Football · Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League · 08/11, 13:30

Prediction: NK Zvijezda Gradacac vs NK Vitez

Team pages: NK Vitez

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.75Total

NK Zvijezda Gradacac2.01

NK Vitez0.75

1X2

66% 22% 12%

NK Zvijezda Gradacac Draw NK Vitez

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

2-0 13%

Recent form · 10 last

NK Zvijezda Gradacac 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLDLWDLLWW

NK Vitez 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DLDLWLLWWW

Head-to-head

NK Zvijezda Gradacac 1–1–3 NK Vitez (5 last)

NK Vitez2-1NK Zvijezda Gradacac
NK Zvijezda Gradacac2-1NK Vitez
NK Vitez3-0NK Zvijezda Gradacac
NK Zvijezda Gradacac1-1NK Vitez
NK Zvijezda Gradacac1-3NK Vitez

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · NK Zvijezda Gradacac 1527 · NK Vitez 1493

	NK Zvijezda Gradacac	Draw	NK Vitez
Our model	66%	22%	12%
Market	66%	22%	12%

Estimated total (ours) 2.75 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours NK Vitez: 3-1-1.
High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	NK Zvijezda Gradacac	NK Vitez
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 0.8	1.2 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.5	0.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	25/25/50%	29/43/29%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 4	4.3 / 6.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.3	5.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.36

X4.10

27.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.82

2 (+1.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.90

Under 2.51.90

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 15:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.40 → 1.36▼	Bet365 1.36
X	4.00 → 4.10▲	Bet365 4.10
2	6.50 → 7.50▲	Bet365 7.50

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
15:37 +3’	1.40	4.00	6.50
15:07 +3’	1.36▼	4.10▲	7.50▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · NK Zvijezda Gradacac 1–1–3 NK Vitez

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/03/19 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	NK Vitez	2-1	NK Zvijezda Gradacac
18/08/18 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	NK Zvijezda Gradacac	2-1	NK Vitez
02/05/15 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	NK Vitez	3-0 HT 2-0	NK Zvijezda Gradacac
05/10/14 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	NK Zvijezda Gradacac	1-1 HT 0-0	NK Vitez
10/05/14 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	NK Zvijezda Gradacac	1-3 HT 1-1	NK Vitez

Standings · Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Laktasi	15	12	1	2	48	11	37
2	Leotar	14	11	3	0	33	6	36
3	FK Kozara Gradiska	15	7	3	5	20	15	24
4	FK Rudar Prijedor	15	7	3	5	21	22	24
5	FK Potkozarje	15	7	2	6	18	16	23
6	FK Drina Zvornik	15	6	4	5	28	15	22
7	FK Majevica Lopare	15	6	4	5	28	19	22
8	FK Famos Vojkovici	15	6	2	7	18	26	20
9	Romanija Pale	15	6	1	8	24	31	19
10	Slavija Sarajevo	15	4	5	6	15	25	17
11	FK Omarska	15	4	4	7	13	21	16
12	Sutjeska Foca	14	3	3	8	10	24	12
13	FC Velez Nevesinje	15	3	3	9	13	38	12
14	Zvijezda 09	15	2	2	11	13	33	8

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	NK Zvijezda Gradacac	NK Vitez
Rudar Kakanj	6-0 W	0-2 L
HNK Capljina	4-1 W	1-0 W
FK Igman Konjic	0-1 L	0-1 L
Bratstvo Gracanica	0-1 L	2-2 D
NK Stupcanica Olovo	1-1 D	1-3 L
Jedinstvo	3-1 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: NK Zvijezda Gradacac (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NK Zvijezda Gradacac

WLDLWDLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Rudar Kakanj Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	6-0	–	–	W
24/10	HNK Capljina Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	4-1	–	–	W
17/10	FK Igman Konjic Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	0-1	–	–	L
10/10	Bratstvo Gracanica Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	0-1	–	–	L
03/10	NK Stupcanica Olovo Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	1-1	–	–	D
26/09	Jedinstvo Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	1-0	3-1	5	4	W
20/09	NK Travnik Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	0-0	0-1	1	2	L
12/09	Sloboda Tuzla Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	0-1	1-1	8	7	D
06/09	GOSK Gabela Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	0-1	0-1	2	5	L
29/08	FK Radnik Hadzici Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	2-0	–	–	W

NK Vitez

DLDLWLLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	NK Tosk Tesanj Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	0-1	2-1	6	4	W
24/10	Buducnost Banovici Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	1-0	2-1	5	5	W
17/10	HNK Tomislav Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	1-1	2-1	6	3	W
10/10	HSK Posusje Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	1-2	–	–	L
03/10	Rudar Kakanj Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	0-2	–	–	L
26/09	HNK Capljina Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	0-0	1-0	11	8	W
19/09	FK Igman Konjic Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	–	0-1	–	–	L
12/09	Bratstvo Gracanica Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	0-0	2-2	10	5	D
06/09	NK Stupcanica Olovo Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	1-3	1-3	1	6	L
29/08	Jedinstvo Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League	1-0	1-1	7	11	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NK Zvijezda Gradacac vs NK Vitez?

According to our model, the most likely result is a NK Zvijezda Gradacac win (66%). Probabilities: NK Zvijezda Gradacac 66%, draw 22%, NK Vitez 12%.

How many goals are expected in NK Zvijezda Gradacac vs NK Vitez?

The model expects 2.75 goals (NK Zvijezda Gradacac 2.01 · NK Vitez 0.75), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in NK Zvijezda Gradacac vs NK Vitez?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.