Football · Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League · 03/10, 15:00
Prediction: FK Drina Zvornik vs FK Kozara Gradiska
Team pages: FK Drina Zvornik · FK Kozara Gradiska
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.22Total
FK Drina Zvornik1.58
FK Kozara Gradiska0.64
1X2
FK Drina Zvornik
Draw
FK Kozara Gradiska
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
1-0 16%
Recent form · 10 last
FK Drina Zvornik
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
FK Kozara Gradiska
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FK Drina Zvornik
1–1–4
FK Kozara Gradiska
(6 last)
- FK Drina Zvornik1-1FK Kozara Gradiska
- FK Kozara Gradiska1-0FK Drina Zvornik
- FK Drina Zvornik0-1FK Kozara Gradiska
- FK Drina Zvornik4-1FK Kozara Gradiska
- FK Kozara Gradiska2-1FK Drina Zvornik
- FK Kozara Gradiska1-0FK Drina Zvornik
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FK Drina Zvornik 1518 · FK Kozara Gradiska 1550
| FK Drina Zvornik | Draw | FK Kozara Gradiska | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 27% | 14% |
| Market | 61% | 24% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.22 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours FK Kozara Gradiska: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Drina Zvornik | FK Kozara Gradiska | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1 | 1 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.6 | 0 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 38/38/25% | 0/67/33% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 6.8 | 0.5 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.1 | 2.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Drina Zvornik 1–1–4 FK Kozara Gradiska
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | FK Drina Zvornik | 1-1 | FK Kozara Gradiska |
| 11/04/26 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | FK Kozara Gradiska | 1-0 | FK Drina Zvornik |
| 11/10/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | FK Drina Zvornik | 0-1 HT 0-0 | FK Kozara Gradiska |
| 15/03/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | FK Drina Zvornik | 4-1 HT 1-1 | FK Kozara Gradiska |
| 24/08/24 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | FK Kozara Gradiska | 2-1 | FK Drina Zvornik |
| 04/05/24 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | FK Kozara Gradiska | 1-0 HT 0-0 | FK Drina Zvornik |
Standings · Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Laktasi | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 4 | 22 |
| 2 | Leotar | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 4 | 17 |
| 3 | FK Majevica Lopare | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 6 | 15 |
| 4 | FK Kozara Gradiska | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 15 |
| 5 | FK Potkozarje | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | FK Drina Zvornik | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 6 | 11 |
| 7 | FK Famos Vojkovici | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 9 |
| 8 | Slavija Sarajevo | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 9 |
| 9 | Romanija Pale | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 9 |
| 10 | FK Rudar Prijedor | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 8 |
| 11 | FC Velez Nevesinje | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 8 |
| 12 | Sutjeska Foca | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 7 |
| 13 | FK Omarska | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 4 |
| 14 | Zvijezda 09 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 3 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FK Drina Zvornik | FK Kozara Gradiska |
|---|---|---|
| FK Laktasi | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Sutjeska Foca | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Slavija Sarajevo | 3-0 W | 0-0 D |
| FC Velez Nevesinje | 8-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Leotar | 2-2 D | 0-3 L |
| Romanija Pale | 1-2 L | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 2 L | 3 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: FK Drina Zvornik (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK Drina Zvornik
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | FK Omarska Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 23/09 | FK Rudar Prijedor Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 19/09 | FK Laktasi Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 12/09 | Sutjeska Foca Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 05/09 | Slavija Sarajevo Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 02/09 | FC Velez Nevesinje Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
4-0 | 8-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 29/08 | Leotar Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 22/08 | Romanija Pale Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 13 | 4 | L |
| 30/05 | Leotar Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 20/05 | Slavija Sarajevo Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
FK Kozara Gradiska
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Sutjeska Foca Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 23/09 | Slavija Sarajevo Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 19/09 | FC Velez Nevesinje Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 12/09 | Leotar Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 05/09 | Romanija Pale Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/09 | FK Majevica Lopare Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 29/08 | FK Potkozarje Aleksandrovac Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 22/08 | FK Famos Vojkovici Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 30/05 | BSK Banja Luka Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | FK Laktasi Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FK Drina Zvornik vs FK Kozara Gradiska?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Drina Zvornik win (60%). Probabilities: FK Drina Zvornik 60%, draw 25%, FK Kozara Gradiska 15%.
How many goals are expected in FK Drina Zvornik vs FK Kozara Gradiska?
The model expects 2.22 goals (FK Drina Zvornik 1.58 · FK Kozara Gradiska 0.64), with a 56% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in FK Drina Zvornik vs FK Kozara Gradiska?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.