Football · Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League · 19/09, 15:00
Prediction: Zvijezda 09 vs Leotar
Team pages: Zvijezda 09
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.71Total
Zvijezda 091
Leotar1.72
1X2
Zvijezda 09
Draw
Leotar
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Zvijezda 09
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Leotar
5-5-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Zvijezda 09
4–2
Leotar
(6 last)
- Leotar3-0Zvijezda 09
- Zvijezda 090-1Leotar
- Zvijezda 092-1Leotar
- Leotar1-2Zvijezda 09
- Zvijezda 093-1Leotar
- Leotar0-1Zvijezda 09
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Zvijezda 09 1437 · Leotar 1566
| Zvijezda 09 | Draw | Leotar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 21% | 26% | 53% |
| Market | 22% | 24% | 54% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.71 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Leotar (rating 1437 vs 1566).
- H2H favours Zvijezda 09: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Zvijezda 09 | Leotar | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.8 | 1.8 / 0.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.5 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 25/50/25% | 0/100/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.3 | 1.5 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.4 | 3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Zvijezda 09 4–0–2 Leotar
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | Leotar | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Zvijezda 09 |
| 10/10/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | Zvijezda 09 | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Leotar |
| 08/03/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | Zvijezda 09 | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Leotar |
| 17/08/24 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | Leotar | 1-2 | Zvijezda 09 |
| 01/05/21 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | Zvijezda 09 | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Leotar |
| 17/10/20 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | Leotar | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Zvijezda 09 |
Standings · Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Laktasi | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 15 |
| 2 | FK Majevica Lopare | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 11 |
| 3 | Leotar | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 10 |
| 4 | Romanija Pale | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 9 |
| 5 | FK Drina Zvornik | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 8 |
| 6 | FK Kozara Gradiska | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 8 |
| 7 | FK Potkozarje | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 7 |
| 8 | FK Rudar Prijedor | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 5 |
| 9 | Slavija Sarajevo | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 5 |
| 10 | FC Velez Nevesinje | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 5 |
| 11 | Sutjeska Foca | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| 12 | FK Famos Vojkovici | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 3 |
| 13 | Zvijezda 09 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 3 |
| 14 | FK Omarska | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 1 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Zvijezda 09 | Leotar |
|---|---|---|
| FK Laktasi | 0-3 L | 0-0 D |
| FK Omarska | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Leotar (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Zvijezda 09
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Romanija Pale Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 05/09 | FK Majevica Lopare Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-0 | 1-4 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 02/09 | FK Potkozarje Aleksandrovac Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 29/08 | FK Famos Vojkovici Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 22/08 | FK Laktasi Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 03/06 | FK Vlasenica Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | FK Omarska Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 10 | 7 | L |
| 27/05 | FK Famos Vojkovici Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 23/05 | FC Velez Nevesinje Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
3-1 | 6-1 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 16/05 | Romanija Pale Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
1-2 | 4-2 | 6 | 6 | W |
Leotar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | FK Kozara Gradiska Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 06/09 | FK Omarska Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/09 | FK Rudar Prijedor Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 29/08 | FK Drina Zvornik Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 30/05 | FK Drina Zvornik Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 24/05 | BSK Banja Luka Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 16/05 | FK Laktasi Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 10/05 | Slavija Sarajevo Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 02/05 | FK Kozara Gradiska Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/04 | FK Omarska Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 5-1 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Zvijezda 09 vs Leotar?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Leotar win (54%). Probabilities: Zvijezda 09 21%, draw 25%, Leotar 54%.
How many goals are expected in Zvijezda 09 vs Leotar?
The model expects 2.71 goals (Zvijezda 09 1 · Leotar 1.72), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Zvijezda 09 vs Leotar?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.