Football · Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League · 07/11, 13:30

Prediction: NK Travnik vs Bratstvo Gracanica

Team pages: NK Travnik · Bratstvo Gracanica

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.03Total

NK Travnik2.12

Bratstvo Gracanica0.91

1X2

64% 22% 14%

NK Travnik Draw Bratstvo Gracanica

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

2-0 11%

Recent form · 10 last

NK Travnik 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

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Bratstvo Gracanica 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

NK Travnik 3–1–2 Bratstvo Gracanica (6 last)

NK Travnik1-1Bratstvo Gracanica
Bratstvo Gracanica0-1NK Travnik
Bratstvo Gracanica2-1NK Travnik
NK Travnik3-1Bratstvo Gracanica
NK Travnik2-1Bratstvo Gracanica
Bratstvo Gracanica3-1NK Travnik

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · NK Travnik 1547 · Bratstvo Gracanica 1479

	NK Travnik	Draw	Bratstvo Gracanica
Our model	64%	22%	14%
Market	64%	22%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 3.03 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours NK Travnik (rating 1547 vs 1479).
H2H favours NK Travnik: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	NK Travnik	Bratstvo Gracanica
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.3	1.2 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.8	0.5 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/63/38%	0/63/38%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 5.4	1.8 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.1	5.3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.40

X4.00

26.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.95

2 (+1.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.88

Under 2.751.93

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:36

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.40 → 1.40	Bet365 1.40
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	6.50 → 6.50	Bet365 6.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
14:22 +14’	1.40	4.00	6.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · NK Travnik 3–1–2 Bratstvo Gracanica

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	NK Travnik	1-1	Bratstvo Gracanica
04/10/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	Bratstvo Gracanica	0-1 HT 0-0	NK Travnik
21/05/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	Bratstvo Gracanica	2-1 HT 2-1	NK Travnik
02/11/24 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	NK Travnik	3-1	Bratstvo Gracanica
23/04/23 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	NK Travnik	2-1	Bratstvo Gracanica
01/10/22 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	Bratstvo Gracanica	3-1 HT 0-0	NK Travnik

Standings · Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Laktasi	14	11	1	2	44	11	34
2	Leotar	13	10	3	0	32	6	33
3	FK Kozara Gradiska	14	7	3	4	20	12	24
4	FK Drina Zvornik	14	6	4	4	28	14	22
5	FK Majevica Lopare	14	6	4	4	27	17	22
6	FK Rudar Prijedor	14	6	3	5	19	21	21
7	FK Potkozarje	14	6	2	6	15	16	20
8	Romanija Pale	14	6	1	7	23	29	19
9	Slavija Sarajevo	14	4	5	5	15	21	17
10	FK Famos Vojkovici	14	5	2	7	15	24	17
11	FK Omarska	14	3	4	7	11	20	13
12	Sutjeska Foca	13	3	2	8	8	22	11
13	FC Velez Nevesinje	14	3	2	9	11	36	11
14	Zvijezda 09	14	2	2	10	11	30	8

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	NK Travnik	Bratstvo Gracanica
Sloboda Tuzla	0-2 L	1-2 L
GOSK Gabela	2-2 D	0-2 L
FK Radnik Hadzici	1-0 W	2-1 W
NK Zvijezda Gradacac	1-0 W	1-0 W
NK Tosk Tesanj	2-1 W	1-3 L
Buducnost Banovici	3-0 W	1-1 D
HNK Tomislav	4-2 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: NK Travnik (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NK Travnik

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	NK Stupcanica Olovo Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	1-3	2-5	4	0	L
24/10	Jedinstvo Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	4-0	–	–	W
18/10	HSK Posusje Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
10/10	Sloboda Tuzla Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	0-1	0-2	3	7	L
03/10	GOSK Gabela Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	1-2	2-2	5	9	D
26/09	FK Radnik Hadzici Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	0-0	1-0	6	5	W
20/09	NK Zvijezda Gradacac Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	0-0	1-0	11	2	W
13/09	NK Tosk Tesanj Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	0-0	2-1	1	8	W
05/09	Buducnost Banovici Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	0-0	3-0	10	4	W
29/08	HNK Tomislav Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	4-2	–	–	W

Bratstvo Gracanica

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Sloboda Tuzla Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	1-1	1-2	6	7	L
25/10	GOSK Gabela Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	0-1	0-2	1	4	L
17/10	FK Radnik Hadzici Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	1-1	2-1	3	8	W
10/10	NK Zvijezda Gradacac Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	1-0	–	–	W
03/10	NK Tosk Tesanj Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	1-2	1-3	2	4	L
26/09	Buducnost Banovici Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	1-1	–	–	D
19/09	HNK Tomislav Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	0-1	2-2	6	7	D
12/09	NK Vitez Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	0-0	2-2	3	5	D
05/09	Rudar Kakanj Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	0-0	1-0	7	7	W
29/08	HNK Capljina Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	1-1	1-2	3	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NK Travnik vs Bratstvo Gracanica?

According to our model, the most likely result is a NK Travnik win (64%). Probabilities: NK Travnik 64%, draw 22%, Bratstvo Gracanica 14%.

How many goals are expected in NK Travnik vs Bratstvo Gracanica?

The model expects 3.03 goals (NK Travnik 2.12 · Bratstvo Gracanica 0.91), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in NK Travnik vs Bratstvo Gracanica?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.