Football · Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League · 23/09, 16:00
Prediction: Slavija Sarajevo vs FK Kozara Gradiska
Team pages: Slavija Sarajevo · FK Kozara Gradiska
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.31Total
Slavija Sarajevo1.46
FK Kozara Gradiska0.85
1X2
Slavija Sarajevo
Draw
FK Kozara Gradiska
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Slavija Sarajevo
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
FK Kozara Gradiska
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Slavija Sarajevo
5–1
FK Kozara Gradiska
(6 last)
- FK Kozara Gradiska0-3Slavija Sarajevo
- FK Kozara Gradiska0-1Slavija Sarajevo
- Slavija Sarajevo4-0FK Kozara Gradiska
- Slavija Sarajevo5-2FK Kozara Gradiska
- FK Kozara Gradiska2-1Slavija Sarajevo
- Slavija Sarajevo2-1FK Kozara Gradiska
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Slavija Sarajevo 1477 · FK Kozara Gradiska 1501
| Slavija Sarajevo | Draw | FK Kozara Gradiska | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 29% | 21% |
| Market | 52% | 26% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.31 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Slavija Sarajevo: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Slavija Sarajevo | FK Kozara Gradiska | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.7 | 1 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 1.2 | 0 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/50/50% | 0/50/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4.5 | 0 / 1.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.3 | 3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Slavija Sarajevo 5–0–1 FK Kozara Gradiska
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/26 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | FK Kozara Gradiska | 0-3 | Slavija Sarajevo |
| 07/03/26 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | FK Kozara Gradiska | 0-1 | Slavija Sarajevo |
| 13/09/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | Slavija Sarajevo | 4-0 | FK Kozara Gradiska |
| 19/04/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | Slavija Sarajevo | 5-2 HT 3-1 | FK Kozara Gradiska |
| 28/09/24 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | FK Kozara Gradiska | 2-1 | Slavija Sarajevo |
| 13/04/24 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | Slavija Sarajevo | 2-1 HT 2-0 | FK Kozara Gradiska |
Standings · Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Laktasi | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 4 | 19 |
| 2 | Leotar | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 16 |
| 3 | FK Potkozarje | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 13 |
| 4 | FK Majevica Lopare | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | FK Kozara Gradiska | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 12 |
| 6 | FK Drina Zvornik | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 6 | 11 |
| 7 | Romanija Pale | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 9 |
| 8 | FK Rudar Prijedor | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 8 |
| 9 | FC Velez Nevesinje | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 8 |
| 10 | Sutjeska Foca | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 7 |
| 11 | FK Famos Vojkovici | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 6 |
| 11 | Slavija Sarajevo | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 6 |
| 13 | FK Omarska | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 4 |
| 14 | Zvijezda 09 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 3 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Slavija Sarajevo | FK Kozara Gradiska |
|---|---|---|
| FK Drina Zvornik | 0-3 L | 1-1 D |
| FK Laktasi | 1-4 L | 0-2 L |
| FC Velez Nevesinje | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Leotar | 0-0 D | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: FK Kozara Gradiska (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Slavija Sarajevo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | FK Omarska Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 12/09 | FK Rudar Prijedor Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 05/09 | FK Drina Zvornik Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 02/09 | Sutjeska Foca Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 29/08 | FK Laktasi Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 22/08 | FC Velez Nevesinje Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 31/05 | FK Laktasi Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-3 | 1-3 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 20/05 | FK Drina Zvornik Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | FK Kozara Gradiska Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 10/05 | Leotar Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
FK Kozara Gradiska
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | FC Velez Nevesinje Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 12/09 | Leotar Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 05/09 | Romanija Pale Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/09 | FK Majevica Lopare Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 29/08 | FK Potkozarje Aleksandrovac Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 22/08 | FK Famos Vojkovici Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 30/05 | BSK Banja Luka Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | FK Laktasi Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | Slavija Sarajevo Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 09/05 | FK Drina Zvornik Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Slavija Sarajevo vs FK Kozara Gradiska?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Slavija Sarajevo win (51%). Probabilities: Slavija Sarajevo 51%, draw 28%, FK Kozara Gradiska 22%.
How many goals are expected in Slavija Sarajevo vs FK Kozara Gradiska?
The model expects 2.31 goals (Slavija Sarajevo 1.46 · FK Kozara Gradiska 0.85), with a 56% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Slavija Sarajevo vs FK Kozara Gradiska?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.