Football · Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League · 27/09, 15:30
Prediction: NK Tosk Tesanj vs NK Stupcanica Olovo
Team pages: NK Tosk Tesanj · NK Stupcanica Olovo
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.74Total
NK Tosk Tesanj1.2
NK Stupcanica Olovo1.54
1X2
NK Tosk Tesanj
Draw
NK Stupcanica Olovo
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
NK Tosk Tesanj
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
NK Stupcanica Olovo
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
NK Tosk Tesanj
3–1–2
NK Stupcanica Olovo
(6 last)
- NK Tosk Tesanj1-1NK Stupcanica Olovo
- NK Stupcanica Olovo1-2NK Tosk Tesanj
- NK Tosk Tesanj4-0NK Stupcanica Olovo
- NK Stupcanica Olovo3-0NK Tosk Tesanj
- NK Stupcanica Olovo4-0NK Tosk Tesanj
- NK Tosk Tesanj4-1NK Stupcanica Olovo
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · NK Tosk Tesanj 1479 · NK Stupcanica Olovo 1547
| NK Tosk Tesanj | Draw | NK Stupcanica Olovo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 28% | 44% |
| Market | 29% | 26% | 45% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.74 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours NK Stupcanica Olovo (rating 1479 vs 1547).
- H2H favours NK Tosk Tesanj: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| NK Tosk Tesanj | NK Stupcanica Olovo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.6 | 2.2 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 1 | 1.3 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/40/60% | 63/38/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.4 | 1.3 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.4 | 3.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · NK Tosk Tesanj 3–1–2 NK Stupcanica Olovo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/04/26 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | NK Tosk Tesanj | 1-1 HT 0-0 | NK Stupcanica Olovo |
| 07/09/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | NK Stupcanica Olovo | 1-2 HT 1-1 | NK Tosk Tesanj |
| 19/04/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | NK Tosk Tesanj | 4-0 | NK Stupcanica Olovo |
| 28/09/24 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | NK Stupcanica Olovo | 3-0 | NK Tosk Tesanj |
| 30/03/24 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | NK Stupcanica Olovo | 4-0 | NK Tosk Tesanj |
| 03/09/23 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | NK Tosk Tesanj | 4-1 HT 1-1 | NK Stupcanica Olovo |
Standings · Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Laktasi | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 4 | 19 |
| 2 | Leotar | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 16 |
| 3 | FK Potkozarje | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 13 |
| 4 | FK Majevica Lopare | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | FK Kozara Gradiska | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 12 |
| 6 | FK Drina Zvornik | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 6 | 11 |
| 7 | Romanija Pale | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 9 |
| 8 | FK Rudar Prijedor | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 8 |
| 9 | FC Velez Nevesinje | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 8 |
| 10 | Sutjeska Foca | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 7 |
| 11 | FK Famos Vojkovici | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 6 |
| 11 | Slavija Sarajevo | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 6 |
| 13 | FK Omarska | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 4 |
| 14 | Zvijezda 09 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 3 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | NK Tosk Tesanj | NK Stupcanica Olovo |
|---|---|---|
| Sloboda Tuzla | 2-4 L | 1-1 D |
| HNK Tomislav | 3-3 D | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 1 L | 0 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
NK Tosk Tesanj
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Jedinstvo Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 13/09 | NK Travnik Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 05/09 | Sloboda Tuzla Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
1-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 30/08 | GOSK Gabela Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 22/08 | FK Radnik Hadzici Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 15/08 | NK Zvijezda Gradacac Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 07/06 | Sloboda Tuzla Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 30/05 | HNK Tomislav Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 24/05 | NK Travnik Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | GOSK Gabela Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
NK Stupcanica Olovo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Buducnost Banovici Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
1-1 | 4-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 12/09 | HNK Tomislav Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 06/09 | NK Vitez Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
3-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 29/08 | Rudar Kakanj Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 26/08 | FK Igman Konjic Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 23/08 | HNK Capljina Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
2-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 07/06 | FK Igman Konjic Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 30/05 | Bratstvo Gracanica Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 24/05 | Buducnost Banovici Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | Sloboda Tuzla Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in NK Tosk Tesanj vs NK Stupcanica Olovo?
According to our model, the most likely result is an NK Stupcanica Olovo win (45%). Probabilities: NK Tosk Tesanj 29%, draw 27%, NK Stupcanica Olovo 45%.
How many goals are expected in NK Tosk Tesanj vs NK Stupcanica Olovo?
The model expects 2.74 goals (NK Tosk Tesanj 1.2 · NK Stupcanica Olovo 1.54), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in NK Tosk Tesanj vs NK Stupcanica Olovo?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.