Football · Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League · 07/11, 16:30

Prediction: FK Potkozarje vs FK Kozara Gradiska

Team pages: FK Potkozarje · FK Kozara Gradiska

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.22Total

FK Potkozarje1.28

FK Kozara Gradiska0.94

1X2

44% 29% 27%

FK Potkozarje Draw FK Kozara Gradiska

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Potkozarje 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWWDLWLWLL

FK Kozara Gradiska 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLWWLDLLWW

Head-to-head

FK Potkozarje 0–1–0 FK Kozara Gradiska (1 last)

FK Kozara Gradiska1-1FK Potkozarje

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Potkozarje 1484 · FK Kozara Gradiska 1511

	FK Potkozarje	Draw	FK Kozara Gradiska
Our model	43%	31%	26%
Market	45%	27%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.22 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 11.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Potkozarje	FK Kozara Gradiska
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.2	1.5 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0 / 0.5	0.4 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/75/25%	20/80/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 4.8	2.2 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6 / 0.3	5.6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.30

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.80

2 (+0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.93

Under 2.251.88

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 21:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 2.00▲	Bet365 2.00
X	3.50 → 3.30▼	Bet365 3.30
2	4.00 → 3.20▼	Bet365 3.20

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
14:45 +5’	1.73	3.50	4.00
20:20 +53’	2.00▲	3.30▼	3.20▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Potkozarje 0–1–0 FK Kozara Gradiska

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/08/26 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	FK Kozara Gradiska	1-1	FK Potkozarje

Standings · Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Laktasi	14	11	1	2	44	11	34
2	Leotar	13	10	3	0	32	6	33
3	FK Kozara Gradiska	14	7	3	4	20	12	24
4	FK Drina Zvornik	14	6	4	4	28	14	22
5	FK Majevica Lopare	14	6	4	4	27	17	22
6	FK Rudar Prijedor	14	6	3	5	19	21	21
7	FK Potkozarje	14	6	2	6	15	16	20
8	Romanija Pale	14	6	1	7	23	29	19
9	Slavija Sarajevo	14	4	5	5	15	21	17
10	FK Famos Vojkovici	14	5	2	7	15	24	17
11	FK Omarska	14	3	4	7	11	20	13
12	Sutjeska Foca	13	3	2	8	8	22	11
13	FC Velez Nevesinje	14	3	2	9	11	36	11
14	Zvijezda 09	14	2	2	10	11	30	8

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Potkozarje	FK Kozara Gradiska
FK Omarska	1-3 L	0-1 L
FK Rudar Prijedor	0-1 L	2-2 D
FK Drina Zvornik	2-0 W	0-1 L
Sutjeska Foca	1-2 L	1-0 W
FC Velez Nevesinje	1-2 L	1-0 W
Leotar	1-1 D	0-3 L
Romanija Pale	1-0 W	3-0 W
FK Laktasi	0-3 L	2-4 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 5 L	3 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: FK Kozara Gradiska (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Potkozarje

LWWDLWLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	FK Omarska Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	1-3	–	–	L
25/10	FK Rudar Prijedor Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	0-1	–	–	L
21/10	FK Drina Zvornik Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	0-0	2-0	7	5	W
17/10	Sutjeska Foca Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	1-2	–	–	L
09/10	Slavija Sarajevo Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	0-0	1-0	2	5	W
03/10	FC Velez Nevesinje Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	1-2	–	–	L
26/09	Leotar Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	0-0	1-1	5	9	D
23/09	Romanija Pale Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	1-0	–	–	W
19/09	FK Majevica Lopare Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	1-0	–	–	W
12/09	FK Laktasi Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	0-2	0-3	5	6	L

FK Kozara Gradiska

WLWWLDLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	FK Famos Vojkovici Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	4-0	–	–	W
24/10	Zvijezda 09 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	0-0	2-0	5	6	W
21/10	FK Laktasi Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	1-1	2-4	4	3	L
18/10	FK Omarska Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	0-0	0-1	5	6	L
11/10	FK Rudar Prijedor Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	1-0	2-2	4	6	D
03/10	FK Drina Zvornik Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	0-0	0-1	2	8	L
26/09	Sutjeska Foca Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	1-0	–	–	W
19/09	FC Velez Nevesinje Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	1-0	–	–	W
12/09	Leotar Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	0-3	–	–	L
05/09	Romanija Pale Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	3-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Potkozarje vs FK Kozara Gradiska?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Potkozarje win (44%). Probabilities: FK Potkozarje 44%, draw 29%, FK Kozara Gradiska 27%.

How many goals are expected in FK Potkozarje vs FK Kozara Gradiska?

The model expects 2.22 goals (FK Potkozarje 1.28 · FK Kozara Gradiska 0.94), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Potkozarje vs FK Kozara Gradiska?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.