Football · Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League · 21/10, 16:30

Prediction: FK Potkozarje vs FK Drina Zvornik

Team pages: FK Drina Zvornik

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.68Total

FK Potkozarje1.74

FK Drina Zvornik0.95

1X2

55% 25% 20%

FK Potkozarje Draw FK Drina Zvornik

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Potkozarje 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DWLLWWDLWL

FK Drina Zvornik 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DWWDLWDWLW

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Potkozarje 1497 · FK Drina Zvornik 1534

	FK Potkozarje	Draw	FK Drina Zvornik
Our model	55%	26%	19%
Market	55%	25%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 2.68 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Potkozarje	FK Drina Zvornik
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.2	2.2 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0 / 0.8	1 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/50/50%	50/25/25%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 4.5	2.1 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.8 / 0	4.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.61

X3.60

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.90

2 (+0.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.61	Bet365 1.61
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
07:51 +11’	1.61	3.60	4.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Leotar	11	9	2	0	28	5	29
2	FK Laktasi	11	8	1	2	27	7	25
3	FK Majevica Lopare	11	5	4	2	21	13	19
4	FK Drina Zvornik	11	5	3	3	23	9	18
5	FK Potkozarje	11	5	2	4	12	12	17
6	FK Kozara Gradiska	11	4	4	3	9	8	16
7	FK Rudar Prijedor	11	4	3	4	15	17	15
8	Romanija Pale	11	5	0	6	16	24	15
9	FK Famos Vojkovici	11	4	1	6	11	18	13
10	Slavija Sarajevo	11	2	5	4	10	16	11
11	Sutjeska Foca	11	3	2	6	7	13	11
12	FC Velez Nevesinje	11	3	2	6	10	23	11
13	FK Omarska	11	2	2	7	7	18	8
14	Zvijezda 09	11	2	1	8	9	22	7

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Potkozarje	FK Drina Zvornik
Sutjeska Foca	1-2 L	0-0 D
Slavija Sarajevo	1-0 W	3-0 W
FC Velez Nevesinje	1-2 L	8-0 W
Leotar	1-1 D	2-2 D
FK Laktasi	0-3 L	1-2 L
FK Famos Vojkovici	0-1 L	4-0 W
Zvijezda 09	3-2 W	1-2 L
FK Kozara Gradiska	1-1 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 4 L	4 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FK Drina Zvornik (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Potkozarje

DWLLWWDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Sutjeska Foca Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	1-2	–	–	L
09/10	Slavija Sarajevo Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	0-0	1-0	2	5	W
03/10	FC Velez Nevesinje Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	1-2	–	–	L
26/09	Leotar Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	0-0	1-1	5	9	D
23/09	Romanija Pale Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	1-0	–	–	W
19/09	FK Majevica Lopare Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	1-0	–	–	W
12/09	FK Laktasi Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	0-2	0-3	5	6	L
05/09	FK Famos Vojkovici Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	0-1	0-1	6	3	L
02/09	Zvijezda 09 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	3-2	–	–	W
29/08	FK Kozara Gradiska Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	1-1	–	–	D

FK Drina Zvornik

DWWDLWDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	FK Famos Vojkovici Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	1-0	4-0	5	8	W
10/10	Zvijezda 09 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	0-1	1-2	6	4	L
03/10	FK Kozara Gradiska Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	0-0	1-0	3	8	W
27/09	FK Omarska Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	0-0	1-1	8	4	D
23/09	FK Rudar Prijedor Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	1-0	1-0	4	3	W
19/09	FK Laktasi Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	0-2	1-2	7	6	L
12/09	Sutjeska Foca Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	0-0	–	–	D
05/09	Slavija Sarajevo Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	2-0	3-0	8	4	W
02/09	FC Velez Nevesinje Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	4-0	8-0	3	0	W
29/08	Leotar Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	2-2	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Potkozarje vs FK Drina Zvornik?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Potkozarje win (55%). Probabilities: FK Potkozarje 55%, draw 25%, FK Drina Zvornik 20%.

How many goals are expected in FK Potkozarje vs FK Drina Zvornik?

The model expects 2.68 goals (FK Potkozarje 1.74 · FK Drina Zvornik 0.95), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Potkozarje vs FK Drina Zvornik?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.