Football · Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League · 27/09, 15:30

Prediction: HNK Tomislav vs FK Igman Konjic

Team pages: HNK Tomislav · FK Igman Konjic

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.68Total

HNK Tomislav1.49

FK Igman Konjic1.19

1X2

43% 28% 29%

HNK Tomislav Draw FK Igman Konjic

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

HNK Tomislav 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LWDWLLLLWD

FK Igman Konjic 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WDLLDLDWWW

Head-to-head

HNK Tomislav 2–3 FK Igman Konjic (5 last)

FK Igman Konjic2-1HNK Tomislav
HNK Tomislav5-0FK Igman Konjic
HNK Tomislav2-1FK Igman Konjic
HNK Tomislav1-2FK Igman Konjic
FK Igman Konjic2-1HNK Tomislav

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · HNK Tomislav 1458 · FK Igman Konjic 1513

	HNK Tomislav	Draw	FK Igman Konjic
Our model	43%	28%	29%
Market	43%	28%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 2.68 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Igman Konjic (rating 1458 vs 1513).
H2H favours FK Igman Konjic: 3-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	HNK Tomislav	FK Igman Konjic
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 2.3	0.9 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.3	0.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	67/0/33%	17/50/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.3	1.2 / 2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0	3.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.20

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.80

Under 2.252.00

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:57

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
03:45 +72’	2.10	3.20	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · HNK Tomislav 2–0–3 FK Igman Konjic

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/04/26 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	FK Igman Konjic	2-1 HT 0-1	HNK Tomislav
20/09/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	HNK Tomislav	5-0	FK Igman Konjic
13/07/23 Europe Friendlies	HNK Tomislav	2-1 HT 2-0	FK Igman Konjic
07/05/22 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	HNK Tomislav	1-2	FK Igman Konjic
16/10/21 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	FK Igman Konjic	2-1	HNK Tomislav

Standings · Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Laktasi	7	6	1	0	19	4	19
2	Leotar	6	5	1	0	16	3	16
3	FK Potkozarje	7	4	1	2	8	7	13
4	FK Majevica Lopare	7	3	3	1	12	5	12
5	FK Kozara Gradiska	7	3	3	1	6	4	12
6	FK Drina Zvornik	7	3	2	2	16	6	11
7	Romanija Pale	7	3	0	4	9	14	9
8	FK Rudar Prijedor	7	2	2	3	8	11	8
9	FC Velez Nevesinje	7	2	2	3	6	14	8
10	Sutjeska Foca	6	2	1	3	4	7	7
11	FK Famos Vojkovici	7	2	0	5	6	12	6
11	Slavija Sarajevo	7	1	3	3	6	12	6
13	FK Omarska	7	1	1	5	4	9	4
14	Zvijezda 09	7	1	0	6	6	18	3

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	HNK Tomislav	FK Igman Konjic
Bratstvo Gracanica	2-2 D	0-0 D
NK Stupcanica Olovo	2-1 W	0-3 L
NK Vitez	3-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: HNK Tomislav (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

HNK Tomislav

LWDWLLLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Bratstvo Gracanica Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	1-0	2-2	1	7	D
12/09	NK Stupcanica Olovo Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	2-1	–	–	W
05/09	Jedinstvo Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	0-4	–	–	L
29/08	NK Travnik Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	2-4	–	–	L
23/08	Sloboda Tuzla Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	0-1	0-3	7	3	L
16/08	GOSK Gabela Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	0-3	–	–	L
07/06	FK Tuzla City Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	1-0	4-0	8	1	W
30/05	NK Tosk Tesanj Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	3-3	–	–	D
24/05	NK Vitez Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	3-0	–	–	W
16/05	Jedinstvo Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	1-3	–	–	L

FK Igman Konjic

WDLLDLDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	NK Vitez Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	1-0	–	–	W
12/09	Rudar Kakanj Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	1-0	–	–	W
05/09	HNK Capljina Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	4-0	–	–	W
29/08	HSK Posusje Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	1-1	–	–	D
26/08	NK Stupcanica Olovo Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	0-1	0-3	2	5	L
22/08	Bratstvo Gracanica Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	0-0	0-0	2	6	D
07/06	NK Stupcanica Olovo Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	1-1	1-2	1	0	L
31/05	NK Celik Zenica Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	0-1	0-4	3	2	L
24/05	Bratstvo Gracanica Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	0-0	0-0	3	6	D
16/05	FK Radnik Hadzici Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	1-0	1-0	1	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HNK Tomislav vs FK Igman Konjic?

According to our model, the most likely result is a HNK Tomislav win (43%). Probabilities: HNK Tomislav 43%, draw 28%, FK Igman Konjic 29%.

How many goals are expected in HNK Tomislav vs FK Igman Konjic?

The model expects 2.68 goals (HNK Tomislav 1.49 · FK Igman Konjic 1.19), with a 55% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in HNK Tomislav vs FK Igman Konjic?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.