Football · Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League · 03/10, 15:00
Prediction: Bratstvo Gracanica vs NK Tosk Tesanj
Team pages: Bratstvo Gracanica · NK Tosk Tesanj
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.5Total
Bratstvo Gracanica1.63
NK Tosk Tesanj0.87
1X2
Bratstvo Gracanica
Draw
NK Tosk Tesanj
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Bratstvo Gracanica
2-7-1 (W-D-L)
NK Tosk Tesanj
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Bratstvo Gracanica
3–3
NK Tosk Tesanj
(6 last)
- Bratstvo Gracanica2-1NK Tosk Tesanj
- NK Tosk Tesanj2-0Bratstvo Gracanica
- Bratstvo Gracanica2-0NK Tosk Tesanj
- NK Tosk Tesanj3-1Bratstvo Gracanica
- NK Tosk Tesanj2-1Bratstvo Gracanica
- Bratstvo Gracanica3-1NK Tosk Tesanj
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bratstvo Gracanica 1526 · NK Tosk Tesanj 1485
| Bratstvo Gracanica | Draw | NK Tosk Tesanj | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 27% | 19% |
| Market | 55% | 25% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.5 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bratstvo Gracanica (rating 1526 vs 1485).
- Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bratstvo Gracanica | NK Tosk Tesanj | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.1 | 1.1 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 0.3 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 13/75/13% | 17/33/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 5.4 | 2.5 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.5 / 0.3 | 4.7 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bratstvo Gracanica 3–0–3 NK Tosk Tesanj
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/26 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | Bratstvo Gracanica | 2-1 HT 2-1 | NK Tosk Tesanj |
| 31/08/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | NK Tosk Tesanj | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Bratstvo Gracanica |
| 12/04/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | Bratstvo Gracanica | 2-0 | NK Tosk Tesanj |
| 22/09/24 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | NK Tosk Tesanj | 3-1 | Bratstvo Gracanica |
| 19/05/24 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | NK Tosk Tesanj | 2-1 | Bratstvo Gracanica |
| 21/10/23 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | Bratstvo Gracanica | 3-1 HT 3-1 | NK Tosk Tesanj |
Standings · Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Laktasi | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 4 | 22 |
| 2 | Leotar | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 4 | 17 |
| 3 | FK Majevica Lopare | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 6 | 15 |
| 4 | FK Kozara Gradiska | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 15 |
| 5 | FK Potkozarje | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | FK Drina Zvornik | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 6 | 11 |
| 7 | FK Famos Vojkovici | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 9 |
| 8 | Slavija Sarajevo | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 9 |
| 9 | Romanija Pale | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 9 |
| 10 | FK Rudar Prijedor | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 8 |
| 11 | FC Velez Nevesinje | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 8 |
| 12 | Sutjeska Foca | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 7 |
| 13 | FK Omarska | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 4 |
| 14 | Zvijezda 09 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 3 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Bratstvo Gracanica | NK Tosk Tesanj |
|---|---|---|
| HNK Tomislav | 2-2 D | 3-3 D |
| Jedinstvo | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| NK Stupcanica Olovo | 2-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 0 L | 2 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: NK Tosk Tesanj (1 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bratstvo Gracanica
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Buducnost Banovici Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 19/09 | HNK Tomislav Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 12/09 | NK Vitez Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 05/09 | Rudar Kakanj Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 29/08 | HNK Capljina Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 22/08 | FK Igman Konjic Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 6 | D |
| 14/08 | HSK Posusje Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 07/06 | Jedinstvo Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 10 | D |
| 30/05 | NK Stupcanica Olovo Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 24/05 | FK Igman Konjic Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
NK Tosk Tesanj
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | NK Stupcanica Olovo Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 19/09 | Jedinstvo Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 13/09 | NK Travnik Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 05/09 | Sloboda Tuzla Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
1-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 30/08 | GOSK Gabela Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 22/08 | FK Radnik Hadzici Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 15/08 | NK Zvijezda Gradacac Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 07/06 | Sloboda Tuzla Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 30/05 | HNK Tomislav Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 24/05 | NK Travnik Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bratstvo Gracanica vs NK Tosk Tesanj?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Bratstvo Gracanica win (55%). Probabilities: Bratstvo Gracanica 55%, draw 26%, NK Tosk Tesanj 19%.
How many goals are expected in Bratstvo Gracanica vs NK Tosk Tesanj?
The model expects 2.5 goals (Bratstvo Gracanica 1.63 · NK Tosk Tesanj 0.87), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Bratstvo Gracanica vs NK Tosk Tesanj?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.