74%). Probabilities: Sabah 74%, draw 17%, Imisli 9%.

How many goals are expected in Sabah vs Imisli?

The model expects 3.08 goals (Sabah 2.38 · Imisli 0.7), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Sabah vs Imisli?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.