Football · Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League · 27/09, 16:00

Prediction: FK Omarska vs FK Drina Zvornik

Team pages: FK Omarska · FK Drina Zvornik

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.6Total

FK Omarska1.25

FK Drina Zvornik1.35

1X2

34% 28% 38%

FK Omarska Draw FK Drina Zvornik

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Omarska 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DWWLDLLLWL

FK Drina Zvornik 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LWDLDWWDLW

Head-to-head

FK Omarska 1–3–2 FK Drina Zvornik (6 last)

FK Drina Zvornik5-0FK Omarska
FK Omarska1-1FK Drina Zvornik
FK Omarska0-0FK Drina Zvornik
FK Drina Zvornik1-1FK Omarska
FK Drina Zvornik3-1FK Omarska
FK Omarska3-0FK Drina Zvornik

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Omarska 1462 · FK Drina Zvornik 1539

	FK Omarska	Draw	FK Drina Zvornik
Our model	33%	29%	38%
Market	35%	26%	39%

Estimated total (ours) 2.6 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Drina Zvornik (rating 1462 vs 1539).
H2H favours FK Drina Zvornik: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Omarska	FK Drina Zvornik
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 0.9	2.2 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.7	1.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	67/0/33%	43/29/29%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 2.7	3 / 6.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.7 / 0.3	3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.60

X3.40

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.02

2 (0)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.90

Under 2.51.90

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:56

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
07:39 +18’	2.60	3.40	2.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Omarska 1–3–2 FK Drina Zvornik

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/11/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	FK Drina Zvornik	5-0 HT 5-0	FK Omarska
24/08/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	FK Omarska	1-1 HT 1-0	FK Drina Zvornik
10/03/24 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	FK Omarska	0-0 HT 0-0	FK Drina Zvornik
19/08/23 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	FK Drina Zvornik	1-1 HT 1-0	FK Omarska
17/05/23 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	FK Drina Zvornik	3-1 HT 3-1	FK Omarska
23/10/22 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	FK Omarska	3-0 HT 1-0	FK Drina Zvornik

Standings · Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Laktasi	7	6	1	0	19	4	19
2	Leotar	6	5	1	0	16	3	16
3	FK Potkozarje	7	4	1	2	8	7	13
4	FK Majevica Lopare	7	3	3	1	12	5	12
5	FK Kozara Gradiska	7	3	3	1	6	4	12
6	FK Drina Zvornik	7	3	2	2	16	6	11
7	Romanija Pale	7	3	0	4	9	14	9
8	FK Rudar Prijedor	7	2	2	3	8	11	8
9	FC Velez Nevesinje	7	2	2	3	6	14	8
10	Sutjeska Foca	6	2	1	3	4	7	7
11	FK Famos Vojkovici	7	2	0	5	6	12	6
11	Slavija Sarajevo	7	1	3	3	6	12	6
13	FK Omarska	7	1	1	5	4	9	4
14	Zvijezda 09	7	1	0	6	6	18	3

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Omarska	FK Drina Zvornik
Sutjeska Foca	0-1 L	0-0 D
Slavija Sarajevo	1-0 W	3-0 W
FC Velez Nevesinje	1-2 L	8-0 W
Leotar	0-1 L	2-2 D
Romanija Pale	2-3 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 4 L	2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FK Drina Zvornik (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Omarska

DWWLDLLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/09	Sutjeska Foca Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	0-1	–	–	L
20/09	Slavija Sarajevo Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	1-0	1-0	1	5	W
12/09	FC Velez Nevesinje Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	1-2	–	–	L
06/09	Leotar Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	0-1	–	–	L
02/09	Romanija Pale Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	0-2	2-3	5	6	L
30/08	FK Majevica Lopare Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	0-0	–	–	D
22/08	FK Potkozarje Aleksandrovac Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	0-2	–	–	L
03/06	Sutjeska Foca Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	3-0	–	–	W
30/05	Zvijezda 09 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	1-0	2-0	2	7	W
27/05	FK Vlasenica Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	0-0	–	–	D

FK Drina Zvornik

LWDLDWWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/09	FK Rudar Prijedor Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	1-0	1-0	4	3	W
19/09	FK Laktasi Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	0-2	1-2	7	6	L
12/09	Sutjeska Foca Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	0-0	–	–	D
05/09	Slavija Sarajevo Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	2-0	3-0	8	4	W
02/09	FC Velez Nevesinje Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	4-0	8-0	3	0	W
29/08	Leotar Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	2-2	–	–	D
22/08	Romanija Pale Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	0-1	1-2	13	4	L
30/05	Leotar Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	1-1	2-2	1	2	D
20/05	Slavija Sarajevo Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	1-1	2-1	10	3	W
16/05	BSK Banja Luka Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	2-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Omarska vs FK Drina Zvornik?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FK Drina Zvornik win (38%). Probabilities: FK Omarska 34%, draw 28%, FK Drina Zvornik 38%.

How many goals are expected in FK Omarska vs FK Drina Zvornik?

The model expects 2.6 goals (FK Omarska 1.25 · FK Drina Zvornik 1.35), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Omarska vs FK Drina Zvornik?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.